TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13152920
Played Sep 18Finished
Dawid Pyrek
Home
2.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711111––––
Oskar Jedrzejowski
Away
1.41
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:12 and never touched — 65.0% is still 65.0%
Graded at full timeOskar Jedrzejowski to win
65.0%
65.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
49 points played in total.
Set by set
811711111––––
H2H Dawid Pyrek 5–3 Oskar Jedrzejowski Oskar Jedrzejowski has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:12What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Jedrzejowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Pyrek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pyrek 1362 vs Jedrzejowski 1397
Jedrzejowski
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pyrek 40% vs Jedrzejowski 60%
Jedrzejowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pyrek 40% vs Jedrzejowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pyrek -1 · Jedrzejowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Jedrzejowski) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jedrzejowski form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPyrek 2.60 / Jedrzejowski 1.41
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Jedrzejowski)-0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13152920
Pyrek2.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 57 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back19% 22 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 74
Jedrzejowski1.41
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite57% won 72 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it97% 36 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it77% 52 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomePyrek5wins
AwayJedrzejowski3wins
2 of 8 to a deciderPyrek leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePyrek100%4 of 4
AwayJedrzejowski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pyrek4Jedrzejowski4n = 8split evenly
S2Pyrek3Jedrzejowski5n = 8Jedrzejowski took 5 of 8
S3Pyrek5Jedrzejowski3n = 8Pyrek took 5 of 8
S4Pyrek4Jedrzejowski0n = 4Pyrek took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricPyrekJedrzejowskiP − JBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match33.935.9−2.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPyrekJedrzejowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime381 / 764 vs 127 / 23149.9%55%381 / 764 vs 127 / 231Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JedrzejowskiPyrek 2.60/Jedrzejowski 1.41
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.4%
Jedrzejowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jedrzejowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 12 · 02:45D. Pyrek4411814113O. Jedrzejowski387111281
WSep 11 · 18:25D. Pyrek50119711123O. Jedrzejowski48811118102
LAug 21 · 23:10D. Pyrek128220O. Jedrzejowski331111113
LAug 21 · 17:10D. Pyrek46313111182O. Jedrzejowski52111587113
WJun 5 · 04:20D. Pyrek331111113O. Jedrzejowski209650
LJun 4 · 18:45D. Pyrek124620O. Jedrzejowski331111113
WMay 16 · 24:45D. Pyrek4161212113O. Jedrzejowski3911101081
WMay 15 · 18:45D. Pyrek331111113O. Jedrzejowski247890
D. Pyrek10
LSep 18 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.3681112113D. Pyrek2.951191061LSep 18 · 16:50D. Pyrek3.5011107101J. Oracz1.2671211123WSep 18 · 16:00M. Natkaniec2.004790D. Pyrek1.711111113WSep 12 · 02:45D. Pyrek2.3511814113O. Jedrzejowski1.537111281LSep 12 · 01:10D. Pyrek2.954370C. Pawlik1.321111113LSep 12 · 24:00D. Pyrek1.901277111M. Natkaniec1.80101111133WSep 11 · 22:25D. Pyrek2.55118119113J. Oracz1.4251161192LSep 11 · 21:10D. Pyrek2.189811101M. Wozniczka1.5611117123LSep 11 · 20:00J. Oracz1.27111012113D. Pyrek3.206121071LSep 11 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.3411911113D. Pyrek2.85911791
O. Jedrzejowski10
WSep 18 · 17:10M. Natkaniec2.85311891O. Jedrzejowski1.3611811113LSep 18 · 15:35M. Krutak1.9511117113O. Jedrzejowski1.76971191WSep 13 · 02:20A. Zmijewski1.8598150O. Jedrzejowski1.851111173LSep 13 · 01:35A. Fomin1.83101112113O. Jedrzejowski1.831251091WSep 12 · 23:35K. Malcher2.753260O. Jedrzejowski1.361111113WSep 12 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.6191115372O. Jedrzejowski2.101171311113LSep 12 · 21:10M. Wolny2.35512117113O. Jedrzejowski1.48111071162LSep 12 · 20:20A. Zmijewski1.831112118113O. Jedrzejowski1.83131021142LSep 12 · 19:35A. Fomin1.85971111113O. Jedrzejowski1.8511118572LSep 12 · 02:45D. Pyrek2.3511814113O. Jedrzejowski1.537111281
Upcoming Matches
D. Pyrek
O. Jedrzejowski
Sep 18 · 19:35O. Jedrzejowski2.35J. Oracz1.50—Sep 18 · 20:45O. Jedrzejowski2.00C. Pawlik1.66—Sep 18 · 21:35O. Jedrzejowski1.76M. Krutak1.95—Sep 18 · 23:10O. Jedrzejowski1.36M. Natkaniec2.85—Sep 19 · 24:25O. Jedrzejowski2.00C. Pawlik1.66—Sep 19 · 01:35O. Jedrzejowski2.35J. Oracz1.50—Sep 19 · 02:45O. Jedrzejowski1.41D. Pyrek2.60—
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