TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Ziakun vs Serhii Miroshnychenko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Oleksandr Ziakun
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711119911119911
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:37 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Ziakun to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Ziakun above · Serhii Miroshnychenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 98 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Ziakun at 68.8%
98 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ziakun 78–29 Serhii Miroshnychenko Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 29 of their 107 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:37What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Ziakun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
78-29 in 107
Ziakun
Wrong
gap of 49 in 107, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1553 vs Miroshnychenko 1367
Ziakun
Wrong
both rated, 186 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 60% vs Miroshnychenko 40%
Ziakun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 70% vs Miroshnychenko 20%
Ziakun
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun +2 · Miroshnychenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Ziakun)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 1.44 / Miroshnychenko 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Ziakun)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13179522
Ziakun1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 80 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it88% 58 of 66
Miroshnychenko2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog23% won 72 of 311
Down 0–1, comes back12% 23 of 194
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun9wins
AwayMiroshnychenko1wins
7 of 10 to a deciderZiakun leads 9–1, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun100%5 of 5
AwayMiroshnychenko20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun5Miroshnychenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Ziakun6Miroshnychenko4n = 10Ziakun took 6 of 10
S3Ziakun8Miroshnychenko2n = 10Ziakun took 8 of 10
S4Ziakun4Miroshnychenko4n = 8split evenly
S5Ziakun6Miroshnychenko1n = 7Ziakun took 6 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home660%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunMiroshnychenkoZ − MBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match46.539.3+7.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunMiroshnychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime362 / 760 vs 309 / 86147.6%35.9%362 / 760 vs 309 / 861Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.234.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZiakunZiakun 1.44/Miroshnychenko 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.9%
Ziakun · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Miroshnychenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 07:30O. Ziakun4771191192S. Miroshnychenko51119119113
WSep 22 · 08:30O. Ziakun341211113S. Miroshnychenko2310490
WSep 17 · 04:30O. Ziakun53139128113S. Miroshnychenko511111101182
WSep 15 · 09:00O. Ziakun50119118113S. Miroshnychenko4171161162
WSep 8 · 06:00O. Ziakun50891111113S. Miroshnychenko4111118652
WSep 3 · 06:00O. Ziakun561012118153S. Miroshnychenko531210711132
WAug 23 · 08:30O. Ziakun531111911113S. Miroshnychenko4513711772
WAug 21 · 06:00O. Ziakun50119118113S. Miroshnychenko3951181142
WAug 14 · 10:30O. Ziakun3961111113S. Miroshnychenko29117381
WAug 11 · 04:30O. Ziakun331111113S. Miroshnychenko208570
O. Ziakun10
WSep 23 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.501113123O. Syksa1.50911100WSep 23 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.831111116113S. Maliuk1.8313941172LSep 22 · 10:30O. Lyman2.201011718143O. Ziakun1.611251116122LSep 22 · 09:30O. Ziakun1.91121311952O. Kurylenko1.801015611113WSep 22 · 08:30O. Ziakun1.401211113S. Miroshnychenko2.7510490WSep 22 · 07:00O. Ziakun1.83811611113S. Maliuk1.8311711492LSep 22 · 05:00O. Ziakun2.00511591D. Kuzmenko1.7311811113WSep 20 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov1.338111112112O. Ziakun3.25112414133WSep 20 · 09:30O. Ziakun2.751114113M. Hubenko1.4091270WSep 20 · 08:30O. Ziakun2.50128118103O. Syksa1.50101171192
S. Miroshnychenko10
LSep 23 · 06:30S. Miroshnychenko2.507640S. Maliuk1.501111113LSep 23 · 05:30M. Hubenko1.17191110113S. Miroshnychenko4.501781271WSep 22 · 11:00S. Maliuk1.447880S. Miroshnychenko2.631111113WSep 22 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko1.4411112101S. Miroshnychenko2.6313911123LSep 22 · 08:30O. Ziakun1.401211113S. Miroshnychenko2.7510490LSep 22 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.4481311113S. Miroshnychenko2.631111171LSep 22 · 04:30O. Lyman1.401111113S. Miroshnychenko2.757770LSep 17 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.4411117113S. Miroshnychenko2.63361141LSep 17 · 10:00M. Hubenko1.17111110113S. Miroshnychenko4.50481211LSep 17 · 08:30O. Syksa1.4011119113S. Miroshnychenko2.75841151
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