TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Miroslaw Lewczuk
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210311116115––
Mateusz Baran
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:18 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeMateusz Baran to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMiroslaw Lewczuk above · Mateusz Baran below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 69 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Mateusz Baran at 56.9%
69 points played in total.
H2H Miroslaw Lewczuk 2–4 Mateusz Baran Miroslaw Lewczuk has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:18What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lewczuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Baran
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lewczuk 1374 vs Baran 1361
Lewczuk
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lewczuk 40% vs Baran 20%
Lewczuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lewczuk 40% vs Baran 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lewczuk -1 · Baran -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lewczuk) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baran form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLewczuk 1.73 / Baran 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lewczuk)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13168359
Lewczuk1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 167 of 243
Up 2–0, closes it96% 109 of 114
Up 1–0, closes it83% 128 of 155
Baran2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 27 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back30% 12 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeLewczuk2wins
AwayBaran4wins
4 of 6 to a deciderBaran leads 4–2, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLewczuk50%2 of 4
AwayBarann = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lewczuk4Baran2n = 6Lewczuk took 4 of 6
S2Lewczuk4Baran2n = 6Lewczuk took 4 of 6
S3Lewczuk2Baran4n = 6Baran took 4 of 6
S4Lewczuk2Baran3n = 5Baran took 3 of 5
S5Lewczuk1Baran3n = 4Baran took 3 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away350%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricLewczukBaranL − BBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match42.741.2+1.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLewczukBaranBasisWin rate · lifetime481 / 940 vs 82 / 15451.2%53.3%481 / 940 vs 82 / 154Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.339.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LewczukLewczuk 1.73/Baran 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lewczuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lewczuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 17 · 24:10M. Lewczuk49101191182M. Baran42122116113
LSep 16 · 20:30M. Lewczuk47118101172M. Baran47511128113
WSep 10 · 21:00M. Lewczuk331111113M. Baran155640
WSep 10 · 16:35M. Lewczuk501111512113M. Baran5189111492
LSep 9 · 21:45M. Lewczuk321119111M. Baran4311811133
LSep 9 · 17:45M. Lewczuk4511811962M. Baran49911711113
M. Lewczuk10
LSep 21 · 17:45M. Lewczuk2.10111661A. Zmijewski1.6711911113WSep 21 · 16:15M. Lewczuk2.10111164123K. Kwiatkowski1.67661111102LSep 21 · 15:00M. Lewczuk2.1013117572J. Zelezik1.671151111113LSep 17 · 01:45J. Skorupa2.201112104123M. Lewczuk1.618101211102WSep 17 · 01:00M. Machelski2.3853100M. Lewczuk1.531111123LSep 17 · 24:10M. Lewczuk1.67101191182M. Baran2.10122116113LSep 16 · 22:35M. Lewczuk2.258930A. Fomin1.571111113WSep 16 · 21:45K. Kwiatkowski1.57351111122M. Lewczuk2.25111198143LSep 16 · 20:30M. Lewczuk1.67118101172M. Baran2.10511128113WSep 16 · 18:55M. Lewczuk1.531111113M. Machelski2.388550
M. Baran10
WSep 21 · 19:40K. Kwiatkowski1.5091181272M. Baran2.501161110113LSep 21 · 18:10M. Baran1.677680M. Karpiuk2.101111113WSep 21 · 16:35M. Baran2.381111113J. Zelezik1.532690LSep 21 · 15:50A. Zmijewski1.531111113M. Baran2.388730LSep 18 · 02:35M. Baran1.91961281K. Gudzik1.80111110113LSep 18 · 01:00M. Baran3.751010111252M. Guzik1.251212710113WSep 17 · 23:45M. Baran2.20117116113Z. Nocun1.6171171152LSep 17 · 22:10M. Baran1.531249121M. Brunner2.38101111143WSep 17 · 24:10M. Lewczuk1.67101191182M. Baran2.10122116113WSep 16 · 20:30M. Lewczuk1.67118101172M. Baran2.10511128113
Upcoming Matches
M. Lewczuk
M. Baran
Sep 21 · 21:00M. Baran2.38J. Zelezik1.53—Sep 21 · 22:10M. Baran2.38K. Kwiatkowski1.53—Sep 21 · 23:30M. Baran2.75A. Zmijewski1.40—Sep 22 · 24:30M. Baran2.00M. Lewczuk1.73—Sep 22 · 01:50M. Baran1.67M. Karpiuk2.10—Sep 22 · 17:30M. Baran—M. Brunner——Sep 22 · 19:10M. Baran—P. Gesiarz——Sep 22 · 19:55M. Baran—K. Kwiatkowski——Sep 22 · 21:55M. Baran—M. Karpiuk——Sep 22 · 22:40M. Baran—K. Delikatny——
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.