TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Simon Holik vs Zdenek Muhlhauser 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
13157111113––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSimon Holik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSimon Holik above · Zdenek Muhlhauser below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 70 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Simon Holik at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Simon Holik 1–1 Zdenek Muhlhauser Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:46What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Muhlhauser
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Holik 1592 vs Muhlhauser 1515
Holik
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holik 80% vs Muhlhauser 40%
Holik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holik 80% vs Muhlhauser 40%
Holik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holik +4 · Muhlhauser -2
Holik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Holik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Muhlhauser form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolik 1.83 / Muhlhauser 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Holik)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13194022
Holik1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Muhlhauser1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHolik1wins
AwayMuhlhauser1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHolikMuhlhauserH − MBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match43.043.5−0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolikMuhlhauserBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 207 vs 60 / 12055.1%50%114 / 207 vs 60 / 120Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolikHolik 1.83/Muhlhauser 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Holik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Muhlhauser won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 27 · 18:30S. Holik35961371Z. Muhlhauser44111111113
WJul 27 · 16:55S. Holik51119119113Z. Muhlhauser4391161162
S. Holik10
LSep 25 · 21:25D. Pasek2.00111111143S. Holik1.731396121WSep 25 · 18:55J. Dohnal1.839980S. Holik1.831111113WSep 25 · 13:55F. Dvorak1.671173101S. Holik2.1071111123WSep 25 · 12:20T. Jr2.10711111182S. Holik1.67111347113WSep 25 · 11:50T. Rein2.50921181S. Holik1.5011118113LSep 25 · 10:50S. Holik1.80691151F. Dvorak1.9111116113WSep 18 · 14:30P. Vodal1.8511117111S. Holik1.8591311133WSep 18 · 13:25S. Holik1.801513113O. Knazik1.91131180LSep 18 · 11:55P. Vodal1.83131112113S. Holik1.8311131081WSep 18 · 11:25V. Koutnik2.10712781S. Holik1.67111011113
Z. Muhlhauser10
WSep 25 · 20:55J. Dohnal1.9191070Z. Muhlhauser1.801112113LSep 25 · 19:25Z. Muhlhauser2.108990D. Pasek1.671111113LSep 20 · 10:34V. Koutnik1.831111113Z. Muhlhauser1.834580WSep 20 · 08:55J. Sebl1.59101111892Z. Muhlhauser2.07127811113WSep 20 · 08:25J. Cousin2.2311620Z. Muhlhauser1.511311113LSep 20 · 07:25Z. Muhlhauser1.9511711952V. Koutnik1.74911311113WSep 18 · 21:58C. Kratochvil2.00712120Z. Muhlhauser1.731114143LSep 18 · 20:55Z. Muhlhauser1.73115461C. Kratochvil2.0081111113LSep 18 · 19:55Z. Muhlhauser1.736118101M. Boltik2.0011911123LSep 18 · 18:55Z. Muhlhauser1.7320990J. Cousin2.002211113
Upcoming Matches
S. Holik
Nothing scheduled
Z. Muhlhauser
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