TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13157641
Played Sep 19Finished
Dariusz Maszczynski
Home
5.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811118311811––
Jacek Oracz
Away
1.13
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:06 and never touched — 77.3% is still 77.3%
Graded at full timeJacek Oracz to win
77.3%
77.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDariusz Maszczynski above · Jacek Oracz below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 71 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jacek Oracz at 77.3%
71 points played in total.
H2H Dariusz Maszczynski 0–8 Jacek Oracz Dariusz Maszczynski has won 0 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:06What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-8 in 8
Oracz
Correct
gap of 8 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maszczynski 1138 vs Oracz 1570
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 432 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maszczynski 40% vs Oracz 80%
Oracz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maszczynski 40% vs Oracz 70%
Oracz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maszczynski +1 · Oracz +3
Oracz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maszczynski form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (18%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaszczynski 5.50 / Oracz 1.13
Signal prob.13% / 87%
Edge (Oracz)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13157641
Maszczynski5.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 14)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog23% won 67 of 286
Down 0–1, comes back12% 23 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 129
Oracz1.13
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite72% won 308 of 429
Up 2–0, closes it98% 190 of 193
Up 1–0, closes it88% 249 of 283
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMaszczynski0wins
AwayOracz8wins
1 of 8 to a deciderOracz leads 8–0, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaszczynski0%0 of 3
AwayOracz100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maszczynski3Oracz5n = 8Oracz took 5 of 8
S2Maszczynski1Oracz7n = 8Oracz took 7 of 8
S3Maszczynski1Oracz7n = 8Oracz took 7 of 8
S4Maszczynski1Oracz4n = 5Oracz took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away450%
0–3Straight, away338%
These 8 meetings
MetricMaszczynskiOraczM − OBasisWins08−8in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match25.238.4−13.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaszczynskiOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 433 vs 654 / 90721.9%72.1%95 / 433 vs 654 / 907Avg sets wonper match1.32.5per matchAvg pointsper match33.439.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczMaszczynski 5.50/Oracz 1.13
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LMar 23 · 19:00D. Maszczynski4211781152J. Oracz43211118113
LFeb 16 · 18:10D. Maszczynski29811551J. Oracz3911611113
LDec 1 · 18:35D. Maszczynski163580J. Oracz331111113
LNov 29 · 17:00D. Maszczynski27126631J. Oracz43101111113
LNov 22 · 21:00D. Maszczynski154560J. Oracz331111113
LNov 3 · 18:35D. Maszczynski26831141J. Oracz4211119113
LOct 27 · 19:00D. Maszczynski239770J. Oracz331111113
LOct 13 · 20:00D. Maszczynski24115621J. Oracz4181111113
D. Maszczynski10
LSep 19 · 16:55D. Maszczynski3.757980G. Mucha1.251111113WSep 14 · 20:00J. Cyndera1.228121151D. Maszczynski3.60111013113LSep 14 · 19:10M. Warzecha1.1291111133D. Maszczynski4.801168111LSep 14 · 18:25D. Maszczynski2.313111041A. Staniczek1.5011612113LSep 14 · 16:50D. Maszczynski4.4010670A. Zmijewski1.151211113WSep 14 · 16:00P. Gesiarz1.28115991D. Maszczynski3.1581111113LSep 14 · 09:10W. Stechly2.10612178113D. Maszczynski1.601110151162WSep 14 · 08:10D. Maszczynski1.291181111113T. Kordaszewski3.1061113742WSep 14 · 07:10D. Maszczynski1.731111113T. Przebierala1.959540LSep 14 · 05:50D. Maszczynski2.5597120M. Wolny1.461111143
J. Oracz10
WSep 19 · 16:35J. Oracz1.30911116113K. Malcher3.4011591192WSep 19 · 02:20M. Natkaniec3.6591111111J. Oracz1.1711133133WSep 19 · 01:35O. Jedrzejowski2.35811761J. Oracz1.5011711113WSep 18 · 23:35M. Krutak2.50911761J. Oracz1.4611811113LSep 18 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.8571113123J. Oracz1.8511811101WSep 18 · 21:10D. Pyrek3.5051121162J. Oracz1.26117119113LSep 18 · 20:20M. Natkaniec3.651171211113J. Oracz1.17131110672LSep 18 · 19:35O. Jedrzejowski2.351171110113J. Oracz1.5041151252WSep 18 · 17:35M. Krutak2.25114141162J. Oracz1.55711169113WSep 18 · 16:50D. Pyrek3.5011107101J. Oracz1.2671211123
Upcoming Matches
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