TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Ziakun vs Dmytro Prylepa 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Oleksandr Ziakun
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911911117119711
Dmytro Prylepa
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Ziakun to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Ziakun above · Dmytro Prylepa below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 96 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Ziakun at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ziakun 10–13 Dmytro Prylepa Oleksandr Ziakun has won 10 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:07What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Prylepa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-13 in 23
Prylepa
Correct
gap of 3 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1546 vs Prylepa 1460
Ziakun
Wrong
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 40% vs Prylepa 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 50% vs Prylepa 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun -2 · Prylepa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Prylepa) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prylepa form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 2.00 / Prylepa 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Prylepa)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13179660
Ziakun2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 91 of 257
Down 0–1, comes back21% 31 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 75
Prylepa1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 125 of 202
Up 2–0, closes it98% 59 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it86% 101 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun5wins
AwayPrylepa5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun100%3 of 3
AwayPrylepa71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun3Prylepa7n = 10Prylepa took 7 of 10
S2Ziakun2Prylepa8n = 10Prylepa took 8 of 10
S3Ziakun10Prylepa0n = 10Ziakun took 10 of 10
S4Ziakun5Prylepa5n = 10split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunPrylepaZ − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.341.8+0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunPrylepaBasisWin rate · lifetime362 / 761 vs 394 / 80647.6%48.9%362 / 761 vs 394 / 806Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrylepaZiakun 2.00/Prylepa 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Prylepa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Prylepa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 10:30O. Ziakun31471191D. Prylepa4111118113
WAug 28 · 10:30O. Ziakun4281111123D. Prylepa341194101
WAug 23 · 07:00O. Ziakun4211911113D. Prylepa31611861
LAug 13 · 09:00O. Ziakun34791171D. Prylepa4211119113
WAug 3 · 10:00O. Ziakun4861911123D. Prylepa4511177101
LJul 18 · 13:30O. Ziakun50510111592D. Prylepa541112713113
WJun 29 · 04:30O. Ziakun5813111112113D. Prylepa48111361442
LJun 26 · 09:30O. Ziakun436101981D. Prylepa51111217113
WJun 22 · 07:00O. Ziakun4111811113D. Prylepa30411961
LJun 18 · 09:00O. Ziakun34771191D. Prylepa4211119113
O. Ziakun10
LSep 23 · 09:00O. Ziakun3.0012711332M. Hubenko1.361011411113LSep 23 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.4471191192S. Miroshnychenko2.63119119113WSep 23 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.501113123O. Syksa1.50911100WSep 23 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.831111116113S. Maliuk1.8313941172LSep 22 · 10:30O. Lyman2.201011718143O. Ziakun1.611251116122LSep 22 · 09:30O. Ziakun1.91121311952O. Kurylenko1.801015611113WSep 22 · 08:30O. Ziakun1.401211113S. Miroshnychenko2.7510490WSep 22 · 07:00O. Ziakun1.83811611113S. Maliuk1.8311711492LSep 22 · 05:00O. Ziakun2.00511591D. Kuzmenko1.7311811113WSep 20 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov1.338111112112O. Ziakun3.25112414133
D. Prylepa10
WSep 23 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.40111111113S. Miroshnychenko2.75513471LSep 23 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.6711136782S. Maliuk2.109111111113WSep 23 · 07:00D. Prylepa2.638111110113M. Hubenko1.4411681242LSep 23 · 05:00D. Prylepa2.75811971O. Syksa1.4011611113LSep 21 · 10:30O. Syksa1.4411117113D. Prylepa2.63481181LSep 21 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.61116861O. Kurylenko2.2071111113WSep 21 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.671211113S. Maliuk2.1010560LSep 21 · 07:00D. Prylepa1.33310111162O. Lyman3.25111259113WSep 21 · 05:00D. Prylepa1.57118811113D. Kuzmenko2.2561111772LSep 19 · 17:35D. Prylepa2.385850V. Tatarnykov1.531111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.