TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13154143
Played Sep 19Finished
Oskar Jedrzejowski
Home
2.35
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811117711611––
Jacek Oracz
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:40 and never touched — 65.1% is still 65.1%
Graded at full timeJacek Oracz to win
65.1%
65.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
811117711611––
H2H Oskar Jedrzejowski 13–22 Jacek Oracz Oskar Jedrzejowski has won 13 of their 35 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Jedrzejowski beat Oracz 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:40What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (61%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-22 in 35
Oracz
Correct
gap of 9 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jedrzejowski 1456 vs Oracz 1555
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jedrzejowski 80% vs Oracz 40%
Jedrzejowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jedrzejowski 70% vs Oracz 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jedrzejowski +3 · Oracz +1
Jedrzejowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJedrzejowski 2.35 / Oracz 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Oracz)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13154143
Jedrzejowski2.35
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog49% won 29 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back25% 7 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Oracz1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite72% won 302 of 421
Up 2–0, closes it99% 189 of 191
Up 1–0, closes it88% 245 of 278
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJedrzejowski5wins
AwayOracz5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJedrzejowski66.7%4 of 6
AwayOracz75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jedrzejowski6Oracz4n = 10Jedrzejowski took 6 of 10
S2Jedrzejowski3Oracz7n = 10Oracz took 7 of 10
S3Jedrzejowski6Oracz4n = 10Jedrzejowski took 6 of 10
S4Jedrzejowski3Oracz7n = 10Oracz took 7 of 10
S5Jedrzejowski3Oracz1n = 4Jedrzejowski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJedrzejowskiOraczJ − OBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.939.9+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJedrzejowskiOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 237 vs 654 / 90755.7%72.1%132 / 237 vs 654 / 907Avg sets wonper match2.12.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczJedrzejowski 2.35/Oracz 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.2%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 19:35O. Jedrzejowski501171110113J. Oracz3741151252
WSep 11 · 21:35O. Jedrzejowski4311912113J. Oracz334111081
LSep 11 · 15:35O. Jedrzejowski32115791J. Oracz4291111113
WAug 28 · 22:50O. Jedrzejowski4111118113J. Oracz34791171
WAug 28 · 15:10O. Jedrzejowski527111211113J. Oracz4511914382
LAug 23 · 24:25O. Jedrzejowski377911101J. Oracz3911115123
WAug 22 · 20:45O. Jedrzejowski541191112113J. Oracz4361161462
LAug 22 · 24:25O. Jedrzejowski32116871J. Oracz3851111113
LAug 21 · 20:45O. Jedrzejowski4381112482J. Oracz471141011113
LAug 15 · 02:20O. Jedrzejowski351061181J. Oracz4112117113
O. Jedrzejowski10
WSep 19 · 24:25C. Pawlik1.83711841O. Jedrzejowski1.8711911113WSep 18 · 23:10M. Natkaniec2.85861181O. Jedrzejowski1.3611119113WSep 18 · 21:35M. Krutak1.953660O. Jedrzejowski1.761111113LSep 18 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.66451311113O. Jedrzejowski2.00111111982WSep 18 · 19:35O. Jedrzejowski2.351171110113J. Oracz1.5041151252WSep 18 · 18:25D. Pyrek2.608710O. Jedrzejowski1.411111113WSep 18 · 17:10M. Natkaniec2.85311891O. Jedrzejowski1.3611811113LSep 18 · 15:35M. Krutak1.9511117113O. Jedrzejowski1.76971191WSep 13 · 02:20A. Zmijewski1.8598150O. Jedrzejowski1.851111173LSep 13 · 01:35A. Fomin1.83101112113O. Jedrzejowski1.831251091
J. Oracz10
WSep 19 · 02:20M. Natkaniec3.6591111111J. Oracz1.1711133133WSep 18 · 23:35M. Krutak2.50911761J. Oracz1.4611811113LSep 18 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.8571113123J. Oracz1.8511811101WSep 18 · 21:10D. Pyrek3.5051121162J. Oracz1.26117119113LSep 18 · 20:20M. Natkaniec3.651171211113J. Oracz1.17131110672LSep 18 · 19:35O. Jedrzejowski2.351171110113J. Oracz1.5041151252WSep 18 · 17:35M. Krutak2.25114141162J. Oracz1.55711169113WSep 18 · 16:50D. Pyrek3.5011107101J. Oracz1.2671211123WSep 18 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.78691171J. Oracz1.9111117113WSep 12 · 02:00J. Oracz1.691191110113C. Pawlik1.9771171282
Upcoming Matches
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