TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Miroshnychenko vs Serhii Maliuk 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611411––––
Serhii Maliuk
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:07 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeSerhii Maliuk to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Miroshnychenko above · Serhii Maliuk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 50 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Serhii Maliuk at 62.1%
50 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Miroshnychenko 37–50 Serhii Maliuk Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 37 of their 87 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:07What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Maliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-50 in 87
Maliuk
Correct
gap of 13 in 87, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miroshnychenko 1349 vs Maliuk 1502
Maliuk
Correct
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miroshnychenko 40% vs Maliuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miroshnychenko 30% vs Maliuk 60%
Maliuk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Miroshnychenko -1 · Maliuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Maliuk) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maliuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiroshnychenko 2.50 / Maliuk 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Maliuk)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13179668
Miroshnychenko2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog23% won 72 of 311
Down 0–1, comes back12% 23 of 194
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 103
Maliuk1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 67 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it91% 32 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it75% 49 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiroshnychenko4wins
AwayMaliuk6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMaliuk leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiroshnychenko66.7%4 of 6
AwayMaliuk100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miroshnychenko6Maliuk4n = 10Miroshnychenko took 6 of 10
S2Miroshnychenko6Maliuk4n = 10Miroshnychenko took 6 of 10
S3Miroshnychenko4Maliuk6n = 10Maliuk took 6 of 10
S4Miroshnychenko1Maliuk4n = 5Maliuk took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiroshnychenkoMaliukMiroshnychenko − MaliukBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.035.0−1.0per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiroshnychenkoMaliukBasisWin rate · lifetime308 / 860 vs 264 / 53335.8%49.5%308 / 860 vs 264 / 533Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaliukMiroshnychenko 2.50/Maliuk 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Maliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Maliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 06:30S. Miroshnychenko177640S. Maliuk331111113
WSep 22 · 11:00S. Miroshnychenko331111113S. Maliuk237880
WSep 15 · 07:00S. Miroshnychenko341211113S. Maliuk2010730
LSep 10 · 06:00S. Miroshnychenko351139121S. Maliuk4591111143
WSep 8 · 11:30S. Miroshnychenko4511419113S. Maliuk429111751
LSep 3 · 05:00S. Miroshnychenko356111081S. Maliuk4211812113
LSep 1 · 09:00S. Miroshnychenko4271114101S. Maliuk4611716123
WAug 20 · 11:00S. Miroshnychenko331111113S. Maliuk178630
LAug 18 · 04:30S. Miroshnychenko29810110S. Maliuk361112133
LAug 14 · 06:00S. Miroshnychenko3711116452S. Maliuk46761111113
S. Miroshnychenko10
LSep 23 · 05:30M. Hubenko1.17191110113S. Miroshnychenko4.501781271WSep 22 · 11:00S. Maliuk1.447880S. Miroshnychenko2.631111113WSep 22 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko1.4411112101S. Miroshnychenko2.6313911123LSep 22 · 08:30O. Ziakun1.401211113S. Miroshnychenko2.7510490LSep 22 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.4481311113S. Miroshnychenko2.631111171LSep 22 · 04:30O. Lyman1.401111113S. Miroshnychenko2.757770LSep 17 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.4411117113S. Miroshnychenko2.63361141LSep 17 · 10:00M. Hubenko1.17111110113S. Miroshnychenko4.50481211LSep 17 · 08:30O. Syksa1.4011119113S. Miroshnychenko2.75841151WSep 17 · 06:30O. Lyman1.36911718122S. Miroshnychenko3.001181116143
S. Maliuk10
LSep 23 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.831111116113S. Maliuk1.8313941172LSep 22 · 11:00S. Maliuk1.447880S. Miroshnychenko2.631111113WSep 22 · 09:00O. Lyman2.509950S. Maliuk1.501111113WSep 22 · 08:00S. Maliuk1.8011611133D. Kuzmenko1.918118111LSep 22 · 07:00O. Ziakun1.83811611113S. Maliuk1.8311711492WSep 22 · 05:30S. Maliuk1.831111113O. Kurylenko1.835860WSep 21 · 11:00O. Lyman2.381396101S. Maliuk1.53111111123WSep 21 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko1.83911491S. Maliuk1.8311911113LSep 21 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.671211113S. Maliuk2.1010560WSep 21 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.8310101331S. Maliuk1.83121211113
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