TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13159445
Starts 21:20Scheduled
Piotr Gesiarz
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 25–5Last 10Lost last 2
Head to head
3 – 7
All 10 meetings · 30.0%
Last 10 · 3–7Same side
Grzegorz Mucha
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 14–6Last 10Won last 1
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Gesiarz beat Mucha 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGesiarz 2.10 / Mucha 1.67
TT Elite Series · #13159445
Gesiarz2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 49 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 46
Mucha1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 90 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it100% 45 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it77% 60 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGesiarz3wins
AwayMucha7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMucha leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGesiarz50%3 of 6
AwayMucha100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gesiarz6Mucha4n = 10Gesiarz took 6 of 10
S2Gesiarz2Mucha8n = 10Mucha took 8 of 10
S3Gesiarz3Mucha7n = 10Mucha took 7 of 10
S4Gesiarz4Mucha3n = 7Gesiarz took 4 of 7
S5Gesiarz1Mucha3n = 4Mucha took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricGesiarzMuchaG − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.042.2−2.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGesiarzMuchaBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 314 vs 147 / 29446.8%50%147 / 314 vs 147 / 294Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 23:45P. Gesiarz259880G. Mucha331111113
LSep 12 · 15:50P. Gesiarz4312881142G. Mucha491011116113
LSep 6 · 02:10P. Gesiarz45114118112G. Mucha50911611133
LSep 5 · 20:05P. Gesiarz2911990G. Mucha351311113
LAug 29 · 21:20P. Gesiarz246990G. Mucha331111113
WAug 29 · 18:10P. Gesiarz48111214113G. Mucha416101691
LAug 15 · 22:55P. Gesiarz4213127101G. Mucha48111411123
WAug 15 · 16:55P. Gesiarz511111711113G. Mucha4881311972
LAug 9 · 02:10P. Gesiarz481111115102G. Mucha49135811123
WAug 8 · 20:05P. Gesiarz4515811113G. Mucha361311391
P. Gesiarz10
LSep 19 · 17:20P. Gesiarz1.61511119112K. Malcher2.20119311133LSep 19 · 16:15T. Kocik1.221111113P. Gesiarz4.006790WSep 19 · 15:25P. Gesiarz2.004121211113G. Mucha1.73111410892LSep 15 · 22:20J. Michalik1.851111143P. Gesiarz1.8599120WSep 15 · 21:30M. Brunner2.106101141P. Gesiarz1.6011128113LSep 15 · 20:45P. Gesiarz1.6511713882M. Karpiuk2.055111111113WSep 15 · 19:10P. Gesiarz1.85971111113M. Baran1.8511114852WSep 15 · 18:20J. Skorupa1.868360P. Gesiarz1.831111113LSep 14 · 20:20P. Gesiarz2.3531060A. Zmijewski1.501112113WSep 14 · 18:45J. Cyndera1.8069111142P. Gesiarz1.90111199113
G. Mucha10
WSep 19 · 16:55D. Maszczynski3.757980G. Mucha1.251111113LSep 19 · 15:25P. Gesiarz2.004121211113G. Mucha1.73111410892LSep 18 · 02:10Z. Nocun1.5713115113G. Mucha2.251171181LSep 18 · 01:25K. Gudzik1.831111113G. Mucha1.834980WSep 17 · 23:20M. Brunner3.25114461G. Mucha1.3371111113LSep 17 · 22:35M. Guzik1.2051111113G. Mucha4.33117661LSep 17 · 21:00M. Baran1.8311616113G. Mucha1.833111491WSep 17 · 20:05Z. Nocun1.53123711122G. Mucha2.381011119143LSep 17 · 19:20K. Gudzik1.91131111113G. Mucha1.801151381WSep 17 · 17:20M. Brunner2.2551070G. Mucha1.571112113
Upcoming Matches
P. Gesiarz
G. Mucha
Sep 19 · 18:10G. Mucha3.50J. Oracz1.28—Sep 19 · 19:20G. Mucha1.50K. Malcher2.50—Sep 19 · 20:30G. Mucha4.33T. Kocik1.20—Sep 19 · 22:55G. Mucha1.25D. Maszczynski3.75—Sep 20 · 24:10G. Mucha4.00T. Kocik1.22—Sep 20 · 01:25G. Mucha1.50K. Malcher2.50—Sep 20 · 02:35G. Mucha3.50J. Oracz1.28—Sep 20 · 15:25G. Mucha—K. Rybak——Sep 20 · 16:55G. Mucha—A. Zmijewski——Sep 20 · 18:10G. Mucha—Z. Nocun——
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