TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Lushchyk vs Maksym Hubenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Andrii Lushchyk
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911511––––
Maksym Hubenko
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:49 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeAndrii Lushchyk to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Lushchyk above · Maksym Hubenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 55 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Andrii Lushchyk at 61.2%
55 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lushchyk 47–30 Maksym Hubenko Maksym Hubenko has won 30 of their 77 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Lushchyk beat Hubenko 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:49What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Lushchyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-30 in 77
Lushchyk
Wrong
gap of 17 in 77, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lushchyk 1776 vs Hubenko 1721
Lushchyk
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lushchyk 100% vs Hubenko 40%
Lushchyk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lushchyk 80% vs Hubenko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lushchyk +6 · Hubenko -2
Lushchyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Lushchyk) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lushchyk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLushchyk 1.53 / Hubenko 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Lushchyk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13172932
Lushchyk1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 109 of 165
Up 2–0, closes it95% 59 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it80% 79 of 99
Hubenko2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog26% won 41 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back17% 16 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLushchyk4wins
AwayHubenko6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLushchyk75%3 of 4
AwayHubenko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lushchyk4Hubenko6n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S2Lushchyk5Hubenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Lushchyk6Hubenko4n = 10Lushchyk took 6 of 10
S4Lushchyk2Hubenko3n = 5Hubenko took 3 of 5
S5Lushchyk1Hubenko2n = 3Hubenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLushchykHubenkoL − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.036.6+0.4per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLushchykHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime367 / 790 vs 563 / 104746.5%53.8%367 / 790 vs 563 / 1047Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LushchykLushchyk 1.53/Hubenko 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Lushchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 15:00A. Lushchyk228950M. Hubenko331111113
WSep 22 · 14:00A. Lushchyk341211113M. Hubenko2110470
LSep 10 · 17:29A. Lushchyk48111411121M. Hubenko4613163143
LSep 10 · 13:00A. Lushchyk3784111132M. Hubenko50111189113
LAug 30 · 16:00A. Lushchyk551314711102M. Hubenko581512118123
WAug 9 · 09:30A. Lushchyk44711114113M. Hubenko3511231182
LAug 2 · 14:00A. Lushchyk33147481M. Hubenko45121111113
LJul 31 · 08:00A. Lushchyk2810990M. Hubenko341211113
WJul 24 · 10:00A. Lushchyk331111113M. Hubenko239770
WJul 19 · 09:30A. Lushchyk361411113M. Hubenko2112720
A. Lushchyk10
WSep 22 · 14:00M. Hubenko2.3810470A. Lushchyk1.531211113WSep 22 · 13:30A. Lushchyk1.501151110113A. Vasylets2.5081141292WSep 22 · 12:30A. Lushchyk1.6181111113S. Chuhai2.20118971WSep 18 · 17:30A. Lushchyk4.3311117113M. Baday1.20351151WSep 18 · 16:30A. Lushchyk1.52811118113S. Chuhai2.3511681152WSep 18 · 14:30A. Lushchyk2.631111113A. Kasyanov1.449780LSep 18 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.3811811113A. Lushchyk1.53411691LSep 18 · 12:30M. Baday1.201111123A. Lushchyk4.3327100WSep 17 · 17:30A. Lushchyk2.6311511113A. Kasyanov1.44811951WSep 17 · 16:30A. Lushchyk2.63811711113I. Fedoryshyn1.4411911792
M. Hubenko10
LSep 22 · 14:00M. Hubenko2.3810470A. Lushchyk1.531211113LSep 22 · 13:00M. Hubenko2.7597111192S. Chuhai1.40111188113WSep 22 · 12:00M. Hubenko1.531111113A. Vasylets2.385480WSep 20 · 11:30M. Hubenko1.3611111211113D. Kuzmenko3.0013514412LSep 20 · 09:30O. Ziakun2.751114113M. Hubenko1.4091270WSep 20 · 07:30V. Tatarnykov2.008860M. Hubenko1.731111113WSep 20 · 06:30M. Hubenko1.578111011143O. Syksa2.25118128122WSep 20 · 05:30S. Aristarkhov1.8381030M. Hubenko1.831112113WSep 19 · 17:03M. Hubenko1.5041111103A. Vasylets2.50114771WSep 19 · 16:00D. Prylepa2.507650M. Hubenko1.50111183
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