TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Maksym Hubenko vs Andrii Lushchyk 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Maksym Hubenko
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012411711––––
Andrii Lushchyk
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:50 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeAndrii Lushchyk to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Andrii Lushchyk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 55 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Andrii Lushchyk at 61.2%
55 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 29–46 Andrii Lushchyk Maksym Hubenko has won 29 of their 75 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:50What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Lushchyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-46 in 75
Lushchyk
Correct
gap of 17 in 75, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hubenko 1714 vs Lushchyk 1775
Lushchyk
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubenko 60% vs Lushchyk 80%
Lushchyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubenko 70% vs Lushchyk 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubenko -1 · Lushchyk +4
Lushchyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Lushchyk) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lushchyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 2.38 / Lushchyk 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Lushchyk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13172903
Hubenko2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog26% won 41 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back17% 16 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 58
Lushchyk1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 109 of 165
Up 2–0, closes it95% 59 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it80% 79 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko5wins
AwayLushchyk5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko66.7%4 of 6
AwayLushchyk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko6Lushchyk4n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S2Hubenko4Lushchyk6n = 10Lushchyk took 6 of 10
S3Hubenko3Lushchyk7n = 10Lushchyk took 7 of 10
S4Hubenko4Lushchyk2n = 6Hubenko took 4 of 6
S5Hubenko2Lushchyk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoLushchykH − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.040.1−2.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoLushchykBasisWin rate · lifetime562 / 1045 vs 365 / 78753.8%46.4%562 / 1045 vs 365 / 787Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LushchykHubenko 2.38/Lushchyk 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Lushchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lushchyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 17:29M. Hubenko4613163143A. Lushchyk48111411121
WSep 10 · 13:00M. Hubenko50111189113A. Lushchyk3784111132
WAug 30 · 16:00M. Hubenko581512118123A. Lushchyk551314711102
LAug 9 · 09:30M. Hubenko3511231182A. Lushchyk44711114113
WAug 2 · 14:00M. Hubenko45121111113A. Lushchyk33147481
WJul 31 · 08:00M. Hubenko341211113A. Lushchyk2810990
LJul 24 · 10:00M. Hubenko239770A. Lushchyk331111113
LJul 19 · 09:30M. Hubenko2112720A. Lushchyk361411113
LJul 13 · 10:30M. Hubenko259880A. Lushchyk331111113
LJul 9 · 12:30M. Hubenko43126311112A. Lushchyk541011119133
M. Hubenko10
WSep 22 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.538950M. Hubenko2.381111113LSep 22 · 13:00M. Hubenko2.7597111192S. Chuhai1.40111188113WSep 22 · 12:00M. Hubenko1.531111113A. Vasylets2.385480WSep 20 · 11:30M. Hubenko1.3611111211113D. Kuzmenko3.0013514412LSep 20 · 09:30O. Ziakun2.751114113M. Hubenko1.4091270WSep 20 · 07:30V. Tatarnykov2.008860M. Hubenko1.731111113WSep 20 · 06:30M. Hubenko1.578111011143O. Syksa2.25118128122WSep 20 · 05:30S. Aristarkhov1.8381030M. Hubenko1.831112113WSep 19 · 17:03M. Hubenko1.5041111103A. Vasylets2.50114771WSep 19 · 16:00D. Prylepa2.507650M. Hubenko1.50111183
A. Lushchyk10
LSep 22 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.538950M. Hubenko2.381111113WSep 22 · 13:30A. Lushchyk1.501151110113A. Vasylets2.5081141292WSep 22 · 12:30A. Lushchyk1.6181111113S. Chuhai2.20118971WSep 18 · 17:30A. Lushchyk4.3311117113M. Baday1.20351151WSep 18 · 16:30A. Lushchyk1.52811118113S. Chuhai2.3511681152WSep 18 · 14:30A. Lushchyk2.631111113A. Kasyanov1.449780LSep 18 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.3811811113A. Lushchyk1.53411691LSep 18 · 12:30M. Baday1.201111123A. Lushchyk4.3327100WSep 17 · 17:30A. Lushchyk2.6311511113A. Kasyanov1.44811951WSep 17 · 16:30A. Lushchyk2.63811711113I. Fedoryshyn1.4411911792
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