TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmytro Prylepa vs Serhii Miroshnychenko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Dmytro Prylepa
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151113114117––
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:37 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeDmytro Prylepa to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Prylepa above · Serhii Miroshnychenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 73 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Dmytro Prylepa at 68.7%
73 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Prylepa 74–30 Serhii Miroshnychenko Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 30 of their 104 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:37What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Prylepa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
74-30 in 104
Prylepa
Correct
gap of 44 in 104, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prylepa 1451 vs Miroshnychenko 1367
Prylepa
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prylepa 20% vs Miroshnychenko 60%
Miroshnychenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prylepa 30% vs Miroshnychenko 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prylepa -1 · Miroshnychenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Prylepa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miroshnychenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrylepa 1.40 / Miroshnychenko 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Prylepa)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13179526
Prylepa1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 125 of 202
Up 2–0, closes it98% 59 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it86% 101 of 118
Miroshnychenko2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog23% won 72 of 311
Down 0–1, comes back12% 23 of 194
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrylepa8wins
AwayMiroshnychenko2wins
Prylepa leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrylepa100%7 of 7
AwayMiroshnychenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prylepa7Miroshnychenko3n = 10Prylepa took 7 of 10
S2Prylepa5Miroshnychenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Prylepa6Miroshnychenko4n = 10Prylepa took 6 of 10
S4Prylepa7Miroshnychenko1n = 8Prylepa took 7 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home770%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrylepaMiroshnychenkoP − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.333.6+4.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrylepaMiroshnychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 805 vs 309 / 86148.8%35.9%393 / 805 vs 309 / 861Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.434.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrylepaPrylepa 1.40/Miroshnychenko 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.7%
Prylepa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Prylepa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 04:30D. Prylepa269890S. Miroshnychenko331111113
LAug 24 · 08:30D. Prylepa30851161S. Miroshnychenko4211119113
WAug 23 · 11:00D. Prylepa341111123S. Miroshnychenko2679100
WAug 20 · 08:30D. Prylepa4241112153S. Miroshnychenko4011610131
WAug 18 · 10:30D. Prylepa3911611113S. Miroshnychenko33711781
WAug 12 · 09:30D. Prylepa4211911113S. Miroshnychenko27511651
WAug 5 · 08:30D. Prylepa4111118113S. Miroshnychenko28841151
WJul 29 · 05:00D. Prylepa4111118113S. Miroshnychenko28571151
WJul 23 · 07:00D. Prylepa4013115113S. Miroshnychenko391191181
WJul 21 · 08:30D. Prylepa48111511113S. Miroshnychenko40717881
D. Prylepa10
LSep 23 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.6711136782S. Maliuk2.109111111113WSep 23 · 07:00D. Prylepa2.638111110113M. Hubenko1.4411681242LSep 23 · 05:00D. Prylepa2.75811971O. Syksa1.4011611113LSep 21 · 10:30O. Syksa1.4411117113D. Prylepa2.63481181LSep 21 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.61116861O. Kurylenko2.2071111113WSep 21 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.671211113S. Maliuk2.1010560LSep 21 · 07:00D. Prylepa1.33310111162O. Lyman3.25111259113WSep 21 · 05:00D. Prylepa1.57118811113D. Kuzmenko2.2561111772LSep 19 · 17:35D. Prylepa2.385850V. Tatarnykov1.531111113LSep 19 · 16:00D. Prylepa2.507650M. Hubenko1.50111183
S. Miroshnychenko10
WSep 23 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.4471191192S. Miroshnychenko2.63119119113LSep 23 · 06:30S. Miroshnychenko2.507640S. Maliuk1.501111113LSep 23 · 05:30M. Hubenko1.17191110113S. Miroshnychenko4.501781271WSep 22 · 11:00S. Maliuk1.447880S. Miroshnychenko2.631111113WSep 22 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko1.4411112101S. Miroshnychenko2.6313911123LSep 22 · 08:30O. Ziakun1.401211113S. Miroshnychenko2.7510490LSep 22 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.4481311113S. Miroshnychenko2.631111171LSep 22 · 04:30O. Lyman1.401111113S. Miroshnychenko2.757770LSep 17 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.4411117113S. Miroshnychenko2.63361141LSep 17 · 10:00M. Hubenko1.17111110113S. Miroshnychenko4.50481211
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