TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Oleksandr Syksa
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811511118114611
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:40 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Syksa above · Dmitro Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 86 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 57.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Syksa 85–39 Dmitro Kuzmenko Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 39 of their 124 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:40What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Syksa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
85-39 in 124
Syksa
Wrong
gap of 46 in 124, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syksa 1557 vs Kuzmenko 1529
Syksa
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syksa 40% vs Kuzmenko 20%
Syksa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syksa 40% vs Kuzmenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Syksa -1 · Kuzmenko -3
Kuzmenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Syksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyksa 1.67 / Kuzmenko 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Syksa)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13166116
Syksa1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 245 of 358
Up 2–0, closes it95% 103 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it82% 166 of 202
Kuzmenko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 107 of 304
Down 0–1, comes back18% 31 of 174
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyksa6wins
AwayKuzmenko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSyksa leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyksa80%4 of 5
AwayKuzmenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syksa5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Syksa3Kuzmenko7n = 10Kuzmenko took 7 of 10
S3Syksa6Kuzmenko4n = 10Syksa took 6 of 10
S4Syksa4Kuzmenko2n = 6Syksa took 4 of 6
S5Syksa3Kuzmenko1n = 4Syksa took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyksaKuzmenkoS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.235.7+2.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyksaKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime585 / 1110 vs 389 / 93252.7%41.7%585 / 1110 vs 389 / 932Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaSyksa 1.67/Kuzmenko 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 06:00O. Syksa4185111162D. Kuzmenko45111184113
WSep 20 · 10:00O. Syksa331111113D. Kuzmenko208570
LSep 18 · 10:00O. Syksa209740D. Kuzmenko331111113
WSep 16 · 04:30O. Syksa341211113D. Kuzmenko2110290
LSep 14 · 11:00O. Syksa29109100D. Kuzmenko351211123
LSep 11 · 11:00O. Syksa361159111D. Kuzmenko4491111133
WSep 9 · 06:00O. Syksa49881111113D. Kuzmenko4311117772
WSep 7 · 07:00O. Syksa4211911113D. Kuzmenko34911861
WSep 2 · 10:00O. Syksa481110511113D. Kuzmenko4171211562
WSep 1 · 10:00O. Syksa50911118113D. Kuzmenko4111861152
O. Syksa10
LSep 21 · 04:30O. Syksa1.6771050S. Maliuk2.101112113WSep 20 · 11:00S. Aristarkhov1.80311119112O. Syksa1.91118711133WSep 20 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko2.258570O. Syksa1.571111113LSep 20 · 08:30O. Ziakun2.50128118103O. Syksa1.50101171192LSep 20 · 06:30M. Hubenko1.578111011143O. Syksa2.25118128122WSep 20 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov1.53813121172O. Syksa2.381115108113WSep 18 · 11:30S. Maliuk2.204111110112O. Syksa1.61118912133LSep 18 · 10:00O. Syksa1.619740D. Kuzmenko2.201111113LSep 18 · 08:00O. Kurylenko2.101411113O. Syksa1.6712570LSep 18 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.25111211123O. Syksa1.575148101
D. Kuzmenko10
LSep 21 · 05:00D. Prylepa1.57118811113D. Kuzmenko2.2561111772LSep 20 · 11:30M. Hubenko1.3611111211113D. Kuzmenko3.0013514412LSep 20 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko2.258570O. Syksa1.571111113WSep 20 · 08:00S. Aristarkhov1.3611671182D. Kuzmenko3.00711115113LSep 20 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.3311811113D. Kuzmenko3.25711971WSep 20 · 05:00O. Ziakun2.10911491D. Kuzmenko1.6711411113WSep 18 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.8078100D. Kuzmenko1.911111123WSep 18 · 10:00O. Syksa1.619740D. Kuzmenko2.201111113WSep 18 · 08:30O. Lyman3.0096111192D. Kuzmenko1.36111176113LSep 18 · 06:30S. Maliuk2.001111113D. Kuzmenko1.736430
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