TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Miroslaw Lewczuk
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
111119611611––
Artur Zmijewski
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArtur Zmijewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslaw Lewczuk above · Artur Zmijewski below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 66 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Artur Zmijewski at 54.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Miroslaw Lewczuk 5–3 Artur Zmijewski Artur Zmijewski has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:55What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zmijewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Lewczuk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lewczuk 1383 vs Zmijewski 1480
Zmijewski
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lewczuk 40% vs Zmijewski 60%
Zmijewski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lewczuk 50% vs Zmijewski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lewczuk +1 · Zmijewski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Zmijewski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLewczuk 2.10 / Zmijewski 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Zmijewski)+1.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13165482
Lewczuk2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 63 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back18% 21 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 72
Zmijewski1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 65 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it100% 40 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it89% 49 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeLewczuk5wins
AwayZmijewski3wins
2 of 8 to a deciderLewczuk leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLewczuk83.3%5 of 6
AwayZmijewskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lewczuk6Zmijewski2n = 8Lewczuk took 6 of 8
S2Lewczuk5Zmijewski3n = 8Lewczuk took 5 of 8
S3Lewczuk2Zmijewski6n = 8Zmijewski took 6 of 8
S4Lewczuk2Zmijewski3n = 5Zmijewski took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricLewczukZmijewskiL − ZBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match35.136.0−0.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLewczukZmijewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime481 / 939 vs 91 / 15251.2%59.9%481 / 939 vs 91 / 152Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZmijewskiLewczuk 2.10/Zmijewski 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.8%
Zmijewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zmijewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 9 · 22:35M. Lewczuk43113711113A. Zmijewski4281111392
WSep 9 · 15:00M. Lewczuk4011117113A. Zmijewski33871171
WSep 3 · 24:10M. Lewczuk331111113A. Zmijewski209470
WSep 2 · 20:30M. Lewczuk521111910113A. Zmijewski4586111282
LAug 21 · 04:20M. Lewczuk291011351A. Zmijewski4112711113
LAug 20 · 18:45M. Lewczuk34119861A. Zmijewski4291111113
LAug 19 · 21:20M. Lewczuk122640A. Zmijewski331111113
WAug 19 · 15:25M. Lewczuk381116113A. Zmijewski3291490
M. Lewczuk10
WSep 21 · 16:15M. Lewczuk2.10111164123K. Kwiatkowski1.67661111102LSep 21 · 15:00M. Lewczuk2.1013117572J. Zelezik1.671151111113LSep 17 · 01:45J. Skorupa2.201112104123M. Lewczuk1.618101211102WSep 17 · 01:00M. Machelski2.3853100M. Lewczuk1.531111123LSep 17 · 24:10M. Lewczuk1.67101191182M. Baran2.10122116113LSep 16 · 22:35M. Lewczuk2.258930A. Fomin1.571111113WSep 16 · 21:45K. Kwiatkowski1.57351111122M. Lewczuk2.25111198143LSep 16 · 20:30M. Lewczuk1.67118101172M. Baran2.10511128113WSep 16 · 18:55M. Lewczuk1.531111113M. Machelski2.388550WSep 16 · 17:45M. Lewczuk2.10911511113K. Kwiatkowski1.6711811312
A. Zmijewski10
LSep 21 · 18:30K. Kwiatkowski2.2091111113A. Zmijewski1.61116561WSep 21 · 16:55A. Zmijewski1.22101114113M. Karpiuk4.001241251WSep 21 · 15:50A. Zmijewski1.531111113M. Baran2.388730LSep 21 · 02:10A. Zmijewski1.405128111J. Skorupa2.75111011133WSep 21 · 24:35K. Rybak9.007190A. Zmijewski1.041111113LSep 20 · 23:45Z. Nocun2.25127115113A. Zmijewski1.57101181172WSep 20 · 22:55A. Zmijewski1.3611136173G. Mucha3.0071111151LSep 20 · 21:45A. Zmijewski2.7511771342M. Guzik1.407111111113WSep 20 · 20:05A. Zmijewski1.501111123J. Skorupa2.5067100WSep 20 · 18:30K. Rybak5.003640A. Zmijewski1.141111113
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