TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Chuhai vs Andrii Vasylets 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Serhii Chuhai
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6117111161214––
Andrii Vasylets
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:01 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeSerhii Chuhai to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Chuhai above · Andrii Vasylets below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 78 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Serhii Chuhai at 64.5%
78 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Chuhai 24–21 Andrii Vasylets Andrii Vasylets has won 21 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:01What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Chuhai
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-21 in 45
Chuhai
Wrong
gap of 3 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chuhai 1759 vs Vasylets 1628
Chuhai
Wrong
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chuhai 20% vs Vasylets 40%
Vasylets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chuhai 40% vs Vasylets 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chuhai +1 · Vasylets -3
Vasylets
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Chuhai) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chuhai form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChuhai 1.44 / Vasylets 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Chuhai)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13172991
Chuhai1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite75% won 175 of 233
Up 2–0, closes it94% 98 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it88% 133 of 152
Vasylets2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 55 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back13% 8 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChuhai7wins
AwayVasylets3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderChuhai leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChuhai80%4 of 5
AwayVasylets40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chuhai5Vasylets5n = 10split evenly
S2Chuhai6Vasylets4n = 10Chuhai took 6 of 10
S3Chuhai5Vasylets5n = 10split evenly
S4Chuhai5Vasylets2n = 7Chuhai took 5 of 7
S5Chuhai3Vasylets1n = 4Chuhai took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricChuhaiVasyletsC − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.637.6+3.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChuhaiVasyletsBasisWin rate · lifetime483 / 947 vs 230 / 51451%44.8%483 / 947 vs 230 / 514Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChuhaiChuhai 1.44/Vasylets 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.3%
Chuhai · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vasylets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 05:30S. Chuhai331111113A. Vasylets165740
WJul 30 · 17:00S. Chuhai4271112123A. Vasylets3811710101
WJul 30 · 15:00S. Chuhai45111112113A. Vasylets36691471
LJul 28 · 17:09S. Chuhai38111221032A. Vasylets539101112113
WJul 28 · 12:00S. Chuhai50981111113A. Vasylets4211118842
LJul 23 · 12:00S. Chuhai4571214121A. Vasylets51111016143
WJul 21 · 12:00S. Chuhai48116911113A. Vasylets4791111972
WJul 14 · 15:00S. Chuhai331111113A. Vasylets197660
LJul 7 · 16:00S. Chuhai2781090A. Vasylets341112113
WJun 29 · 15:00S. Chuhai45391111113A. Vasylets4011118822
S. Chuhai10
WSep 22 · 15:30A. Vasylets2.638121191S. Chuhai1.4411148113WSep 22 · 13:00M. Hubenko2.7597111192S. Chuhai1.40111188113LSep 22 · 12:30A. Lushchyk1.6181111113S. Chuhai2.20118971LSep 18 · 16:30A. Lushchyk1.52811118113S. Chuhai2.3511681152LSep 18 · 15:00M. Baday1.44511711113S. Chuhai2.6311911992LSep 18 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.75115971M. Baday1.4081111113WSep 18 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.3811811113A. Lushchyk1.53411691LSep 18 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.10129100A. Kasyanov1.671411123LSep 17 · 17:00S. Chuhai2.63611951I. Fedoryshyn1.4411311113WSep 17 · 16:00S. Chuhai2.001111113A. Kasyanov1.738250
A. Vasylets10
LSep 22 · 15:30A. Vasylets2.638121191S. Chuhai1.4411148113LSep 22 · 13:30A. Lushchyk1.501151110113A. Vasylets2.5081141292LSep 22 · 12:00M. Hubenko1.531111113A. Vasylets2.385480LSep 19 · 17:03M. Hubenko1.5041111103A. Vasylets2.50114771WSep 19 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov1.53111031162A. Vasylets2.38812117113WSep 19 · 14:30A. Vasylets2.38111211123M. Hubenko1.5331013111WSep 19 · 13:30S. Aristarkhov1.5044111162A. Vasylets2.50111157113LSep 19 · 12:30A. Vasylets1.671071131D. Prylepa2.1012112113WSep 16 · 11:00A. Vasylets1.531111113D. Kuzmenko2.385870LSep 16 · 09:00O. Syksa1.91911111113A. Vasylets1.8011118782
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