TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13158430
Played Sep 19Finished
Jacek Oracz
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911115119611119
Krzysztof Malcher
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:49 and never touched — 79.2% is still 79.2%
Graded at full timeJacek Oracz to win
79.2%
79.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJacek Oracz above · Krzysztof Malcher below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 93 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jacek Oracz at 79.2%
93 points played in total.
H2H Jacek Oracz 3–1 Krzysztof Malcher Krzysztof Malcher has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:49What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Oracz
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oracz 1574 vs Malcher 1326
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 247 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oracz 80% vs Malcher 20%
Oracz
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oracz 70% vs Malcher 50%
Oracz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oracz +4 · Malcher -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOracz 1.30 / Malcher 3.40
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Oracz)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13158430
Oracz1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite72% won 308 of 429
Up 2–0, closes it98% 190 of 193
Up 1–0, closes it88% 249 of 283
Malcher3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 28 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back18% 6 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeOracz3wins
AwayMalcher1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderOracz leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOracz75%3 of 4
AwayMalchern = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oracz4Malcher0n = 4Oracz took 4 of 4
S2Oracz2Malcher2n = 4split evenly
S3Oracz4Malcher0n = 4Oracz took 4 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricOraczMalcherO − MBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match36.833.2+3.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOraczMalcherBasisWin rate · lifetime654 / 906 vs 35 / 9672.2%36.5%654 / 906 vs 35 / 96Avg sets wonper match2.51.5per matchAvg pointsper match39.433.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczOracz 1.30/Malcher 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.1%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 29 · 21:00J. Oracz45115111082K. Malcher51811912113
WAug 29 · 17:20J. Oracz331111113K. Malcher183780
WJul 11 · 24:25J. Oracz3511111123K. Malcher399119101
WJul 10 · 20:45J. Oracz341111123K. Malcher2578100
J. Oracz10
WSep 19 · 15:50D. Maszczynski5.50811381J. Oracz1.1311811113WSep 19 · 02:20M. Natkaniec3.6591111111J. Oracz1.1711133133WSep 19 · 01:35O. Jedrzejowski2.35811761J. Oracz1.5011711113WSep 18 · 23:35M. Krutak2.50911761J. Oracz1.4611811113LSep 18 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.8571113123J. Oracz1.8511811101WSep 18 · 21:10D. Pyrek3.5051121162J. Oracz1.26117119113LSep 18 · 20:20M. Natkaniec3.651171211113J. Oracz1.17131110672LSep 18 · 19:35O. Jedrzejowski2.351171110113J. Oracz1.5041151252WSep 18 · 17:35M. Krutak2.25114141162J. Oracz1.55711169113WSep 18 · 16:50D. Pyrek3.5011107101J. Oracz1.2671211123
K. Malcher10
WSep 19 · 17:20P. Gesiarz1.61511119112K. Malcher2.20119311133LSep 19 · 15:00T. Kocik1.2011511113K. Malcher4.33711351LSep 13 · 02:00K. Malcher3.407470C. Pawlik1.241111113LSep 13 · 24:45K. Malcher2.907930A. Zmijewski1.321111113LSep 12 · 23:35K. Malcher2.753260O. Jedrzejowski1.361111113WSep 12 · 22:25M. Wolny1.75611871K. Malcher1.9511911113LSep 12 · 21:35K. Malcher2.753114141A. Fomin1.4011911163WSep 12 · 20:00K. Malcher2.101111113M. Wolny1.606990WSep 12 · 18:45K. Malcher2.9011114113A. Zmijewski1.32971191WSep 12 · 17:35K. Malcher2.7511117113O. Jedrzejowski1.35691191
Upcoming Matches
J. Oracz
Sep 19 · 18:10J. Oracz1.28G. Mucha3.50—Sep 19 · 18:55J. Oracz1.83T. Kocik1.83—Sep 19 · 19:40J. Oracz1.28P. Gesiarz3.50—Sep 19 · 21:00J. Oracz1.25K. Malcher3.75—Sep 19 · 22:10J. Oracz1.28P. Gesiarz3.50—Sep 19 · 23:45J. Oracz1.13D. Maszczynski5.50—Sep 20 · 01:00J. Oracz1.83T. Kocik1.83—Sep 20 · 02:35J. Oracz1.28G. Mucha3.50—
K. Malcher
Sep 19 · 19:20K. Malcher2.50G. Mucha1.50—Sep 19 · 20:05K. Malcher1.44D. Maszczynski2.63—Sep 19 · 21:00K. Malcher3.75J. Oracz1.25—Sep 19 · 22:35K. Malcher3.70T. Kocik1.16—Sep 19 · 23:20K. Malcher1.91P. Gesiarz1.80—Sep 20 · 01:25K. Malcher2.50G. Mucha1.50—Sep 20 · 02:10K. Malcher1.44D. Maszczynski2.63—
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