TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811511711––––
Oleksandr Syksa
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:05 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmitro Kuzmenko above · Oleksandr Syksa below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 53 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 60.1%
53 points played in total.
H2H Dmitro Kuzmenko 37–84 Oleksandr Syksa Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 37 of their 121 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:05What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Syksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-84 in 121
Syksa
Correct
gap of 47 in 121, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmenko 1549 vs Syksa 1563
Syksa
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmenko 80% vs Syksa 40%
Kuzmenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmenko 50% vs Syksa 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmenko +1 · Syksa -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Syksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syksa form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmenko 2.25 / Syksa 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Syksa)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13160864
Kuzmenko2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 107 of 302
Down 0–1, comes back18% 30 of 171
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 104
Syksa1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 244 of 356
Up 2–0, closes it94% 102 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it82% 165 of 201
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmenko3wins
AwaySyksa7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSyksa leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmenko50%2 of 4
AwaySyksa83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmenko4Syksa6n = 10Syksa took 6 of 10
S2Kuzmenko5Syksa5n = 10split evenly
S3Kuzmenko6Syksa4n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S4Kuzmenko4Syksa4n = 8split evenly
S5Kuzmenko0Syksa4n = 4Syksa took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmenkoSyksaK − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.941.0−4.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmenkoSyksaBasisWin rate · lifetime388 / 928 vs 583 / 110641.8%52.7%388 / 928 vs 583 / 1106Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaKuzmenko 2.25/Syksa 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Syksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 04:30D. Kuzmenko2110290O. Syksa341211113
WSep 14 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko351211123O. Syksa29109100
WSep 11 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko4491111133O. Syksa361159111
LSep 9 · 06:00D. Kuzmenko4311117772O. Syksa49881111113
LSep 7 · 07:00D. Kuzmenko34911861O. Syksa4211911113
LSep 2 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko4171211562O. Syksa481110511113
LSep 1 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko4111861152O. Syksa50911118113
LAug 28 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko4158111162O. Syksa48111196113
LAug 27 · 06:30D. Kuzmenko28721181O. Syksa4011117113
WAug 24 · 06:00D. Kuzmenko4113611113O. Syksa341111571
D. Kuzmenko10
WSep 20 · 08:00S. Aristarkhov1.3611671182D. Kuzmenko3.00711115113LSep 20 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.3311811113D. Kuzmenko3.25711971WSep 20 · 05:00O. Ziakun2.10911491D. Kuzmenko1.6711411113WSep 18 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.8078100D. Kuzmenko1.911111123WSep 18 · 10:00O. Syksa1.619740D. Kuzmenko2.201111113WSep 18 · 08:30O. Lyman3.0096111192D. Kuzmenko1.36111176113LSep 18 · 06:30S. Maliuk2.001111113D. Kuzmenko1.736430LSep 18 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.101011911113D. Kuzmenko1.6712511572LSep 16 · 11:00A. Vasylets1.531111113D. Kuzmenko2.385870LSep 16 · 10:00S. Maliuk2.2011116113D. Kuzmenko1.61471161
O. Syksa10
LSep 20 · 08:30O. Ziakun2.50128118103O. Syksa1.50101171192LSep 20 · 06:30M. Hubenko1.578111011143O. Syksa2.25118128122WSep 20 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov1.53813121172O. Syksa2.381115108113WSep 18 · 11:30S. Maliuk2.204111110112O. Syksa1.61118912133LSep 18 · 10:00O. Syksa1.619740D. Kuzmenko2.201111113LSep 18 · 08:00O. Kurylenko2.101411113O. Syksa1.6712570LSep 18 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.25111211123O. Syksa1.575148101WSep 18 · 05:00O. Lyman4.33811561O. Syksa1.2011911113WSep 17 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.5041111121O. Syksa1.5011135143WSep 17 · 09:30O. Syksa1.179111111113O. Lyman4.5011461392
Upcoming Matches
D. Kuzmenko
O. Syksa
Nothing scheduled
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