TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Ziakun vs Serhii Maliuk 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Oleksandr Ziakun
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1113119114611117
Serhii Maliuk
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Ziakun to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Ziakun above · Serhii Maliuk below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 94 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Ziakun at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ziakun 40–36 Serhii Maliuk Serhii Maliuk has won 36 of their 76 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 22h before this match
Ziakun beat Maliuk 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:07What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Maliuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-36 in 76
Ziakun
Correct
gap of 4 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1546 vs Maliuk 1502
Ziakun
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 40% vs Maliuk 60%
Maliuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 50% vs Maliuk 70%
Maliuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun -2 · Maliuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ziakun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ziakun form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 1.83 / Maliuk 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ziakun)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13179683
Ziakun1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Maliuk1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun7wins
AwayMaliuk3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZiakun leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun100%4 of 4
AwayMaliuk50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun4Maliuk6n = 10Maliuk took 6 of 10
S2Ziakun5Maliuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Ziakun5Maliuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Ziakun7Maliuk3n = 10Ziakun took 7 of 10
S5Ziakun3Maliuk0n = 3Ziakun took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunMaliukZ − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.240.5+0.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunMaliukBasisWin rate · lifetime360 / 757 vs 263 / 53147.6%49.5%360 / 757 vs 263 / 531Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZiakunZiakun 1.83/Maliuk 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ziakun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 07:00O. Ziakun47811611113S. Maliuk4211711492
WSep 18 · 07:30O. Ziakun3951112113S. Maliuk351161081
WSep 15 · 10:30O. Ziakun46116711113S. Maliuk4291111922
LSep 11 · 10:30O. Ziakun31791141S. Maliuk4111118113
WSep 8 · 07:30O. Ziakun4111811113S. Maliuk34711881
WSep 3 · 10:30O. Ziakun536121014113S. Maliuk531110121282
LAug 26 · 10:30O. Ziakun35671391S. Maliuk44111111113
WAug 25 · 10:00O. Ziakun4211119113S. Maliuk36791191
LAug 19 · 04:30O. Ziakun34881171S. Maliuk4111118113
WAug 14 · 05:00O. Ziakun4413118123S. Maliuk3711511101
O. Ziakun10
LSep 22 · 10:30O. Lyman2.201011718143O. Ziakun1.611251116122LSep 22 · 09:30O. Ziakun1.91121311952O. Kurylenko1.801015611113WSep 22 · 08:30O. Ziakun1.401211113S. Miroshnychenko2.7510490WSep 22 · 07:00O. Ziakun1.83811611113S. Maliuk1.8311711492LSep 22 · 05:00O. Ziakun2.00511591D. Kuzmenko1.7311811113WSep 20 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov1.338111112112O. Ziakun3.25112414133WSep 20 · 09:30O. Ziakun2.751114113M. Hubenko1.4091270WSep 20 · 08:30O. Ziakun2.50128118103O. Syksa1.50101171192LSep 20 · 07:00O. Ziakun3.751110831S. Aristarkhov1.2581211113LSep 20 · 05:00O. Ziakun2.10911491D. Kuzmenko1.6711411113
S. Maliuk10
LSep 22 · 11:00S. Maliuk1.447880S. Miroshnychenko2.631111113WSep 22 · 09:00O. Lyman2.509950S. Maliuk1.501111113WSep 22 · 08:00S. Maliuk1.8011611133D. Kuzmenko1.918118111LSep 22 · 07:00O. Ziakun1.83811611113S. Maliuk1.8311711492WSep 22 · 05:30S. Maliuk1.831111113O. Kurylenko1.835860WSep 21 · 11:00O. Lyman2.381396101S. Maliuk1.53111111123WSep 21 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko1.83911491S. Maliuk1.8311911113LSep 21 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.671211113S. Maliuk2.1010560WSep 21 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.8310101331S. Maliuk1.83121211113WSep 21 · 04:30O. Syksa1.6771050S. Maliuk2.101112113
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