TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Vasylets vs Andrii Lushchyk 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Andrii Vasylets
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117115––––
Andrii Lushchyk
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:49 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeAndrii Lushchyk to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Vasylets above · Andrii Lushchyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 52 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Andrii Lushchyk at 62.5%
52 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Vasylets 48–53 Andrii Lushchyk Andrii Vasylets has won 48 of their 101 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Lushchyk beat Vasylets 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:49What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Lushchyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
48-53 in 101
Lushchyk
Wrong
gap of 5 in 101, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasylets 1654 vs Lushchyk 1740
Lushchyk
Wrong
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasylets 20% vs Lushchyk 80%
Lushchyk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasylets 50% vs Lushchyk 70%
Lushchyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasylets -1 · Lushchyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Lushchyk) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lushchyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasylets 2.38 / Lushchyk 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Lushchyk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13172924
Vasylets2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 55 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back13% 8 of 64
Lushchyk1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 109 of 165
Up 2–0, closes it95% 59 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it80% 79 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVasylets5wins
AwayLushchyk5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasylets80%4 of 5
AwayLushchyk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasylets5Lushchyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Vasylets6Lushchyk4n = 10Vasylets took 6 of 10
S3Vasylets3Lushchyk7n = 10Lushchyk took 7 of 10
S4Vasylets3Lushchyk3n = 6split evenly
S5Vasylets2Lushchyk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVasyletsLushchykV − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.537.8−2.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasyletsLushchykBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 517 vs 367 / 79144.9%46.4%232 / 517 vs 367 / 791Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LushchykVasylets 2.38/Lushchyk 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.6%
Lushchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vasylets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 16:00A. Vasylets331111113A. Lushchyk197750
LSep 22 · 13:30A. Vasylets4481141292A. Lushchyk481151110113
WAug 30 · 15:00A. Vasylets3911116113A. Lushchyk35891171
WJul 23 · 17:29A. Vasylets43511115113A. Lushchyk3911541182
LJul 23 · 16:00A. Vasylets4715811582A. Lushchyk521311611113
LJul 21 · 14:30A. Vasylets186930A. Lushchyk331111113
WJul 14 · 12:30A. Vasylets511111117113A. Lushchyk5089131192
LJul 7 · 14:30A. Vasylets198650A. Lushchyk331111113
WJun 29 · 13:30A. Vasylets3711123113A. Lushchyk367101181
LJun 24 · 12:30A. Vasylets249780A. Lushchyk331111113
A. Vasylets10
LSep 22 · 15:30A. Vasylets2.638121191S. Chuhai1.4411148113WSep 22 · 14:30S. Chuhai1.446711121A. Vasylets2.6311116143LSep 22 · 13:30A. Lushchyk1.501151110113A. Vasylets2.5081141292LSep 22 · 12:00M. Hubenko1.531111113A. Vasylets2.385480LSep 19 · 17:03M. Hubenko1.5041111103A. Vasylets2.50114771WSep 19 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov1.53111031162A. Vasylets2.38812117113WSep 19 · 14:30A. Vasylets2.38111211123M. Hubenko1.5331013111WSep 19 · 13:30S. Aristarkhov1.5044111162A. Vasylets2.50111157113LSep 19 · 12:30A. Vasylets1.671071131D. Prylepa2.1012112113WSep 16 · 11:00A. Vasylets1.531111113D. Kuzmenko2.385870
A. Lushchyk10
LSep 22 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.538950M. Hubenko2.381111113WSep 22 · 14:00M. Hubenko2.3810470A. Lushchyk1.531211113WSep 22 · 13:30A. Lushchyk1.501151110113A. Vasylets2.5081141292WSep 22 · 12:30A. Lushchyk1.6181111113S. Chuhai2.20118971WSep 18 · 17:30A. Lushchyk4.3311117113M. Baday1.20351151WSep 18 · 16:30A. Lushchyk1.52811118113S. Chuhai2.3511681152WSep 18 · 14:30A. Lushchyk2.631111113A. Kasyanov1.449780LSep 18 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.3811811113A. Lushchyk1.53411691LSep 18 · 12:30M. Baday1.201111123A. Lushchyk4.3327100WSep 17 · 17:30A. Lushchyk2.6311511113A. Kasyanov1.44811951
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A. Lushchyk
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