TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Vasylets vs Serhii Chuhai 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Andrii Vasylets
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111214118911––
Serhii Chuhai
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:49 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeSerhii Chuhai to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Vasylets above · Serhii Chuhai below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 84 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Serhii Chuhai at 64.5%
84 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Vasylets 22–24 Serhii Chuhai Andrii Vasylets has won 22 of their 46 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Vasylets beat Chuhai 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:49What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Chuhai
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-24 in 46
Chuhai
Correct
gap of 2 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasylets 1644 vs Chuhai 1743
Chuhai
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasylets 40% vs Chuhai 20%
Vasylets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasylets 50% vs Chuhai 30%
Vasylets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasylets +1 · Chuhai -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Chuhai) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chuhai form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasylets 2.63 / Chuhai 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Chuhai)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13172915
Vasylets2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 55 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back13% 8 of 64
Chuhai1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite75% won 175 of 233
Up 2–0, closes it94% 98 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it88% 133 of 152
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVasylets4wins
AwayChuhai6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderChuhai leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasylets60%3 of 5
AwayChuhai80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasylets5Chuhai5n = 10split evenly
S2Vasylets4Chuhai6n = 10Chuhai took 6 of 10
S3Vasylets5Chuhai5n = 10split evenly
S4Vasylets3Chuhai4n = 7Chuhai took 4 of 7
S5Vasylets1Chuhai2n = 3Chuhai took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVasyletsChuhaiV − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.839.7−1.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasyletsChuhaiBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 515 vs 483 / 94844.9%51%231 / 515 vs 483 / 948Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChuhaiVasylets 2.63/Chuhai 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Chuhai · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chuhai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 14:30A. Vasylets4211116143S. Chuhai366711121
LSep 9 · 05:30A. Vasylets165740S. Chuhai331111113
LJul 30 · 17:00A. Vasylets3811710101S. Chuhai4271112123
LJul 30 · 15:00A. Vasylets36691471S. Chuhai45111112113
WJul 28 · 17:09A. Vasylets539101112113S. Chuhai38111221032
LJul 28 · 12:00A. Vasylets4211118842S. Chuhai50981111113
WJul 23 · 12:00A. Vasylets51111016143S. Chuhai4571214121
LJul 21 · 12:00A. Vasylets4791111972S. Chuhai48116911113
LJul 14 · 15:00A. Vasylets197660S. Chuhai331111113
WJul 7 · 16:00A. Vasylets341112113S. Chuhai2781090
A. Vasylets10
WSep 22 · 16:00A. Vasylets2.381111113A. Lushchyk1.537750WSep 22 · 14:30S. Chuhai1.446711121A. Vasylets2.6311116143LSep 22 · 13:30A. Lushchyk1.501151110113A. Vasylets2.5081141292LSep 22 · 12:00M. Hubenko1.531111113A. Vasylets2.385480LSep 19 · 17:03M. Hubenko1.5041111103A. Vasylets2.50114771WSep 19 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov1.53111031162A. Vasylets2.38812117113WSep 19 · 14:30A. Vasylets2.38111211123M. Hubenko1.5331013111WSep 19 · 13:30S. Aristarkhov1.5044111162A. Vasylets2.50111157113LSep 19 · 12:30A. Vasylets1.671071131D. Prylepa2.1012112113WSep 16 · 11:00A. Vasylets1.531111113D. Kuzmenko2.385870
S. Chuhai10
LSep 22 · 14:30S. Chuhai1.446711121A. Vasylets2.6311116143WSep 22 · 13:00M. Hubenko2.7597111192S. Chuhai1.40111188113LSep 22 · 12:30A. Lushchyk1.6181111113S. Chuhai2.20118971LSep 18 · 16:30A. Lushchyk1.52811118113S. Chuhai2.3511681152LSep 18 · 15:00M. Baday1.44511711113S. Chuhai2.6311911992LSep 18 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.75115971M. Baday1.4081111113WSep 18 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.3811811113A. Lushchyk1.53411691LSep 18 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.10129100A. Kasyanov1.671411123LSep 17 · 17:00S. Chuhai2.63611951I. Fedoryshyn1.4411311113WSep 17 · 16:00S. Chuhai2.001111113A. Kasyanov1.738250
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