TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Chuhai vs Ruslan Ivanov 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611811911––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:57 and never touched — 78.6% is still 78.6%
Graded at full timeRuslan Ivanov to win
78.6%
78.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Chuhai above · Ruslan Ivanov below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 56 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Ruslan Ivanov at 78.6%
56 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Chuhai 2–14 Ruslan Ivanov Serhii Chuhai has won 2 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:57What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Ivanov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-14 in 16
Ivanov
Correct
gap of 12 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chuhai 1799 vs Ivanov 1892
Ivanov
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chuhai 80% vs Ivanov 60%
Chuhai
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chuhai 70% vs Ivanov 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chuhai +4 · Ivanov -1
Chuhai
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Ivanov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivanov form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChuhai 3.40 / Ivanov 1.30
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Ivanov)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13191071
Chuhai3.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 74 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back19% 27 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 81
Ivanov1.30
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite72% won 52 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it100% 24 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it90% 36 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChuhai2wins
AwayIvanov8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderIvanov leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChuhai33.3%1 of 3
AwayIvanov85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chuhai3Ivanov7n = 10Ivanov took 7 of 10
S2Chuhai3Ivanov7n = 10Ivanov took 7 of 10
S3Chuhai3Ivanov7n = 10Ivanov took 7 of 10
S4Chuhai3Ivanov5n = 8Ivanov took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricChuhaiIvanovC − IBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.439.8−6.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChuhaiIvanovBasisWin rate · lifetime483 / 946 vs 73 / 10851.1%67.6%483 / 946 vs 73 / 108Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanovChuhai 3.40/Ivanov 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.6%
Ivanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ivanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 17:38S. Chuhai46412613113R. Ivanov521110111192
LSep 24 · 12:00S. Chuhai30711571R. Ivanov3911611113
LSep 11 · 17:29S. Chuhai27541171R. Ivanov3811115113
LSep 11 · 12:00S. Chuhai48713111162R. Ivanov48111547113
LAug 21 · 12:00S. Chuhai185490R. Ivanov331111113
WAug 20 · 16:00S. Chuhai43111011113R. Ivanov34812681
LAug 13 · 17:34S. Chuhai367118101R. Ivanov3911511123
LAug 13 · 15:00S. Chuhai33117691R. Ivanov4071111113
LAug 7 · 06:00S. Chuhai269890R. Ivanov331111113
LAug 6 · 14:30S. Chuhai271121131R. Ivanov4271113113
S. Chuhai10
LSep 25 · 17:00R. Ivanov1.2511911113S. Chuhai3.75711651WSep 25 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.57111050S. Chuhai2.251312113WSep 25 · 15:00M. Baday1.33119891S. Chuhai3.2581111113LSep 25 · 14:00S. Chuhai3.2511411572M. Baday1.33811711113LSep 25 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.638880I. Fedoryshyn1.441111113WSep 24 · 17:38S. Chuhai4.00412613113R. Ivanov1.221110111192WSep 24 · 16:00A. Lushchyk1.7391110111S. Chuhai2.0011912133WSep 24 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.5364121142S. Chuhai2.381111109113WSep 24 · 13:00M. Baday1.44661171S. Chuhai2.6311119113LSep 24 · 12:00R. Ivanov1.2811611113S. Chuhai3.50711571
R. Ivanov10
WSep 25 · 17:00R. Ivanov1.2511911113S. Chuhai3.75711651WSep 25 · 16:00R. Ivanov1.801111113M. Baday1.914960LSep 25 · 15:30R. Ivanov1.91811651I. Fedoryshyn1.8011911113WSep 25 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.804820R. Ivanov1.911111113LSep 25 · 13:30M. Baday1.917111011123R. Ivanov1.80119126102LSep 24 · 17:38S. Chuhai4.00412613113R. Ivanov1.221110111192WSep 24 · 16:30M. Baday1.91612611102R. Ivanov1.801110115123WSep 24 · 15:00R. Ivanov1.221311119113A. Lushchyk4.00111371162LSep 24 · 13:30R. Ivanov2.009131371I. Fedoryshyn1.73111115113WSep 24 · 12:00R. Ivanov1.2811611113S. Chuhai3.50711571
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