TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13159352
Played Sep 19Finished
Tomasz Kocik
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210116––––
Grzegorz Mucha
Away
4.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:36 and never touched — 81.0% is still 81.0%
Graded at full timeTomasz Kocik to win
81.0%
81.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomasz Kocik above · Grzegorz Mucha below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 57 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Tomasz Kocik at 81.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Tomasz Kocik 6–0 Grzegorz Mucha Grzegorz Mucha has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:36What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Kocik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-0 in 6
Kocik
Correct
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kocik 1651 vs Mucha 1386
Kocik
Correct
both rated, 264 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kocik 80% vs Mucha 40%
Kocik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kocik 90% vs Mucha 40%
Kocik
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kocik +4 · Mucha +1
Kocik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Kocik) · live re-read · sealed at 81% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mucha form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocik 1.20 / Mucha 4.33
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Kocik)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13159352
Kocik1.20
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite77% won 52 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it100% 34 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it86% 42 of 49
Mucha4.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 46 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back20% 14 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKocik6wins
AwayMucha0wins
Kocik leads 6–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKocik100%4 of 4
AwayMuchan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocik4Mucha2n = 6Kocik took 4 of 6
S2Kocik5Mucha1n = 6Kocik took 5 of 6
S3Kocik4Mucha2n = 6Kocik took 4 of 6
S4Kocik5Mucha0n = 5Kocik took 5 of 5
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home583%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKocikMuchaK − MBasisWins60+6in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match40.829.5+11.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocikMuchaBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 102 vs 148 / 29674.5%50%76 / 102 vs 148 / 296Avg sets wonper match2.52.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocikKocik 1.20/Mucha 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.7%
Kocik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kocik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 13 · 01:00T. Kocik3911116113G. Mucha32871161
WSep 12 · 18:55T. Kocik44111111113G. Mucha31851351
WSep 5 · 22:35T. Kocik4111811113G. Mucha27611191
WSep 5 · 15:00T. Kocik4161111133G. Mucha321164111
WAug 22 · 21:10T. Kocik43101111113G. Mucha26125451
WAug 22 · 16:50T. Kocik371111153G. Mucha2988130
T. Kocik10
WSep 19 · 21:45D. Maszczynski10.00411941T. Kocik1.0311511113WSep 19 · 18:55T. Kocik1.8311911113J. Oracz1.83911681WSep 19 · 17:45T. Kocik1.0381111113D. Maszczynski10.00116621WSep 19 · 16:15T. Kocik1.221111113P. Gesiarz4.006790WSep 19 · 15:00T. Kocik1.2011511113K. Malcher4.33711351LSep 13 · 01:45K. Gudzik4.50111359133T. Kocik1.174111111112WSep 13 · 01:00G. Mucha4.00871161T. Kocik1.2211116113WSep 13 · 24:10T. Kocik1.0211117183D. Maszczynski11.009611161WSep 12 · 22:35T. Kocik1.221111113J. Skorupa4.004680WSep 12 · 21:45P. Gesiarz3.501491161T. Kocik1.2816118113
G. Mucha10
WSep 19 · 21:20P. Gesiarz2.108360G. Mucha1.671111113WSep 19 · 19:20G. Mucha1.505111210133K. Malcher2.501181012112LSep 19 · 18:10J. Oracz1.281411113G. Mucha3.5012680WSep 19 · 16:55D. Maszczynski3.757980G. Mucha1.251111113LSep 19 · 15:25P. Gesiarz2.004121211113G. Mucha1.73111410892LSep 18 · 02:10Z. Nocun1.5713115113G. Mucha2.251171181LSep 18 · 01:25K. Gudzik1.831111113G. Mucha1.834980WSep 17 · 23:20M. Brunner3.25114461G. Mucha1.3371111113LSep 17 · 22:35M. Guzik1.2051111113G. Mucha4.33117661LSep 13 · 01:00G. Mucha4.00871161T. Kocik1.2211116113
Upcoming Matches
T. Kocik
G. Mucha
Sep 19 · 22:55G. Mucha1.20D. Maszczynski4.33—Sep 20 · 24:10G. Mucha4.50T. Kocik1.17—Sep 20 · 01:25G. Mucha1.61K. Malcher2.20—Sep 20 · 02:35G. Mucha3.50J. Oracz1.28—Sep 20 · 15:25G. Mucha—K. Rybak——Sep 20 · 16:55G. Mucha—A. Zmijewski——Sep 20 · 18:10G. Mucha—Z. Nocun——Sep 20 · 19:20G. Mucha—J. Skorupa——Sep 20 · 20:30G. Mucha—M. Guzik——Sep 20 · 21:20G. Mucha—K. Rybak——
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.