TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13158427
Played Sep 19Finished
Dariusz Maszczynski
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911811––––
Grzegorz Mucha
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:48 and never touched — 79.5% is still 79.5%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Mucha to win
79.5%
79.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDariusz Maszczynski above · Grzegorz Mucha below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 57 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Grzegorz Mucha at 79.5%
57 points played in total.
H2H Dariusz Maszczynski 1–9 Grzegorz Mucha Dariusz Maszczynski has won 1 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Mucha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-9 in 10
Mucha
Correct
gap of 8 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maszczynski 1133 vs Mucha 1348
Mucha
Correct
both rated, 214 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maszczynski 20% vs Mucha 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maszczynski 40% vs Mucha 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maszczynski -1 · Mucha -3
Mucha
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Mucha) · live re-read · sealed at 80% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mucha form (20%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaszczynski 3.75 / Mucha 1.25
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Mucha)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13158427
Maszczynski3.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog23% won 67 of 286
Down 0–1, comes back12% 23 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 129
Mucha1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 90 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it100% 45 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it77% 60 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaszczynski1wins
AwayMucha9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMucha leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaszczynski0%0 of 4
AwayMucha83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maszczynski4Mucha6n = 10Mucha took 6 of 10
S2Maszczynski2Mucha8n = 10Mucha took 8 of 10
S3Maszczynski5Mucha5n = 10split evenly
S4Maszczynski3Mucha6n = 9Mucha took 6 of 9
S5Maszczynski0Mucha3n = 3Mucha took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaszczynskiMuchaMaszczynski − MuchaBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.042.8−5.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaszczynskiMuchaBasisWin rate · lifetime97 / 441 vs 146 / 29322%49.8%97 / 441 vs 146 / 293Avg sets wonper match1.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MuchaMaszczynski 3.75/Mucha 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.3%
Mucha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mucha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 02:35D. Maszczynski1641110G. Mucha351111133
LSep 12 · 18:10D. Maszczynski38148971G. Mucha45121111113
LSep 5 · 23:20D. Maszczynski4511881172G. Mucha45311119113
LSep 5 · 17:20D. Maszczynski355911101G. Mucha3611112123
LAug 16 · 01:25D. Maszczynski371386101G. Mucha45111111123
LAug 15 · 19:20D. Maszczynski4061141182G. Mucha51119119113
WAug 9 · 01:25D. Maszczynski4281211113G. Mucha371110881
LAug 8 · 19:20D. Maszczynski399811111G. Mucha4411119133
LJul 5 · 24:10D. Maszczynski33971161G. Mucha4111118113
LJul 4 · 20:30D. Maszczynski4511711972G. Mucha49811811113
D. Maszczynski10
LSep 19 · 17:45T. Kocik1.0381111113D. Maszczynski10.00116621LSep 19 · 15:50D. Maszczynski5.50811381J. Oracz1.1311811113WSep 14 · 20:00J. Cyndera1.228121151D. Maszczynski3.60111013113LSep 14 · 19:10M. Warzecha1.1291111133D. Maszczynski4.801168111LSep 14 · 18:25D. Maszczynski2.313111041A. Staniczek1.5011612113LSep 14 · 16:50D. Maszczynski4.4010670A. Zmijewski1.151211113WSep 14 · 16:00P. Gesiarz1.28115991D. Maszczynski3.1581111113LSep 14 · 09:10W. Stechly2.10612178113D. Maszczynski1.601110151162WSep 14 · 08:10D. Maszczynski1.291181111113T. Kordaszewski3.1061113742WSep 14 · 07:10D. Maszczynski1.731111113T. Przebierala1.959540
G. Mucha10
LSep 19 · 15:25P. Gesiarz2.004121211113G. Mucha1.73111410892LSep 18 · 02:10Z. Nocun1.5713115113G. Mucha2.251171181LSep 18 · 01:25K. Gudzik1.831111113G. Mucha1.834980WSep 17 · 23:20M. Brunner3.25114461G. Mucha1.3371111113LSep 17 · 22:35M. Guzik1.2051111113G. Mucha4.33117661LSep 17 · 21:00M. Baran1.8311616113G. Mucha1.833111491WSep 17 · 20:05Z. Nocun1.53123711122G. Mucha2.381011119143LSep 17 · 19:20K. Gudzik1.91131111113G. Mucha1.801151381WSep 17 · 17:20M. Brunner2.2551070G. Mucha1.571112113WSep 17 · 16:35M. Baran1.831471012132G. Mucha1.8312111210153
Upcoming Matches
D. Maszczynski
Sep 19 · 18:30D. Maszczynski2.75P. Gesiarz1.40—Sep 19 · 20:05D. Maszczynski2.63K. Malcher1.44—Sep 19 · 21:45D. Maszczynski10.00T. Kocik1.03—Sep 19 · 22:55D. Maszczynski3.75G. Mucha1.25—Sep 19 · 23:45D. Maszczynski5.50J. Oracz1.13—Sep 20 · 24:35D. Maszczynski2.75P. Gesiarz1.40—Sep 20 · 02:10D. Maszczynski2.63K. Malcher1.44—
G. Mucha
Sep 19 · 18:10G. Mucha3.50J. Oracz1.28—Sep 19 · 19:20G. Mucha1.50K. Malcher2.50—Sep 19 · 20:30G. Mucha4.33T. Kocik1.20—Sep 19 · 21:20G. Mucha1.67P. Gesiarz2.10—Sep 19 · 22:55G. Mucha1.25D. Maszczynski3.75—Sep 20 · 24:10G. Mucha4.00T. Kocik1.22—Sep 20 · 01:25G. Mucha1.50K. Malcher2.50—Sep 20 · 02:35G. Mucha3.50J. Oracz1.28—Sep 20 · 15:25G. Mucha—K. Rybak——Sep 20 · 16:55G. Mucha—A. Zmijewski——
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