TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Maksym Hubenko vs Serhii Chuhai 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Maksym Hubenko
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911711118118911
Serhii Chuhai
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:50 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Chuhai to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Serhii Chuhai below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 96 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Serhii Chuhai at 67.9%
96 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 33–105 Serhii Chuhai Maksym Hubenko has won 33 of their 138 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:50What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Chuhai
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-105 in 138
Chuhai
Correct
gap of 72 in 138, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hubenko 1725 vs Chuhai 1749
Chuhai
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubenko 80% vs Chuhai 20%
Hubenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubenko 80% vs Chuhai 30%
Hubenko
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubenko +2 · Chuhai -4
Chuhai
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Chuhai)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chuhai form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 2.75 / Chuhai 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Chuhai)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13172934
Hubenko2.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 41 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back17% 16 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 58
Chuhai1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite75% won 175 of 233
Up 2–0, closes it94% 98 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it88% 133 of 152
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko2wins
AwayChuhai8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderChuhai leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko33.3%1 of 3
AwayChuhai85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko3Chuhai7n = 10Chuhai took 7 of 10
S2Hubenko4Chuhai6n = 10Chuhai took 6 of 10
S3Hubenko1Chuhai9n = 10Chuhai took 9 of 10
S4Hubenko2Chuhai4n = 6Chuhai took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoChuhaiH − CBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.239.2−9.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoChuhaiBasisWin rate · lifetime562 / 1044 vs 482 / 94653.8%51%562 / 1044 vs 482 / 946Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChuhaiHubenko 2.75/Chuhai 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Chuhai · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chuhai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 13:00M. Hubenko215790S. Chuhai331111113
LSep 9 · 07:00M. Hubenko2366110S. Chuhai351111133
WAug 31 · 11:00M. Hubenko4011711113S. Chuhai29711651
LAug 28 · 06:30M. Hubenko196670S. Chuhai331111113
LAug 17 · 05:00M. Hubenko301011541S. Chuhai4212811113
LAug 7 · 05:00M. Hubenko29911541S. Chuhai4211911113
LJul 31 · 10:00M. Hubenko2111280S. Chuhai351311113
LJul 30 · 12:00M. Hubenko3811113492S. Chuhai49791111113
WJul 27 · 10:00M. Hubenko56817911113S. Chuhai54111511892
LJul 24 · 08:30M. Hubenko25116351S. Chuhai4071111113
M. Hubenko10
WSep 22 · 12:00M. Hubenko1.531111113A. Vasylets2.385480WSep 20 · 11:30M. Hubenko1.3611111211113D. Kuzmenko3.0013514412LSep 20 · 09:30O. Ziakun2.751114113M. Hubenko1.4091270WSep 20 · 07:30V. Tatarnykov2.008860M. Hubenko1.731111113WSep 20 · 06:30M. Hubenko1.578111011143O. Syksa2.25118128122WSep 20 · 05:30S. Aristarkhov1.8381030M. Hubenko1.831112113WSep 19 · 17:03M. Hubenko1.5041111103A. Vasylets2.50114771WSep 19 · 16:00D. Prylepa2.507650M. Hubenko1.50111183LSep 19 · 14:30A. Vasylets2.38111211123M. Hubenko1.5331013111WSep 19 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov2.00871171M. Hubenko1.7311118113
S. Chuhai10
LSep 22 · 12:30A. Lushchyk1.6181111113S. Chuhai2.20118971LSep 18 · 16:30A. Lushchyk1.52811118113S. Chuhai2.3511681152LSep 18 · 15:00M. Baday1.44511711113S. Chuhai2.6311911992LSep 18 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.75115971M. Baday1.4081111113WSep 18 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.3811811113A. Lushchyk1.53411691LSep 18 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.10129100A. Kasyanov1.671411123LSep 17 · 17:00S. Chuhai2.63611951I. Fedoryshyn1.4411311113WSep 17 · 16:00S. Chuhai2.001111113A. Kasyanov1.738250WSep 17 · 15:30S. Chuhai2.50991211113A. Lushchyk1.50111110792LSep 17 · 14:30A. Lushchyk1.50911119123S. Chuhai2.50117911102
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