TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13159144
Played Sep 19Finished
Dariusz Maszczynski
Home
10.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411115911411––
Tomasz Kocik
Away
1.03
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:47 and never touched — 92.4% is still 92.4%
Graded at full timeTomasz Kocik to win
92.4%
92.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDariusz Maszczynski above · Tomasz Kocik below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 66 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Tomasz Kocik at 92.4%
66 points played in total.
H2H Dariusz Maszczynski 0–12 Tomasz Kocik Dariusz Maszczynski has won 0 of their 12 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Kocik beat Maszczynski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:47What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.03 (91%)
Kocik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-12 in 12
Kocik
Correct
gap of 12 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maszczynski 1102 vs Kocik 1663
Kocik
Correct
both rated, 561 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maszczynski 0% vs Kocik 100%
Kocik
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maszczynski 20% vs Kocik 90%
Kocik
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maszczynski -5 · Kocik +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 92% — Strong (leans Kocik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaszczynski 10.00 / Kocik 1.03
Signal prob.8% / 92%
Edge (Kocik)+1.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13159144
Maszczynski10.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog23% won 67 of 286
Down 0–1, comes back12% 23 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 129
Kocik1.03
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite77% won 52 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it100% 34 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it86% 42 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaszczynski0wins
AwayKocik10wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKocik leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaszczynskin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKocik100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maszczynski1Kocik9n = 10Kocik took 9 of 10
S2Maszczynski2Kocik8n = 10Kocik took 8 of 10
S3Maszczynski2Kocik8n = 10Kocik took 8 of 10
S4Maszczynski0Kocik4n = 4Kocik took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaszczynskiKocikM − KBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match24.237.1−12.9per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaszczynskiKocikBasisWin rate · lifetime97 / 446 vs 78 / 10421.8%75%97 / 446 vs 78 / 104Avg sets wonper match1.32.5per matchAvg pointsper match33.338.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocikMaszczynski 10.00/Kocik 1.03
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
92.4%
Kocik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kocik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 21:45D. Maszczynski28411941T. Kocik3811511113
LSep 19 · 17:45D. Maszczynski25116621T. Kocik4181111113
LSep 13 · 24:10D. Maszczynski429611161T. Kocik4711117183
LSep 12 · 20:30D. Maszczynski2031070T. Kocik341112113
LSep 6 · 01:45D. Maszczynski124620T. Kocik331111113
LSep 5 · 16:15D. Maszczynski4451113872T. Kocik461121111113
LAug 1 · 22:55D. Maszczynski155460T. Kocik331111113
LAug 1 · 16:55D. Maszczynski175660T. Kocik331111113
LJul 25 · 21:20D. Maszczynski174580T. Kocik331111113
LJul 25 · 15:25D. Maszczynski229850T. Kocik331111113
D. Maszczynski10
LSep 19 · 20:05D. Maszczynski2.6311950K. Malcher1.441311113LSep 19 · 18:30P. Gesiarz1.40121198113D. Maszczynski2.75106111122LSep 19 · 17:45T. Kocik1.0381111113D. Maszczynski10.00116621LSep 19 · 16:55D. Maszczynski3.757980G. Mucha1.251111113LSep 19 · 15:50D. Maszczynski5.50811381J. Oracz1.1311811113WSep 14 · 20:00J. Cyndera1.228121151D. Maszczynski3.60111013113LSep 14 · 19:10M. Warzecha1.1291111133D. Maszczynski4.801168111LSep 14 · 18:25D. Maszczynski2.313111041A. Staniczek1.5011612113LSep 14 · 16:50D. Maszczynski4.4010670A. Zmijewski1.151211113WSep 14 · 16:00P. Gesiarz1.28115991D. Maszczynski3.1581111113
T. Kocik10
WSep 19 · 22:35T. Kocik1.101111113K. Malcher6.505960WSep 19 · 20:30T. Kocik1.201112113G. Mucha4.3371060WSep 19 · 18:55T. Kocik1.8311911113J. Oracz1.83911681WSep 19 · 17:45T. Kocik1.0381111113D. Maszczynski10.00116621WSep 19 · 16:15T. Kocik1.221111113P. Gesiarz4.006790WSep 19 · 15:00T. Kocik1.2011511113K. Malcher4.33711351LSep 13 · 01:45K. Gudzik4.50111359133T. Kocik1.174111111112WSep 13 · 01:00G. Mucha4.00871161T. Kocik1.2211116113WSep 13 · 24:10T. Kocik1.0211117183D. Maszczynski11.009611161WSep 12 · 22:35T. Kocik1.221111113J. Skorupa4.004680
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