Match Analysis — Predictions & Deep Stats

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13159123

Starts 21:00Scheduled

Jacek Oracz

Home

1.33

At publish

Won last 5

7–3Last 10Won last 5

Head to head

4 – 1

All 5 meetings · 80.0%

Last 5 · 4–1Same side

Krzysztof Malcher

Away

3.25

At publish

Lost last 5

4–6Last 10Lost last 5

Compare players

Same-day rematch · 4h before this match

Oracz beat Malcher 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsOracz 1.33 / Malcher 3.25

TT Elite Series · #13159123

Oracz1.33

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 5

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite72% won 308 of 429

Up 2–0, closes it98% 190 of 193

Up 1–0, closes it88% 249 of 283

Malcher3.25

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog47% won 28 of 60

Down 0–1, comes back18% 6 of 33

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 5 meetings

HomeOracz4wins

AwayMalcher1wins

2 of 5 to a deciderOracz leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeOracz75%3 of 4

AwayMalchern = 1, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Oracz4Malcher1n = 5Oracz took 4 of 5

S2Oracz3Malcher2n = 5Oracz took 3 of 5

S3Oracz5Malcher0n = 5Oracz took 5 of 5

S4Oracz1Malcher2n = 3Malcher took 2 of 3

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home240%

3–1Four sets, home120%

3–2Decider, home120%

2–3Decider, away120%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 5 meetings

MetricOraczMalcherO − MBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match39.035.6+3.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricOraczMalcherBasisWin rate · lifetime655 / 907 vs 35 / 9772.2%36.1%655 / 907 vs 35 / 97Avg sets wonper match2.51.5per matchAvg pointsper match39.433.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record5

WSep 19 · 16:35J. Oracz48911116113K. Malcher4511591192

LAug 29 · 21:00J. Oracz45115111082K. Malcher51811912113

WAug 29 · 17:20J. Oracz331111113K. Malcher183780

WJul 11 · 24:25J. Oracz3511111123K. Malcher399119101

WJul 10 · 20:45J. Oracz341111123K. Malcher2578100

J. Oracz10

WSep 19 · 16:35J. Oracz1.30911116113K. Malcher3.4011591192 WSep 19 · 15:50D. Maszczynski5.50811381J. Oracz1.1311811113 WSep 19 · 02:20M. Natkaniec3.6591111111J. Oracz1.1711133133 WSep 19 · 01:35O. Jedrzejowski2.35811761J. Oracz1.5011711113 WSep 18 · 23:35M. Krutak2.50911761J. Oracz1.4611811113 LSep 18 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.8571113123J. Oracz1.8511811101 WSep 18 · 21:10D. Pyrek3.5051121162J. Oracz1.26117119113 LSep 18 · 20:20M. Natkaniec3.651171211113J. Oracz1.17131110672 LSep 18 · 19:35O. Jedrzejowski2.351171110113J. Oracz1.5041151252 WSep 18 · 17:35M. Krutak2.25114141162J. Oracz1.55711169113

K. Malcher10

LSep 19 · 16:35J. Oracz1.30911116113K. Malcher3.4011591192 LSep 19 · 15:00T. Kocik1.2011511113K. Malcher4.33711351 LSep 13 · 02:00K. Malcher3.407470C. Pawlik1.241111113 LSep 13 · 24:45K. Malcher2.907930A. Zmijewski1.321111113 LSep 12 · 23:35K. Malcher2.753260O. Jedrzejowski1.361111113 WSep 12 · 22:25M. Wolny1.75611871K. Malcher1.9511911113 LSep 12 · 21:35K. Malcher2.753114141A. Fomin1.4011911163 WSep 12 · 20:00K. Malcher2.101111113M. Wolny1.606990 WSep 12 · 18:45K. Malcher2.9011114113A. Zmijewski1.32971191 WSep 12 · 17:35K. Malcher2.7511117113O. Jedrzejowski1.35691191

Upcoming Matches

J. Oracz

Sep 19 · 18:10J. Oracz1.28G. Mucha3.50—Sep 19 · 18:55J. Oracz1.83T. Kocik1.83—Sep 19 · 19:40J. Oracz1.28P. Gesiarz3.50—Sep 19 · 22:10J. Oracz1.28P. Gesiarz3.50—Sep 19 · 23:45J. Oracz1.13D. Maszczynski5.50—Sep 20 · 01:00J. Oracz1.83T. Kocik1.83—Sep 20 · 02:35J. Oracz1.28G. Mucha3.50—

K. Malcher

Sep 19 · 17:20K. Malcher1.91P. Gesiarz1.80—Sep 19 · 19:20K. Malcher2.50G. Mucha1.50—Sep 19 · 20:05K. Malcher1.44D. Maszczynski2.63—Sep 19 · 22:35K. Malcher3.70T. Kocik1.16—Sep 19 · 23:20K. Malcher1.91P. Gesiarz1.80—Sep 20 · 01:25K. Malcher2.50G. Mucha1.50—Sep 20 · 02:10K. Malcher1.44D. Maszczynski2.63—

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