TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Oleksandr Ziakun
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911114411911––
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:06 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeDmitro Kuzmenko to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Ziakun above · Dmitro Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 70 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Dmitro Kuzmenko at 56.6%
70 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ziakun 50–63 Dmitro Kuzmenko Oleksandr Ziakun has won 50 of their 113 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:06What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kuzmenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-63 in 113
Kuzmenko
Correct
gap of 13 in 113, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1552 vs Kuzmenko 1534
Ziakun
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 80% vs Kuzmenko 60%
Ziakun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 60% vs Kuzmenko 40%
Ziakun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun +1 · Kuzmenko +3
Kuzmenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kuzmenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ziakun form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 2.10 / Kuzmenko 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kuzmenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13161589
Ziakun2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 90 of 255
Down 0–1, comes back21% 31 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 76
Kuzmenko1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 18)
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 99 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it81% 75 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun4wins
AwayKuzmenko6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKuzmenko leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun60%3 of 5
AwayKuzmenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Ziakun3Kuzmenko7n = 10Kuzmenko took 7 of 10
S3Ziakun4Kuzmenko6n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S4Ziakun4Kuzmenko3n = 7Ziakun took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunKuzmenkoZ − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.638.3−4.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime355 / 747 vs 386 / 92547.5%41.7%355 / 747 vs 386 / 925Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.236.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmenkoZiakun 2.10/Kuzmenko 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Kuzmenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 04:30O. Ziakun3711213113D. Kuzmenko359111141
LSep 11 · 09:00O. Ziakun219930D. Kuzmenko331111113
LSep 9 · 04:30O. Ziakun29115761D. Kuzmenko4071111113
LSep 3 · 04:30O. Ziakun217860D. Kuzmenko331111113
WSep 2 · 04:30O. Ziakun43111110113D. Kuzmenko31861251
WAug 28 · 06:00O. Ziakun4281111123D. Kuzmenko391199101
LAug 25 · 06:30O. Ziakun2255120D. Kuzmenko361111143
WAug 21 · 07:30O. Ziakun4313711123D. Kuzmenko3811116101
LAug 17 · 06:30O. Ziakun368412121D. Kuzmenko46111110143
LAug 14 · 08:30O. Ziakun42111171032D. Kuzmenko52991112113
O. Ziakun10
WSep 18 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.6111127113O. Lyman2.209101171LSep 18 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.91612711112O. Kurylenko1.801110117133WSep 18 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.8051112113S. Maliuk1.911161081WSep 18 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.25111211123O. Syksa1.575148101WSep 18 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.101011911113D. Kuzmenko1.6712511572LSep 17 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.5041111121O. Syksa1.5011135143LSep 17 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.004990O. Kurylenko1.731111113WSep 17 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.571851012113O. Lyman2.251611121092LSep 17 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.6335130M. Hubenko1.441111153WSep 17 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.44139128113S. Miroshnychenko2.631111101182
D. Kuzmenko10
LSep 20 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.3311811113D. Kuzmenko3.25711971WSep 18 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.8078100D. Kuzmenko1.911111123WSep 18 · 10:00O. Syksa1.619740D. Kuzmenko2.201111113WSep 18 · 08:30O. Lyman3.0096111192D. Kuzmenko1.36111176113LSep 18 · 06:30S. Maliuk2.001111113D. Kuzmenko1.736430LSep 18 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.101011911113D. Kuzmenko1.6712511572LSep 16 · 11:00A. Vasylets1.531111113D. Kuzmenko2.385870LSep 16 · 10:00S. Maliuk2.2011116113D. Kuzmenko1.61471161LSep 16 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.368121111113D. Kuzmenko3.0011145232WSep 16 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.80511551D. Kuzmenko1.9111911113
Upcoming Matches
O. Ziakun
D. Kuzmenko
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