TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmytro Prylepa vs Maksym Hubenko 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Dmytro Prylepa
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111161181012114
Maksym Hubenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:08 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Prylepa above · Maksym Hubenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 92 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 68.9%
92 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Prylepa 43–92 Maksym Hubenko Dmytro Prylepa has won 43 of their 135 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:08What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hubenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-92 in 135
Hubenko
Wrong
gap of 49 in 135, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prylepa 1460 vs Hubenko 1688
Hubenko
Wrong
both rated, 228 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prylepa 20% vs Hubenko 60%
Hubenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prylepa 30% vs Hubenko 60%
Hubenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prylepa -3 · Hubenko +2
Prylepa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prylepa form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrylepa 2.63 / Hubenko 1.44
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Hubenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13179626
Prylepa2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 49 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back9% 9 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 74
Hubenko1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 244 of 334
Up 2–0, closes it94% 124 of 132
Up 1–0, closes it83% 173 of 208
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrylepa3wins
AwayHubenko7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrylepa66.7%2 of 3
AwayHubenko85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prylepa3Hubenko7n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S2Prylepa6Hubenko4n = 10Prylepa took 6 of 10
S3Prylepa4Hubenko5n = 9Hubenko took 5 of 9
S4Prylepa1Hubenko3n = 4Hubenko took 3 of 4
S5Prylepa1Hubenko3n = 4Hubenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrylepaHubenkoP − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.339.8−2.5per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrylepaHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 804 vs 564 / 104948.9%53.8%393 / 804 vs 564 / 1049Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoPrylepa 2.63/Hubenko 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.9%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Prylepa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 23 · 07:00D. Prylepa518111110113M. Hubenko4111681242
LSep 14 · 10:30D. Prylepa213990M. Hubenko331111113
LSep 6 · 07:00D. Prylepa2210570M. Hubenko341211113
LSep 4 · 07:00D. Prylepa48911512112M. Hubenko531181110133
LAug 31 · 07:00D. Prylepa4651311982M. Hubenko531111911113
WAug 30 · 14:30D. Prylepa341211113M. Hubenko1910360
WAug 28 · 08:30D. Prylepa381116113M. Hubenko3181490
LAug 20 · 05:00D. Prylepa2458110M. Hubenko351111133
LAug 16 · 17:30D. Prylepa52131118282M. Hubenko591162011113
D. Prylepa10
LSep 23 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.6711136782S. Maliuk2.109111111113LSep 23 · 05:00D. Prylepa2.75811971O. Syksa1.4011611113LSep 21 · 10:30O. Syksa1.4411117113D. Prylepa2.63481181LSep 21 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.61116861O. Kurylenko2.2071111113WSep 21 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.671211113S. Maliuk2.1010560LSep 21 · 07:00D. Prylepa1.33310111162O. Lyman3.25111259113WSep 21 · 05:00D. Prylepa1.57118811113D. Kuzmenko2.2561111772LSep 19 · 17:35D. Prylepa2.385850V. Tatarnykov1.531111113LSep 19 · 16:00D. Prylepa2.507650M. Hubenko1.50111183LSep 19 · 15:00S. Aristarkhov1.4011911123D. Prylepa2.757116101
M. Hubenko10
LSep 23 · 08:00M. Hubenko1.4498111192O. Syksa2.63111187113WSep 23 · 05:30M. Hubenko1.17191110113S. Miroshnychenko4.501781271WSep 22 · 17:00A. Vasylets2.385470M. Hubenko1.531111113LSep 22 · 16:30S. Chuhai1.401111113M. Hubenko2.755790WSep 22 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.538950M. Hubenko2.381111113LSep 22 · 14:00M. Hubenko2.3810470A. Lushchyk1.531211113LSep 22 · 13:00M. Hubenko2.7597111192S. Chuhai1.40111188113WSep 22 · 12:00M. Hubenko1.531111113A. Vasylets2.385480WSep 20 · 11:30M. Hubenko1.3611111211113D. Kuzmenko3.0013514412WSep 19 · 16:00D. Prylepa2.507650M. Hubenko1.50111183
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