TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Maliuk vs Serhii Miroshnychenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Serhii Maliuk
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811811––––
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Maliuk to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Maliuk above · Serhii Miroshnychenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 56 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Serhii Maliuk at 67.7%
56 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Maliuk 49–36 Serhii Miroshnychenko Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 36 of their 85 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:59What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Maliuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
49-36 in 85
Maliuk
Wrong
gap of 13 in 85, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maliuk 1523 vs Miroshnychenko 1339
Maliuk
Wrong
both rated, 183 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maliuk 80% vs Miroshnychenko 20%
Maliuk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maliuk 70% vs Miroshnychenko 20%
Maliuk
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maliuk +2 · Miroshnychenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Maliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miroshnychenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaliuk 1.44 / Miroshnychenko 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Maliuk)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13172367
Maliuk1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 67 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it75% 49 of 65
Miroshnychenko2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog23% won 71 of 311
Down 0–1, comes back12% 23 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaliuk7wins
AwayMiroshnychenko3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMaliuk leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaliuk100%5 of 5
AwayMiroshnychenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maliuk5Miroshnychenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Maliuk4Miroshnychenko6n = 10Miroshnychenko took 6 of 10
S3Maliuk7Miroshnychenko3n = 10Maliuk took 7 of 10
S4Maliuk5Miroshnychenko1n = 6Maliuk took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaliukMiroshnychenkoMaliuk − MiroshnychenkoBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.334.4+2.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaliukMiroshnychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime263 / 530 vs 307 / 85749.6%35.8%263 / 530 vs 307 / 857Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.434.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaliukMaliuk 1.44/Miroshnychenko 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.7%
Maliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Miroshnychenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 07:00S. Maliuk2010730S. Miroshnychenko341211113
WSep 10 · 06:00S. Maliuk4591111143S. Miroshnychenko351139121
LSep 8 · 11:30S. Maliuk429111751S. Miroshnychenko4511419113
WSep 3 · 05:00S. Maliuk4211812113S. Miroshnychenko356111081
WSep 1 · 09:00S. Maliuk4611716123S. Miroshnychenko4271114101
LAug 20 · 11:00S. Maliuk178630S. Miroshnychenko331111113
WAug 18 · 04:30S. Maliuk361112133S. Miroshnychenko29810110
WAug 14 · 06:00S. Maliuk46761111113S. Miroshnychenko3711116452
WAug 12 · 06:30S. Maliuk341112113S. Miroshnychenko2151060
WAug 6 · 07:00S. Maliuk45131011113S. Miroshnychenko331112461
S. Maliuk10
WSep 22 · 09:00O. Lyman2.509950S. Maliuk1.501111113WSep 22 · 08:00S. Maliuk1.8011611133D. Kuzmenko1.918118111LSep 22 · 07:00O. Ziakun1.83811611113S. Maliuk1.8311711492WSep 22 · 05:30S. Maliuk1.831111113O. Kurylenko1.835860WSep 21 · 11:00O. Lyman2.381396101S. Maliuk1.53111111123WSep 21 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko1.83911491S. Maliuk1.8311911113LSep 21 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.671211113S. Maliuk2.1010560WSep 21 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.8310101331S. Maliuk1.83121211113WSep 21 · 04:30O. Syksa1.6771050S. Maliuk2.101112113LSep 18 · 11:30S. Maliuk2.204111110112O. Syksa1.61118912133
S. Miroshnychenko10
WSep 22 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko1.4411112101S. Miroshnychenko2.6313911123LSep 22 · 08:30O. Ziakun1.401211113S. Miroshnychenko2.7510490LSep 22 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.4481311113S. Miroshnychenko2.631111171LSep 22 · 04:30O. Lyman1.401111113S. Miroshnychenko2.757770LSep 17 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.4411117113S. Miroshnychenko2.63361141LSep 17 · 10:00M. Hubenko1.17111110113S. Miroshnychenko4.50481211LSep 17 · 08:30O. Syksa1.4011119113S. Miroshnychenko2.75841151WSep 17 · 06:30O. Lyman1.36911718122S. Miroshnychenko3.001181116143LSep 17 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.44139128113S. Miroshnychenko2.631111101182LSep 16 · 17:30S. Miroshnychenko1.131181171I. Torhachov5.5071113113
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