TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Volodymyr Tatarnykov
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81111211412141113
Oleksandr Ziakun
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:45 and never touched — 71.7% is still 71.7%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Tatarnykov to win
71.7%
71.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Tatarnykov above · Oleksandr Ziakun below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 97 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Volodymyr Tatarnykov at 71.7%
97 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Tatarnykov 22–13 Oleksandr Ziakun Oleksandr Ziakun has won 13 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:45What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Tatarnykov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-13 in 35
Tatarnykov
Wrong
gap of 9 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tatarnykov 1570 vs Ziakun 1563
Tatarnykov
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tatarnykov 40% vs Ziakun 60%
Ziakun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tatarnykov 30% vs Ziakun 60%
Ziakun
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tatarnykov -2 · Ziakun +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Tatarnykov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ziakun form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTatarnykov 1.33 / Ziakun 3.25
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Tatarnykov)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13161069
Tatarnykov1.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 50 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it79% 33 of 42
Ziakun3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 90 of 255
Down 0–1, comes back21% 31 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTatarnykov7wins
AwayZiakun3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderTatarnykov leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTatarnykov83.3%5 of 6
AwayZiakun50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tatarnykov6Ziakun4n = 10Tatarnykov took 6 of 10
S2Tatarnykov7Ziakun3n = 10Tatarnykov took 7 of 10
S3Tatarnykov6Ziakun4n = 10Tatarnykov took 6 of 10
S4Tatarnykov3Ziakun2n = 5Tatarnykov took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTatarnykovZiakunT − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.733.9+4.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTatarnykovZiakunBasisWin rate · lifetime211 / 402 vs 357 / 75152.5%47.5%211 / 402 vs 357 / 751Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TatarnykovTatarnykov 1.33/Ziakun 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.7%
Tatarnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 23 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov381011891O. Ziakun4112711113
LJun 28 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov371361171O. Ziakun4315116113
WJun 20 · 17:14V. Tatarnykov4112711113O. Ziakun371011881
WJun 20 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov4111118113O. Ziakun31571181
WMar 14 · 17:30V. Tatarnykov331111113O. Ziakun175840
LJan 24 · 17:30V. Tatarnykov48111081182O. Ziakun50912117113
WJan 17 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov331111113O. Ziakun185760
V. Tatarnykov10
LSep 20 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov2.2578111162S. Aristarkhov1.57111188113LSep 20 · 07:30V. Tatarnykov2.008860M. Hubenko1.731111113WSep 20 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.3311811113D. Kuzmenko3.25711971LSep 20 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov1.53813121172O. Syksa2.381115108113WSep 19 · 17:35D. Prylepa2.385850V. Tatarnykov1.531111113WSep 19 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov2.201141192S. Aristarkhov1.61711991LSep 19 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov1.53111031162A. Vasylets2.38812117113LSep 19 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov1.504118101D. Prylepa2.5011911102LSep 19 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov2.00871171M. Hubenko1.7311118113WSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112
O. Ziakun10
WSep 20 · 09:30O. Ziakun2.751114113M. Hubenko1.4091270WSep 20 · 08:30O. Ziakun2.50128118103O. Syksa1.50101171192LSep 20 · 07:00O. Ziakun3.751110831S. Aristarkhov1.2581211113LSep 20 · 05:00O. Ziakun2.10911491D. Kuzmenko1.6711411113WSep 18 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.6111127113O. Lyman2.209101171LSep 18 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.91612711112O. Kurylenko1.801110117133WSep 18 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.8051112113S. Maliuk1.911161081WSep 18 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.25111211123O. Syksa1.575148101WSep 18 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.101011911113D. Kuzmenko1.6712511572LSep 17 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.5041111121O. Syksa1.5011135143
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