TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13158405
Played Sep 19Finished
Dariusz Maszczynski
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113911511––––
Krzysztof Malcher
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:37 and never touched — 54.6% is still 54.6%
Graded at full timeDariusz Maszczynski to win
54.6%
54.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDariusz Maszczynski above · Krzysztof Malcher below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 60 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Dariusz Maszczynski at 54.6%
60 points played in total.
H2H Dariusz Maszczynski 3–1 Krzysztof Malcher Krzysztof Malcher has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:37What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Malcher
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Maszczynski
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maszczynski 1113 vs Malcher 1290
Malcher
Correct
both rated, 177 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maszczynski 20% vs Malcher 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maszczynski 20% vs Malcher 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maszczynski -4 · Malcher -1
Maszczynski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Malcher) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Malcher form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaszczynski 2.63 / Malcher 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Malcher)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13158405
Maszczynski2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog23% won 67 of 286
Down 0–1, comes back12% 23 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 129
Malcher1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMaszczynski3wins
AwayMalcher1wins
4 of 4 to a deciderMaszczynski leads 3–1, and 4 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaszczynski100%3 of 3
AwayMalchern = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maszczynski3Malcher1n = 4Maszczynski took 3 of 4
S2Maszczynski1Malcher3n = 4Malcher took 3 of 4
S3Maszczynski3Malcher1n = 4Maszczynski took 3 of 4
S4Maszczynski1Malcher3n = 4Malcher took 3 of 4
S5Maszczynski3Malcher1n = 4Maszczynski took 3 of 4
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home375%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMaszczynskiMalcherMaszczynski − MalcherBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match45.847.0−1.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaszczynskiMalcherBasisWin rate · lifetime97 / 444 vs 36 / 9921.9%36.4%97 / 444 vs 36 / 99Avg sets wonper match1.31.5per matchAvg pointsper match33.333.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MalcherMaszczynski 2.63/Malcher 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Malcher · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Malcher won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 15 · 23:20D. Maszczynski47117117113K. Malcher4591151192
LAug 15 · 17:20D. Maszczynski4343181172K. Malcher541111165113
WJul 19 · 02:10D. Maszczynski46111139123K. Malcher44391111102
WJul 18 · 20:05D. Maszczynski47136116113K. Malcher45111181142
D. Maszczynski10
LSep 19 · 18:30P. Gesiarz1.40121198113D. Maszczynski2.75106111122LSep 19 · 17:45T. Kocik1.0381111113D. Maszczynski10.00116621LSep 19 · 16:55D. Maszczynski3.757980G. Mucha1.251111113LSep 19 · 15:50D. Maszczynski5.50811381J. Oracz1.1311811113WSep 14 · 20:00J. Cyndera1.228121151D. Maszczynski3.60111013113LSep 14 · 19:10M. Warzecha1.1291111133D. Maszczynski4.801168111LSep 14 · 18:25D. Maszczynski2.313111041A. Staniczek1.5011612113LSep 14 · 16:50D. Maszczynski4.4010670A. Zmijewski1.151211113WSep 14 · 16:00P. Gesiarz1.28115991D. Maszczynski3.1581111113LSep 14 · 09:10W. Stechly2.10612178113D. Maszczynski1.601110151162
K. Malcher10
LSep 19 · 21:00J. Oracz1.251111113K. Malcher3.758960LSep 19 · 19:20G. Mucha1.505111210133K. Malcher2.501181012112WSep 19 · 17:20P. Gesiarz1.61511119112K. Malcher2.20119311133LSep 19 · 16:35J. Oracz1.30911116113K. Malcher3.4011591192LSep 19 · 15:00T. Kocik1.2011511113K. Malcher4.33711351LSep 13 · 02:00K. Malcher3.407470C. Pawlik1.241111113LSep 13 · 24:45K. Malcher2.907930A. Zmijewski1.321111113LSep 12 · 23:35K. Malcher2.753260O. Jedrzejowski1.361111113WSep 12 · 22:25M. Wolny1.75611871K. Malcher1.9511911113LSep 12 · 21:35K. Malcher2.753114141A. Fomin1.4011911163
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