TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Lyman vs Oleksandr Ziakun 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Oleksandr Lyman
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
101211571118161412
Oleksandr Ziakun
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Ziakun to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Lyman above · Oleksandr Ziakun below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 18-16
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 116 set 5, 14-12 — our read held Oleksandr Ziakun at 62.1%
116 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Lyman 28–59 Oleksandr Ziakun Oleksandr Lyman has won 28 of their 87 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:09What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Ziakun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-59 in 87
Ziakun
Wrong
gap of 31 in 87, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lyman 1381 vs Ziakun 1562
Ziakun
Wrong
both rated, 180 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lyman 20% vs Ziakun 60%
Ziakun
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lyman 30% vs Ziakun 60%
Ziakun
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lyman -3 · Ziakun -1
Lyman
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Ziakun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lyman form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLyman 2.20 / Ziakun 1.61
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Ziakun)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13172692
Lyman2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 63 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 75
Ziakun1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 80 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it89% 58 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLyman3wins
AwayZiakun7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZiakun leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLyman66.7%2 of 3
AwayZiakun85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lyman3Ziakun7n = 10Ziakun took 7 of 10
S2Lyman3Ziakun7n = 10Ziakun took 7 of 10
S3Lyman5Ziakun5n = 10split evenly
S4Lyman2Ziakun5n = 7Ziakun took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLymanZiakunL − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.039.8−2.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLymanZiakunBasisWin rate · lifetime268 / 613 vs 360 / 75643.7%47.6%268 / 613 vs 360 / 756Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZiakunLyman 2.20/Ziakun 1.61
Miss
What we said
62.1%
Ziakun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lyman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 10:30O. Lyman379101171O. Ziakun4111127113
LSep 17 · 07:30O. Lyman581611121092O. Ziakun561851012113
LSep 15 · 07:30O. Lyman30910110O. Ziakun361112133
LSep 11 · 06:00O. Lyman2913970O. Ziakun371511113
WSep 8 · 04:30O. Lyman4061112113O. Ziakun361181071
LSep 3 · 09:00O. Lyman207760O. Ziakun331111113
WAug 26 · 04:30O. Lyman4212711123O. Ziakun3410113101
LAug 25 · 04:30O. Lyman25114461O. Ziakun3961111113
WAug 19 · 06:00O. Lyman47111177113O. Ziakun3983111162
LJun 20 · 16:00O. Lyman4210101481O. Ziakun47121212113
O. Lyman10
LSep 22 · 09:00O. Lyman2.509950S. Maliuk1.501111113LSep 22 · 07:30O. Lyman2.004560O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 22 · 06:00O. Lyman2.753111111102D. Kuzmenko1.40119139123WSep 22 · 04:30O. Lyman1.401111113S. Miroshnychenko2.757770LSep 21 · 11:00O. Lyman2.381396101S. Maliuk1.53111111123LSep 21 · 09:00O. Syksa1.20111112113O. Lyman4.334131031WSep 21 · 08:00O. Lyman2.7512118113D. Kuzmenko1.401071191WSep 21 · 07:00D. Prylepa1.33310111162O. Lyman3.25111259113LSep 21 · 05:30O. Lyman2.00121111782O. Kurylenko1.73147911113LSep 18 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.6111127113O. Lyman2.209101171
O. Ziakun10
LSep 22 · 09:30O. Ziakun1.91121311952O. Kurylenko1.801015611113WSep 22 · 08:30O. Ziakun1.401211113S. Miroshnychenko2.7510490WSep 22 · 07:00O. Ziakun1.83811611113S. Maliuk1.8311711492LSep 22 · 05:00O. Ziakun2.00511591D. Kuzmenko1.7311811113WSep 20 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov1.338111112112O. Ziakun3.25112414133WSep 20 · 09:30O. Ziakun2.751114113M. Hubenko1.4091270WSep 20 · 08:30O. Ziakun2.50128118103O. Syksa1.50101171192LSep 20 · 07:00O. Ziakun3.751110831S. Aristarkhov1.2581211113LSep 20 · 05:00O. Ziakun2.10911491D. Kuzmenko1.6711411113WSep 18 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.6111127113O. Lyman2.209101171
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