TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Maksym Hubenko vs Andrii Vasylets 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Maksym Hubenko
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115114118––––
Andrii Vasylets
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:51 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Andrii Vasylets below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 50 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 61.2%
50 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 31–20 Andrii Vasylets Andrii Vasylets has won 20 of their 51 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:51What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hubenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-20 in 51
Hubenko
Correct
gap of 11 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hubenko 1713 vs Vasylets 1646
Hubenko
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubenko 80% vs Vasylets 60%
Hubenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubenko 80% vs Vasylets 60%
Hubenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubenko +1 · Vasylets -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasylets form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 1.53 / Vasylets 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Hubenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13172894
Hubenko1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 20)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite73% won 242 of 332
Up 2–0, closes it94% 122 of 130
Up 1–0, closes it83% 171 of 206
Vasylets2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 55 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back13% 8 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko5wins
AwayVasylets5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko80%4 of 5
AwayVasylets80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko5Vasylets5n = 10split evenly
S2Hubenko7Vasylets3n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S3Hubenko4Vasylets6n = 10Vasylets took 6 of 10
S4Hubenko4Vasylets1n = 5Hubenko took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoVasyletsH − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.238.20.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoVasyletsBasisWin rate · lifetime562 / 1047 vs 232 / 51853.7%44.8%562 / 1047 vs 232 / 518Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoHubenko 1.53/Vasylets 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 16 · 07:00M. Hubenko3811115113A. Vasylets33491191
LSep 9 · 09:30M. Hubenko4612117882A. Vasylets511081111113
WSep 2 · 09:30M. Hubenko351211123A. Vasylets28108100
LAug 30 · 12:00M. Hubenko49911101182A. Vasylets46115127113
LAug 26 · 08:00M. Hubenko1853100A. Vasylets341111123
WAug 19 · 07:00M. Hubenko4312911113A. Vasylets371011791
M. Hubenko10
WSep 20 · 11:30M. Hubenko1.3611111211113D. Kuzmenko3.0013514412LSep 20 · 09:30O. Ziakun2.751114113M. Hubenko1.4091270WSep 20 · 07:30V. Tatarnykov2.008860M. Hubenko1.731111113WSep 20 · 06:30M. Hubenko1.578111011143O. Syksa2.25118128122WSep 20 · 05:30S. Aristarkhov1.8381030M. Hubenko1.831112113WSep 19 · 17:03M. Hubenko1.5041111103A. Vasylets2.50114771WSep 19 · 16:00D. Prylepa2.507650M. Hubenko1.50111183LSep 19 · 14:30A. Vasylets2.38111211123M. Hubenko1.5331013111WSep 19 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov2.00871171M. Hubenko1.7311118113WSep 19 · 12:00S. Aristarkhov1.83114871M. Hubenko1.839111193
A. Vasylets10
LSep 19 · 17:03M. Hubenko1.5041111103A. Vasylets2.50114771WSep 19 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov1.53111031162A. Vasylets2.38812117113WSep 19 · 14:30A. Vasylets2.38111211123M. Hubenko1.5331013111WSep 19 · 13:30S. Aristarkhov1.5044111162A. Vasylets2.50111157113LSep 19 · 12:30A. Vasylets1.671071131D. Prylepa2.1012112113WSep 16 · 11:00A. Vasylets1.531111113D. Kuzmenko2.385870LSep 16 · 09:00O. Syksa1.91911111113A. Vasylets1.8011118782WSep 16 · 08:00A. Vasylets1.53114712123S. Maliuk2.387111110102LSep 16 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.5011115113A. Vasylets2.50491191WSep 16 · 05:30A. Vasylets1.259111814143O. Kurylenko3.7511131612122
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