TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Michal Machelski vs Artur Zmijewski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119511511511––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
119511511511––
H2H Michal Machelski 2–5 Artur Zmijewski Michal Machelski has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Zmijewski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zmijewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMachelski 2.10 / Zmijewski 1.65
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Zmijewski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13201044
Machelski2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 22)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog33% won 116 of 350
Down 0–1, comes back20% 40 of 203
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 120
Zmijewski1.65
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 22)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 70 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it100% 43 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it88% 53 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMachelski2wins
AwayZmijewski5wins
1 of 7 to a deciderZmijewski leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMachelski50%2 of 4
AwayZmijewski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Machelski4Zmijewski3n = 7Machelski took 4 of 7
S2Machelski2Zmijewski5n = 7Zmijewski took 5 of 7
S3Machelski3Zmijewski4n = 7Zmijewski took 4 of 7
S4Machelski1Zmijewski3n = 4Zmijewski took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricMachelskiZmijewskiM − ZBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match31.937.4−5.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachelskiZmijewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime407 / 1093 vs 95 / 16137.2%59%407 / 1093 vs 95 / 161Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZmijewskiMachelski 2.10/Zmijewski 1.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.4%
Zmijewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zmijewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 15 · 02:20M. Machelski207760A. Zmijewski331111113
LSep 7 · 07:10M. Machelski26113841A. Zmijewski3741111113
LAug 30 · 23:45M. Machelski34971171A. Zmijewski4011117113
LAug 30 · 15:50M. Machelski5011818582A. Zmijewski578111611113
WAug 23 · 23:45M. Machelski341111123A. Zmijewski2486100
LAug 23 · 15:50M. Machelski187290A. Zmijewski331111113
WAug 11 · 00:00M. Machelski4111144123A. Zmijewski3851211101
M. Machelski10
LSep 26 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.201111113M. Machelski3.909350LSep 22 · 02:45M. Machelski1.903890A. Staniczek1.801111113LSep 22 · 01:10M. Machelski3.40117681M. Warzecha1.2891111113WSep 22 · 00:00M. Machelski2.20113911113J. Michalik1.5781111982LSep 21 · 22:25M. Machelski2.509680J. Cyndera1.461111113LSep 21 · 21:10M. Machelski2.3581111892A. Kubiak1.50115611113LSep 17 · 02:35M. Machelski2.2071191292M. Baran1.611161110113LSep 17 · 01:00M. Machelski2.3853100M. Lewczuk1.531111123WSep 16 · 23:45M. Machelski2.25611119113K. Kwiatkowski1.5711961152WSep 16 · 22:10M. Machelski2.2071111113J. Skorupa1.61115961
A. Zmijewski10
LSep 22 · 01:30A. Zmijewski1.8311631132J. Zelezik1.83511119113LSep 22 · 00:10K. Kwiatkowski2.381161112133A. Zmijewski1.53811714112WSep 21 · 23:30M. Baran2.7513770A. Zmijewski1.401511113LSep 21 · 22:50A. Zmijewski1.2548111182M. Karpiuk3.75111186113WSep 21 · 21:45A. Zmijewski1.611111113M. Lewczuk2.209780LSep 21 · 20:05A. Zmijewski1.917930J. Zelezik1.801111113LSep 21 · 18:30K. Kwiatkowski2.2091111113A. Zmijewski1.61116561WSep 21 · 17:45M. Lewczuk2.10111661A. Zmijewski1.6711911113WSep 21 · 16:55A. Zmijewski1.22101114113M. Karpiuk4.001241251WSep 21 · 15:50A. Zmijewski1.531111113M. Baran2.388730
Upcoming Matches
M. Machelski
Nothing scheduled
A. Zmijewski
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