TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Chuhai vs Ruslan Ivanov 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Serhii Chuhai
Home
4.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
41112106111311119
Ruslan Ivanov
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingSerhii Chuhai above · Ruslan Ivanov below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 98 set 5, 11-9
98 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Chuhai 1–14 Ruslan Ivanov Serhii Chuhai has won 1 of their 15 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Ivanov beat Chuhai 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Ivanov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chuhai form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChuhai 4.00 / Ivanov 1.22
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Ivanov)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13190804
Chuhai4.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog31% won 70 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back19% 26 of 137
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 81
Ivanov1.22
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite72% won 49 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it100% 24 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChuhai1wins
AwayIvanov9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderIvanov leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChuhai33.3%1 of 3
AwayIvanov100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chuhai3Ivanov7n = 10Ivanov took 7 of 10
S2Chuhai3Ivanov7n = 10Ivanov took 7 of 10
S3Chuhai3Ivanov7n = 10Ivanov took 7 of 10
S4Chuhai2Ivanov6n = 8Ivanov took 6 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricChuhaiIvanovC − IBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.139.0−6.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChuhaiIvanovBasisWin rate · lifetime482 / 947 vs 73 / 10750.9%68.2%482 / 947 vs 73 / 107Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanovChuhai 4.00/Ivanov 1.22
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
82.9%
Ivanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Chuhai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 12:00S. Chuhai30711571R. Ivanov3911611113
LSep 11 · 17:29S. Chuhai27541171R. Ivanov3811115113
LSep 11 · 12:00S. Chuhai48713111162R. Ivanov48111547113
LAug 21 · 12:00S. Chuhai185490R. Ivanov331111113
WAug 20 · 16:00S. Chuhai43111011113R. Ivanov34812681
LAug 13 · 17:34S. Chuhai367118101R. Ivanov3911511123
LAug 13 · 15:00S. Chuhai33117691R. Ivanov4071111113
LAug 7 · 06:00S. Chuhai269890R. Ivanov331111113
LAug 6 · 14:30S. Chuhai271121131R. Ivanov4271113113
LJul 31 · 04:30S. Chuhai33713671R. Ivanov44111111113
S. Chuhai10
WSep 24 · 16:00A. Lushchyk1.7391110111S. Chuhai2.0011912133WSep 24 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.5364121142S. Chuhai2.381111109113WSep 24 · 13:00M. Baday1.44661171S. Chuhai2.6311119113LSep 24 · 12:00R. Ivanov1.2811611113S. Chuhai3.50711571LSep 22 · 17:30S. Chuhai2.109680A. Lushchyk1.671111113WSep 22 · 16:30S. Chuhai1.401111113M. Hubenko2.755790WSep 22 · 15:30A. Vasylets2.638121191S. Chuhai1.4411148113LSep 22 · 14:30S. Chuhai1.446711121A. Vasylets2.6311116143WSep 22 · 13:00M. Hubenko2.7597111192S. Chuhai1.40111188113LSep 22 · 12:30A. Lushchyk1.6181111113S. Chuhai2.20118971
R. Ivanov10
WSep 24 · 16:30M. Baday1.91612611102R. Ivanov1.801110115123WSep 24 · 15:00R. Ivanov1.221311119113A. Lushchyk4.00111371162LSep 24 · 13:30R. Ivanov2.009131371I. Fedoryshyn1.73111115113WSep 24 · 12:00R. Ivanov1.2811611113S. Chuhai3.50711571WSep 11 · 17:29S. Chuhai3.50541171R. Ivanov1.2811115113WSep 11 · 16:30M. Hubenko2.753220R. Ivanov1.401111113WSep 11 · 15:00R. Ivanov1.8021211113A. Kasyanov1.911110411WSep 11 · 13:30R. Ivanov2.1011911163I. Fedoryshyn1.678118141WSep 11 · 12:00R. Ivanov1.28111547113S. Chuhai3.50713111162LSep 10 · 17:00R. Ivanov2.107860I. Fedoryshyn1.671111113
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