TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Vasylets vs Maksym Hubenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Andrii Vasylets
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511411711––––
Maksym Hubenko
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:49 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Vasylets above · Maksym Hubenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 49 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 61.2%
49 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Vasylets 20–32 Maksym Hubenko Andrii Vasylets has won 20 of their 52 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Hubenko beat Vasylets 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:49What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hubenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-32 in 52
Hubenko
Correct
gap of 12 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasylets 1654 vs Hubenko 1724
Hubenko
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasylets 40% vs Hubenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasylets 50% vs Hubenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasylets +1 · Hubenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hubenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasylets 2.38 / Hubenko 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Hubenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13172919
Vasylets2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 55 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back13% 8 of 64
Hubenko1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite73% won 242 of 332
Up 2–0, closes it94% 122 of 130
Up 1–0, closes it83% 171 of 206
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVasylets5wins
AwayHubenko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasylets80%4 of 5
AwayHubenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasylets5Hubenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Vasylets2Hubenko8n = 10Hubenko took 8 of 10
S3Vasylets6Hubenko4n = 10Vasylets took 6 of 10
S4Vasylets1Hubenko3n = 4Hubenko took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVasyletsHubenkoV − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.836.5−1.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasyletsHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 517 vs 563 / 104844.9%53.7%232 / 517 vs 563 / 1048Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoVasylets 2.38/Hubenko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 22 · 12:00A. Vasylets175480M. Hubenko331111113
LSep 16 · 07:00A. Vasylets33491191M. Hubenko3811115113
WSep 9 · 09:30A. Vasylets511081111113M. Hubenko4612117882
LSep 2 · 09:30A. Vasylets28108100M. Hubenko351211123
WAug 30 · 12:00A. Vasylets46115127113M. Hubenko49911101182
WAug 26 · 08:00A. Vasylets341111123M. Hubenko1853100
A. Vasylets10
WSep 22 · 16:00A. Vasylets2.381111113A. Lushchyk1.537750LSep 22 · 15:30A. Vasylets2.638121191S. Chuhai1.4411148113WSep 22 · 14:30S. Chuhai1.446711121A. Vasylets2.6311116143LSep 22 · 13:30A. Lushchyk1.501151110113A. Vasylets2.5081141292LSep 22 · 12:00M. Hubenko1.531111113A. Vasylets2.385480LSep 19 · 17:03M. Hubenko1.5041111103A. Vasylets2.50114771WSep 19 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov1.53111031162A. Vasylets2.38812117113WSep 19 · 14:30A. Vasylets2.38111211123M. Hubenko1.5331013111WSep 19 · 13:30S. Aristarkhov1.5044111162A. Vasylets2.50111157113LSep 19 · 12:30A. Vasylets1.671071131D. Prylepa2.1012112113
M. Hubenko10
LSep 22 · 16:30S. Chuhai1.401111113M. Hubenko2.755790WSep 22 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.538950M. Hubenko2.381111113LSep 22 · 14:00M. Hubenko2.3810470A. Lushchyk1.531211113LSep 22 · 13:00M. Hubenko2.7597111192S. Chuhai1.40111188113WSep 22 · 12:00M. Hubenko1.531111113A. Vasylets2.385480WSep 20 · 11:30M. Hubenko1.3611111211113D. Kuzmenko3.0013514412LSep 20 · 09:30O. Ziakun2.751114113M. Hubenko1.4091270WSep 20 · 07:30V. Tatarnykov2.008860M. Hubenko1.731111113WSep 19 · 17:03M. Hubenko1.5041111103A. Vasylets2.50114771LSep 19 · 14:30A. Vasylets2.38111211123M. Hubenko1.5331013111
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