TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Artur Zmijewski vs Miroslaw Lewczuk 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Artur Zmijewski
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117118––––
Miroslaw Lewczuk
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArtur Zmijewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtur Zmijewski above · Miroslaw Lewczuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 57 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Artur Zmijewski at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Artur Zmijewski 4–5 Miroslaw Lewczuk Artur Zmijewski has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Zmijewski beat Lewczuk 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:53What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zmijewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zmijewski 1460 vs Lewczuk 1372
Zmijewski
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zmijewski 60% vs Lewczuk 40%
Zmijewski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zmijewski 50% vs Lewczuk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zmijewski -2 · Lewczuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Zmijewski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZmijewski 1.61 / Lewczuk 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Zmijewski)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13165479
Zmijewski1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 65 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it100% 40 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it89% 49 of 55
Lewczuk2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 63 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back18% 21 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeZmijewski4wins
AwayLewczuk5wins
2 of 9 to a deciderLewczuk leads 5–4, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZmijewski100%3 of 3
AwayLewczuk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zmijewski3Lewczuk6n = 9Lewczuk took 6 of 9
S2Zmijewski3Lewczuk6n = 9Lewczuk took 6 of 9
S3Zmijewski7Lewczuk2n = 9Zmijewski took 7 of 9
S4Zmijewski4Lewczuk2n = 6Zmijewski took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricZmijewskiLewczukZ − LBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match36.733.9+2.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZmijewskiLewczukBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 155 vs 482 / 94259.4%51.2%92 / 155 vs 482 / 942Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZmijewskiZmijewski 1.61/Lewczuk 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Zmijewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zmijewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 21 · 17:45A. Zmijewski4211911113M. Lewczuk24111661
LSep 9 · 22:35A. Zmijewski4281111392M. Lewczuk43113711113
LSep 9 · 15:00A. Zmijewski33871171M. Lewczuk4011117113
LSep 3 · 24:10A. Zmijewski209470M. Lewczuk331111113
LSep 2 · 20:30A. Zmijewski4586111282M. Lewczuk521111910113
WAug 21 · 04:20A. Zmijewski4112711113M. Lewczuk291011351
WAug 20 · 18:45A. Zmijewski4291111113M. Lewczuk34119861
WAug 19 · 21:20A. Zmijewski331111113M. Lewczuk122640
LAug 19 · 15:25A. Zmijewski3291490M. Lewczuk381116113
A. Zmijewski10
LSep 21 · 20:05A. Zmijewski1.917930J. Zelezik1.801111113LSep 21 · 18:30K. Kwiatkowski2.2091111113A. Zmijewski1.61116561WSep 21 · 17:45M. Lewczuk2.10111661A. Zmijewski1.6711911113WSep 21 · 16:55A. Zmijewski1.22101114113M. Karpiuk4.001241251WSep 21 · 15:50A. Zmijewski1.531111113M. Baran2.388730LSep 21 · 02:10A. Zmijewski1.405128111J. Skorupa2.75111011133WSep 21 · 24:35K. Rybak9.007190A. Zmijewski1.041111113LSep 20 · 23:45Z. Nocun2.25127115113A. Zmijewski1.57101181172WSep 20 · 22:55A. Zmijewski1.3611136173G. Mucha3.0071111151LSep 20 · 21:45A. Zmijewski2.7511771342M. Guzik1.407111111113
M. Lewczuk10
LSep 21 · 22:30M. Lewczuk2.10111011582J. Zelezik1.67612711113LSep 21 · 20:30M. Lewczuk1.40119111092M. Karpiuk2.75511812113WSep 21 · 18:55M. Lewczuk1.7312311113M. Baran2.001011651LSep 21 · 17:45M. Lewczuk2.10111661A. Zmijewski1.6711911113WSep 21 · 16:15M. Lewczuk2.10111164123K. Kwiatkowski1.67661111102LSep 21 · 15:00M. Lewczuk2.1013117572J. Zelezik1.671151111113LSep 17 · 01:45J. Skorupa2.201112104123M. Lewczuk1.618101211102WSep 17 · 01:00M. Machelski2.3853100M. Lewczuk1.531111123LSep 17 · 24:10M. Lewczuk1.67101191182M. Baran2.10122116113LSep 16 · 22:35M. Lewczuk2.258930A. Fomin1.571111113
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