TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Kurylenko vs Serhii Miroshnychenko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Oleh Kurylenko
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111311111117––
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:49 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeOleh Kurylenko to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Kurylenko above · Serhii Miroshnychenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-1
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 73 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Oleh Kurylenko at 67.7%
73 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kurylenko 93–57 Serhii Miroshnychenko Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 57 of their 150 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:49What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kurylenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
93-57 in 150
Kurylenko
Correct
gap of 36 in 150, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurylenko 1502 vs Miroshnychenko 1327
Kurylenko
Correct
both rated, 175 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurylenko 60% vs Miroshnychenko 20%
Kurylenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurylenko 70% vs Miroshnychenko 40%
Kurylenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurylenko -1 · Miroshnychenko -4
Miroshnychenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Kurylenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miroshnychenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurylenko 1.44 / Miroshnychenko 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Kurylenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13172309
Kurylenko1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 156 of 260
Up 2–0, closes it89% 74 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it80% 110 of 138
Miroshnychenko2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog23% won 71 of 311
Down 0–1, comes back12% 23 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurylenko7wins
AwayMiroshnychenko3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKurylenko leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurylenko100%6 of 6
AwayMiroshnychenko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurylenko6Miroshnychenko4n = 10Kurylenko took 6 of 10
S2Kurylenko7Miroshnychenko3n = 10Kurylenko took 7 of 10
S3Kurylenko7Miroshnychenko3n = 10Kurylenko took 7 of 10
S4Kurylenko4Miroshnychenko1n = 5Kurylenko took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurylenkoMiroshnychenkoK − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.430.8+6.6per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurylenkoMiroshnychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime495 / 1002 vs 306 / 85549.4%35.8%495 / 1002 vs 306 / 855Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.134.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurylenkoKurylenko 1.44/Miroshnychenko 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Kurylenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kurylenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4381311113S. Miroshnychenko301111171
WSep 17 · 11:00O. Kurylenko4011117113S. Miroshnychenko24361141
WSep 10 · 09:00O. Kurylenko4011612113S. Miroshnychenko295111031
LSep 8 · 08:00O. Kurylenko389117111S. Miroshnychenko4011511133
LSep 3 · 11:30O. Kurylenko2529140S. Miroshnychenko381111163
WAug 24 · 06:30O. Kurylenko331111113S. Miroshnychenko206680
WAug 21 · 08:00O. Kurylenko331111113S. Miroshnychenko238780
WAug 18 · 09:00O. Kurylenko331111113S. Miroshnychenko258890
LAug 11 · 11:00O. Kurylenko54714111392S. Miroshnychenko581116911113
WAug 10 · 09:00O. Kurylenko351311113S. Miroshnychenko2111730
O. Kurylenko10
LSep 22 · 05:30S. Maliuk1.831111113O. Kurylenko1.835860WSep 21 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.801111113D. Kuzmenko1.918780WSep 21 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.61116861O. Kurylenko2.2071111113WSep 21 · 07:30O. Syksa1.61111111452O. Kurylenko2.20781311113LSep 21 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.8310101331S. Maliuk1.83121211113WSep 21 · 05:30O. Lyman2.00121111782O. Kurylenko1.73147911113LSep 18 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.8078100D. Kuzmenko1.911111123WSep 18 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.91612711112O. Kurylenko1.801110117133WSep 18 · 08:00O. Kurylenko2.101411113O. Syksa1.6712570WSep 18 · 07:00O. Lyman2.1068130O. Kurylenko1.671111153
S. Miroshnychenko10
LSep 22 · 04:30O. Lyman1.401111113S. Miroshnychenko2.757770LSep 17 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.4411117113S. Miroshnychenko2.63361141LSep 17 · 10:00M. Hubenko1.17111110113S. Miroshnychenko4.50481211LSep 17 · 08:30O. Syksa1.4011119113S. Miroshnychenko2.75841151WSep 17 · 06:30O. Lyman1.36911718122S. Miroshnychenko3.001181116143LSep 17 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.44139128113S. Miroshnychenko2.631111101182LSep 16 · 17:30S. Miroshnychenko1.131181171I. Torhachov5.5071113113WSep 16 · 16:00R. Boklah4.001111251S. Miroshnychenko1.2213511113WSep 16 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.006880S. Miroshnychenko1.361111113WSep 16 · 13:00I. Torhachov5.007580S. Miroshnychenko1.141111113
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