TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Lyman vs Serhii Miroshnychenko 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Oleksandr Lyman
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117117––––
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:52 and never touched — 70.6% is still 70.6%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Lyman to win
70.6%
70.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Lyman above · Serhii Miroshnychenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 54 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Lyman at 70.6%
54 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Lyman 70–14 Serhii Miroshnychenko Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 14 of their 84 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:52What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Lyman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
70-14 in 84
Lyman
Correct
gap of 56 in 84, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lyman 1397 vs Miroshnychenko 1347
Lyman
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lyman 40% vs Miroshnychenko 20%
Lyman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lyman 30% vs Miroshnychenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lyman -2 · Miroshnychenko -3
Miroshnychenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Lyman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miroshnychenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLyman 1.40 / Miroshnychenko 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Lyman)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13172308
Lyman1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite73% won 30 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Miroshnychenko2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 17)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog23% won 71 of 311
Down 0–1, comes back12% 23 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLyman8wins
AwayMiroshnychenko2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLyman leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLyman100%6 of 6
AwayMiroshnychenko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lyman6Miroshnychenko4n = 10Lyman took 6 of 10
S2Lyman4Miroshnychenko6n = 10Miroshnychenko took 6 of 10
S3Lyman7Miroshnychenko3n = 10Lyman took 7 of 10
S4Lyman7Miroshnychenko1n = 8Lyman took 7 of 8
S5Lyman2Miroshnychenko1n = 3Lyman took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLymanMiroshnychenkoL − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.838.0+3.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLymanMiroshnychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 609 vs 309 / 86143.8%35.9%267 / 609 vs 309 / 861Avg sets wonper match1.91.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.834.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LymanLyman 1.40/Miroshnychenko 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.6%
Lyman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lyman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 06:30O. Lyman57911718122S. Miroshnychenko601181116143
WSep 15 · 05:30O. Lyman43111011113S. Miroshnychenko39912991
WSep 10 · 07:30O. Lyman4011711113S. Miroshnychenko33811681
WSep 8 · 10:00O. Lyman351113113S. Miroshnychenko2251160
WSep 3 · 08:00O. Lyman54711146163S. Miroshnychenko531151211142
WSep 1 · 07:00O. Lyman3911611113S. Miroshnychenko31611681
WAug 20 · 04:30O. Lyman3811511113S. Miroshnychenko31611591
LJun 18 · 10:00O. Lyman248790S. Miroshnychenko331111113
WJun 17 · 06:30O. Lyman4211911113S. Miroshnychenko35911781
WJun 15 · 09:00O. Lyman46611711113S. Miroshnychenko4311511882
O. Lyman10
LSep 22 · 06:00O. Lyman2.753111111102D. Kuzmenko1.40119139123LSep 21 · 11:00O. Lyman2.381396101S. Maliuk1.53111111123LSep 21 · 09:00O. Syksa1.20111112113O. Lyman4.334131031WSep 21 · 08:00O. Lyman2.7512118113D. Kuzmenko1.401071191WSep 21 · 07:00D. Prylepa1.33310111162O. Lyman3.25111259113LSep 21 · 05:30O. Lyman2.00121111782O. Kurylenko1.73147911113LSep 18 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.6111127113O. Lyman2.209101171WSep 18 · 09:30O. Lyman2.5012116133S. Maliuk1.5010911111LSep 18 · 08:30O. Lyman3.0096111192D. Kuzmenko1.36111176113LSep 18 · 07:00O. Lyman2.1068130O. Kurylenko1.671111153
S. Miroshnychenko10
LSep 22 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.4481311113S. Miroshnychenko2.631111171LSep 17 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.4411117113S. Miroshnychenko2.63361141LSep 17 · 10:00M. Hubenko1.17111110113S. Miroshnychenko4.50481211LSep 17 · 08:30O. Syksa1.4011119113S. Miroshnychenko2.75841151WSep 17 · 06:30O. Lyman1.36911718122S. Miroshnychenko3.001181116143LSep 17 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.44139128113S. Miroshnychenko2.631111101182LSep 16 · 17:30S. Miroshnychenko1.131181171I. Torhachov5.5071113113WSep 16 · 16:00R. Boklah4.001111251S. Miroshnychenko1.2213511113WSep 16 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.006880S. Miroshnychenko1.361111113WSep 16 · 13:00I. Torhachov5.007580S. Miroshnychenko1.141111113
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