TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Artur Zmijewski
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113117119––––
Grzegorz Mucha
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:28 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeArtur Zmijewski to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtur Zmijewski above · Grzegorz Mucha below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 52 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Artur Zmijewski at 62.5%
52 points played in total.
H2H Artur Zmijewski 4–0 Grzegorz Mucha Grzegorz Mucha has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:28What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zmijewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Zmijewski
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zmijewski 1479 vs Mucha 1417
Zmijewski
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zmijewski 80% vs Mucha 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zmijewski 70% vs Mucha 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zmijewski +4 · Mucha +1
Zmijewski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Zmijewski) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mucha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZmijewski 1.44 / Mucha 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Zmijewski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13160177
Zmijewski1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 59 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it100% 35 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it88% 43 of 49
Mucha2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 47 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeZmijewski4wins
AwayMucha0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderZmijewski leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZmijewski100%3 of 3
AwayMuchan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zmijewski3Mucha1n = 4Zmijewski took 3 of 4
S2Zmijewski3Mucha1n = 4Zmijewski took 3 of 4
S3Zmijewski3Mucha1n = 4Zmijewski took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricZmijewskiMuchaZ − MBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match41.237.0+4.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZmijewskiMuchaBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 141 vs 153 / 30359.6%50.5%84 / 141 vs 153 / 303Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZmijewskiZmijewski 1.44/Mucha 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Zmijewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zmijewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 24 · 01:00A. Zmijewski341111123G. Mucha2789100
WAug 23 · 18:55A. Zmijewski4411811143G. Mucha409118121
WAug 2 · 24:45A. Zmijewski351113113G. Mucha2691160
WAug 1 · 18:45A. Zmijewski52616711123G. Mucha551114119102
A. Zmijewski10
WSep 20 · 15:50A. Zmijewski1.57116811113Z. Nocun2.2531111672WSep 15 · 02:20M. Machelski2.807760A. Zmijewski1.391111113WSep 15 · 01:35A. Staniczek3.251091171A. Zmijewski1.3012119113WSep 14 · 23:35J. Cyndera2.108650A. Zmijewski1.601111113LSep 14 · 22:50M. Warzecha1.71119119113A. Zmijewski2.0091181172LSep 14 · 21:10J. Michalik2.15111111113A. Zmijewski1.55661351WSep 14 · 20:20P. Gesiarz2.3531060A. Zmijewski1.501112113LSep 14 · 19:35A. Staniczek3.35111311123A. Zmijewski1.258158101WSep 14 · 17:35J. Cyndera1.958117101A. Zmijewski1.7511711123WSep 14 · 16:50D. Maszczynski4.4010670A. Zmijewski1.151211113
G. Mucha10
WSep 20 · 15:25K. Rybak4.50811101192G. Mucha1.17119127113LSep 20 · 02:35J. Oracz1.281111113G. Mucha3.508470WSep 20 · 01:25G. Mucha1.501114123K. Malcher2.50812100WSep 20 · 24:10T. Kocik1.179911131G. Mucha4.5011113153WSep 19 · 22:55D. Maszczynski4.33710111172G. Mucha1.20111278113WSep 19 · 21:20P. Gesiarz2.108360G. Mucha1.671111113LSep 19 · 20:30T. Kocik1.201112113G. Mucha4.3371060WSep 19 · 19:20G. Mucha1.505111210133K. Malcher2.501181012112LSep 19 · 18:10J. Oracz1.281411113G. Mucha3.5012680WSep 19 · 16:55D. Maszczynski3.757980G. Mucha1.251111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Zmijewski
Sep 20 · 18:30A. Zmijewski1.14K. Rybak5.00—Sep 20 · 20:05A. Zmijewski1.53J. Skorupa2.38—Sep 20 · 21:45A. Zmijewski2.75M. Guzik1.40—Sep 20 · 22:55A. Zmijewski1.44G. Mucha2.63—Sep 20 · 23:45A. Zmijewski1.57Z. Nocun2.25—Sep 21 · 24:35A. Zmijewski1.12K. Rybak5.75—Sep 21 · 02:10A. Zmijewski1.50J. Skorupa2.50—Sep 21 · 15:50A. Zmijewski—M. Baran——Sep 21 · 16:55A. Zmijewski—M. Karpiuk——Sep 21 · 17:45A. Zmijewski—M. Lewczuk——
G. Mucha
Sep 20 · 18:10G. Mucha2.10Z. Nocun1.67—Sep 20 · 19:20G. Mucha1.53J. Skorupa2.38—Sep 20 · 20:30G. Mucha4.50M. Guzik1.17—Sep 20 · 21:20G. Mucha1.17K. Rybak4.50—Sep 20 · 22:55G. Mucha2.63A. Zmijewski1.44—Sep 21 · 24:10G. Mucha4.50M. Guzik1.17—Sep 21 · 01:25G. Mucha1.57J. Skorupa2.25—Sep 21 · 02:35G. Mucha2.10Z. Nocun1.67—
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