TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Petr Kubat vs Zdenek Muhlhauser 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5117111191113––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:56 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeZdenek Muhlhauser to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Kubat above · Zdenek Muhlhauser below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 78 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Zdenek Muhlhauser at 62.5%
78 points played in total.
H2H Petr Kubat 8–10 Zdenek Muhlhauser Petr Kubat has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:56What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Muhlhauser
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-10 in 18
Muhlhauser
Correct
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kubat 1348 vs Muhlhauser 1524
Muhlhauser
Correct
both rated, 176 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kubat 20% vs Muhlhauser 40%
Muhlhauser
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kubat 20% vs Muhlhauser 50%
Muhlhauser
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kubat -4 · Muhlhauser -2
Kubat
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Muhlhauser)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Muhlhauser form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubat 2.50 / Muhlhauser 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Muhlhauser)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13197531
Kubat2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 8 days ago (Sep 18) · back after a break
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 12 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back9% 2 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Muhlhauser1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 24 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it71% 15 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKubat2wins
AwayMuhlhauser8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMuhlhauser leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKubat50%2 of 4
AwayMuhlhauser100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kubat4Muhlhauser6n = 10Muhlhauser took 6 of 10
S2Kubat2Muhlhauser8n = 10Muhlhauser took 8 of 10
S3Kubat4Muhlhauser6n = 10Muhlhauser took 6 of 10
S4Kubat2Muhlhauser5n = 7Muhlhauser took 5 of 7
S5Kubat2Muhlhauser3n = 5Muhlhauser took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKubatMuhlhauserK − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.646.0−6.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubatMuhlhauserBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 210 vs 63 / 12535.7%50.4%75 / 210 vs 63 / 125Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MuhlhauserKubat 2.50/Muhlhauser 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Muhlhauser · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Muhlhauser won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 26 · 07:55P. Kubat345711111Z. Muhlhauser4411119133
WMar 3 · 18:55P. Kubat501151110133Z. Muhlhauser49711812112
LMar 3 · 16:55P. Kubat5271182062Z. Muhlhauser591181118113
WFeb 16 · 17:25P. Kubat622011119113Z. Muhlhauser53181341172
LMay 7 · 16:25P. Kubat2211380Z. Muhlhauser351311113
LApr 26 · 18:00P. Kubat206590Z. Muhlhauser331111113
LApr 26 · 16:55P. Kubat44111183112Z. Muhlhauser49771111133
LApr 21 · 20:25P. Kubat648131113192Z. Muhlhauser671115911213
LMar 2 · 18:25P. Kubat36119881Z. Muhlhauser3851111113
LFeb 22 · 11:15P. Kubat122550Z. Muhlhauser331111113
P. Kubat10
LSep 18 · 13:25T. Jr1.8013117113P. Kubat1.911191141LSep 18 · 12:20P. Kubat2.6310820A. Jr1.441211113LSep 18 · 11:20P. Kubat1.61681361T. Jr2.20111111113LSep 18 · 10:20P. Kubat2.0041111462L. Rek1.73118611113WAug 27 · 17:25P. Kubat1.9114711143P. Vodal1.8012119121WAug 27 · 16:50P. Kubat2.1011119113P. Vodal1.67741181LAug 27 · 15:20A. Jr2.7551111113P. Kubat1.40119661LAug 27 · 14:50T. Rein1.331111113P. Kubat3.253540LAug 25 · 21:55M. Boltik1.57149118123P. Kubat2.251211411102LAug 25 · 21:25P. Kubat2.255990J. Cousin1.571111113
Z. Muhlhauser10
LSep 26 · 07:25T. Jr2.10111112113Z. Muhlhauser1.67791481LSep 25 · 22:35D. Pasek1.8511811113Z. Muhlhauser1.85711171WSep 25 · 20:55J. Dohnal1.9191070Z. Muhlhauser1.801112113WSep 25 · 20:25S. Holik1.83137110Z. Muhlhauser1.831511133LSep 25 · 19:25Z. Muhlhauser2.108990D. Pasek1.671111113LSep 20 · 10:34V. Koutnik1.831111113Z. Muhlhauser1.834580WSep 20 · 08:55J. Sebl1.59101111892Z. Muhlhauser2.07127811113WSep 20 · 08:25J. Cousin2.2311620Z. Muhlhauser1.511311113LSep 20 · 07:25Z. Muhlhauser1.9511711952V. Koutnik1.74911311113WSep 18 · 21:58C. Kratochvil2.00712120Z. Muhlhauser1.731114143
Upcoming Matches
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Z. Muhlhauser
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