TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmitro Kuzmenko vs Serhii Miroshnychenko 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11131192111012––
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:50 and never touched — 68.1% is still 68.1%
Graded at full timeDmitro Kuzmenko to win
68.1%
68.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmitro Kuzmenko above · Serhii Miroshnychenko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 79 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Dmitro Kuzmenko at 68.1%
79 points played in total.
H2H Dmitro Kuzmenko 77–46 Serhii Miroshnychenko Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 46 of their 123 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:50What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kuzmenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
77-46 in 123
Kuzmenko
Wrong
gap of 31 in 123, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmenko 1496 vs Miroshnychenko 1321
Kuzmenko
Wrong
both rated, 175 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmenko 40% vs Miroshnychenko 0%
Kuzmenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmenko 30% vs Miroshnychenko 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmenko -1 · Miroshnychenko -6
Miroshnychenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Kuzmenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miroshnychenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmenko 1.44 / Miroshnychenko 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Kuzmenko)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13172347
Kuzmenko1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 98 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it93% 50 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it80% 74 of 92
Miroshnychenko2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog23% won 71 of 311
Down 0–1, comes back12% 23 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmenko7wins
AwayMiroshnychenko3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKuzmenko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmenko80%4 of 5
AwayMiroshnychenko40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmenko5Miroshnychenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Kuzmenko5Miroshnychenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Kuzmenko7Miroshnychenko3n = 10Kuzmenko took 7 of 10
S4Kuzmenko7Miroshnychenko2n = 9Kuzmenko took 7 of 9
S5Kuzmenko2Miroshnychenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmenkoMiroshnychenkoK − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.936.5+5.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmenkoMiroshnychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime391 / 938 vs 306 / 85641.7%35.8%391 / 938 vs 306 / 856Avg sets wonper match1.81.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.434.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmenkoKuzmenko 1.44/Miroshnychenko 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.1%
Kuzmenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Miroshnychenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko3511211113S. Miroshnychenko34611891
WSep 3 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko331111113S. Miroshnychenko134630
WSep 1 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko4281111123S. Miroshnychenko311182101
WAug 24 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko511071211113S. Miroshnychenko45121110752
LAug 21 · 11:30D. Kuzmenko32581181S. Miroshnychenko3911116113
WAug 18 · 07:30D. Kuzmenko4211119113S. Miroshnychenko31481181
WAug 14 · 04:30D. Kuzmenko516111110133S. Miroshnychenko45118312112
WAug 11 · 06:30D. Kuzmenko44111012113S. Miroshnychenko333121081
LAug 10 · 07:30D. Kuzmenko4581191162S. Miroshnychenko46116117113
LAug 6 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko44115611112S. Miroshnychenko48711116133
D. Kuzmenko10
LSep 22 · 08:00S. Maliuk1.8011611133D. Kuzmenko1.918118111WSep 22 · 06:00O. Lyman2.753111111102D. Kuzmenko1.40119139123WSep 22 · 05:00O. Ziakun2.00511591D. Kuzmenko1.7311811113LSep 21 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.801111113D. Kuzmenko1.918780LSep 21 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko1.83911491S. Maliuk1.8311911113LSep 21 · 08:00O. Lyman2.7512118113D. Kuzmenko1.401071191WSep 21 · 06:00O. Syksa1.6785111162D. Kuzmenko2.10111184113LSep 21 · 05:00D. Prylepa1.57118811113D. Kuzmenko2.2561111772LSep 20 · 11:30M. Hubenko1.3611111211113D. Kuzmenko3.0013514412LSep 20 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko2.258570O. Syksa1.571111113
S. Miroshnychenko10
WSep 22 · 11:00S. Maliuk1.447880S. Miroshnychenko2.631111113LSep 22 · 08:30O. Ziakun1.401211113S. Miroshnychenko2.7510490LSep 22 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.4481311113S. Miroshnychenko2.631111171LSep 22 · 04:30O. Lyman1.401111113S. Miroshnychenko2.757770LSep 17 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.4411117113S. Miroshnychenko2.63361141LSep 17 · 10:00M. Hubenko1.17111110113S. Miroshnychenko4.50481211LSep 17 · 08:30O. Syksa1.4011119113S. Miroshnychenko2.75841151WSep 17 · 06:30O. Lyman1.36911718122S. Miroshnychenko3.001181116143LSep 17 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.44139128113S. Miroshnychenko2.631111101182LSep 16 · 17:30S. Miroshnychenko1.131181171I. Torhachov5.5071113113
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