TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmytro Prylepa vs Serhii Maliuk 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Dmytro Prylepa
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191311611711811
Serhii Maliuk
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:07 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeDmytro Prylepa to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Prylepa above · Serhii Maliuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 98 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Dmytro Prylepa at 56.5%
98 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Prylepa 25–17 Serhii Maliuk Serhii Maliuk has won 17 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:07What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Prylepa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-17 in 42
Prylepa
Wrong
gap of 8 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prylepa 1460 vs Maliuk 1502
Maliuk
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prylepa 40% vs Maliuk 60%
Maliuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prylepa 30% vs Maliuk 60%
Maliuk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prylepa +1 · Maliuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Prylepa) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maliuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrylepa 1.67 / Maliuk 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Prylepa)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13179676
Prylepa1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 125 of 202
Up 2–0, closes it98% 59 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it86% 101 of 118
Maliuk2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 85 of 214
Down 0–1, comes back17% 22 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrylepa6wins
AwayMaliuk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPrylepa leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrylepa83.3%5 of 6
AwayMaliuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prylepa6Maliuk4n = 10Prylepa took 6 of 10
S2Prylepa5Maliuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Prylepa5Maliuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Prylepa4Maliuk3n = 7Prylepa took 4 of 7
S5Prylepa2Maliuk1n = 3Prylepa took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrylepaMaliukP − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.637.6−1.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrylepaMaliukBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 804 vs 264 / 53348.9%49.5%393 / 804 vs 264 / 533Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrylepaPrylepa 1.67/Maliuk 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Prylepa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Maliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 08:30D. Prylepa341211113S. Maliuk2110560
WSep 14 · 05:00D. Prylepa3911116113S. Maliuk33961171
LSep 10 · 10:00D. Prylepa33613861S. Maliuk44111111113
LSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa26115551S. Maliuk4291111113
LSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa4467111192S. Maliuk47111168113
WAug 20 · 07:00D. Prylepa3951111123S. Maliuk391199101
WAug 18 · 08:30D. Prylepa47115119113S. Maliuk4371151192
LAug 13 · 11:00D. Prylepa206590S. Maliuk331111113
WAug 12 · 08:30D. Prylepa481110511113S. Maliuk4891211882
WAug 5 · 05:00D. Prylepa361111143S. Maliuk2677120
D. Prylepa10
WSep 23 · 07:00D. Prylepa2.638111110113M. Hubenko1.4411681242LSep 23 · 05:00D. Prylepa2.75811971O. Syksa1.4011611113LSep 21 · 10:30O. Syksa1.4411117113D. Prylepa2.63481181LSep 21 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.61116861O. Kurylenko2.2071111113WSep 21 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.671211113S. Maliuk2.1010560LSep 21 · 07:00D. Prylepa1.33310111162O. Lyman3.25111259113WSep 21 · 05:00D. Prylepa1.57118811113D. Kuzmenko2.2561111772LSep 19 · 17:35D. Prylepa2.385850V. Tatarnykov1.531111113LSep 19 · 16:00D. Prylepa2.507650M. Hubenko1.50111183LSep 19 · 15:00S. Aristarkhov1.4011911123D. Prylepa2.757116101
S. Maliuk10
WSep 23 · 06:30S. Miroshnychenko2.507640S. Maliuk1.501111113LSep 23 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.831111116113S. Maliuk1.8313941172LSep 22 · 11:00S. Maliuk1.447880S. Miroshnychenko2.631111113WSep 22 · 09:00O. Lyman2.509950S. Maliuk1.501111113WSep 22 · 08:00S. Maliuk1.8011611133D. Kuzmenko1.918118111LSep 22 · 07:00O. Ziakun1.83811611113S. Maliuk1.8311711492WSep 22 · 05:30S. Maliuk1.831111113O. Kurylenko1.835860WSep 21 · 11:00O. Lyman2.381396101S. Maliuk1.53111111123WSep 21 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko1.83911491S. Maliuk1.8311911113LSep 21 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.671211113S. Maliuk2.1010560
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