TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Kazimierz Rybak
Home
5.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311611411––––
Artur Zmijewski
Away
1.14
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:11 and never touched — 85.2% is still 85.2%
Graded at full timeArtur Zmijewski to win
85.2%
85.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKazimierz Rybak above · Artur Zmijewski below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 46 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Artur Zmijewski at 85.2%
46 points played in total.
H2H Kazimierz Rybak 0–1 Artur Zmijewski Kazimierz Rybak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:11What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Zmijewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rybak 1011 vs Zmijewski 1483
Zmijewski
Correct
both rated, 472 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rybak 0% vs Zmijewski 80%
Zmijewski
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rybak 10% vs Zmijewski 60%
Zmijewski
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rybak -5 · Zmijewski -1
Rybak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Zmijewski) · live re-read · sealed at 85% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rybak form (0%) is below what odds imply (20%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRybak 5.00 / Zmijewski 1.14
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Zmijewski)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13163152
Rybak5.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog20% won 53 of 271
Down 0–1, comes back8% 14 of 171
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 109
Zmijewski1.14
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 59 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it100% 35 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it88% 43 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRybak0wins
AwayZmijewski1wins
Zmijewski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRybakZmijewskiR − ZBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match34.038.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRybakZmijewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 516 vs 85 / 14323.1%59.4%119 / 516 vs 85 / 143Avg sets wonper match1.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match33.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZmijewskiRybak 5.00/Zmijewski 1.14
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.4%
Zmijewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zmijewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 20 · 02:35K. Rybak34811871A. Zmijewski3811511113
K. Rybak10
LSep 20 · 17:20K. Rybak3.507690J. Skorupa1.281111113LSep 20 · 16:15M. Guzik1.061111113K. Rybak8.004250LSep 20 · 15:25K. Rybak4.50811101192G. Mucha1.17119127113LSep 17 · 04:40Z. Nocun1.12811611113K. Rybak4.8511711962LSep 17 · 03:55A. Staniczek1.391121411113K. Rybak2.6541116892WSep 17 · 01:55W. Stechly1.845560K. Rybak1.791111113LSep 17 · 01:10M. Warzecha1.2761111113K. Rybak3.43114481LSep 16 · 23:30A. Krezel1.262011113K. Rybak3.2518550LSep 16 · 22:40Z. Nocun1.1271111123K. Rybak4.851149101LSep 16 · 21:55A. Staniczek1.41119414113K. Rybak2.60911111252
A. Zmijewski10
LSep 20 · 17:45M. Guzik1.4071112113A. Zmijewski2.751171061WSep 20 · 16:55A. Zmijewski1.441111113G. Mucha2.633790WSep 20 · 15:50A. Zmijewski1.57116811113Z. Nocun2.2531111672WSep 15 · 02:20M. Machelski2.807760A. Zmijewski1.391111113WSep 15 · 01:35A. Staniczek3.251091171A. Zmijewski1.3012119113WSep 14 · 23:35J. Cyndera2.108650A. Zmijewski1.601111113LSep 14 · 22:50M. Warzecha1.71119119113A. Zmijewski2.0091181172LSep 14 · 21:10J. Michalik2.15111111113A. Zmijewski1.55661351WSep 14 · 20:20P. Gesiarz2.3531060A. Zmijewski1.501112113LSep 14 · 19:35A. Staniczek3.35111311123A. Zmijewski1.258158101
Upcoming Matches
K. Rybak
A. Zmijewski
Sep 20 · 20:05A. Zmijewski1.50J. Skorupa2.50—Sep 20 · 21:45A. Zmijewski2.75M. Guzik1.40—Sep 20 · 22:55A. Zmijewski1.44G. Mucha2.63—Sep 20 · 23:45A. Zmijewski1.57Z. Nocun2.25—Sep 21 · 24:35A. Zmijewski1.07K. Rybak5.00—Sep 21 · 02:10A. Zmijewski1.50J. Skorupa2.50—Sep 21 · 15:50A. Zmijewski—M. Baran——Sep 21 · 16:55A. Zmijewski—M. Karpiuk——Sep 21 · 17:45A. Zmijewski—M. Lewczuk——Sep 21 · 18:30A. Zmijewski—K. Kwiatkowski——
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