TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116169
Played Sep 11Finished
Serhii Chuhai
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511411115711––
Ruslan Ivanov
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingSerhii Chuhai above · Ruslan Ivanov below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 65 set 4, 7-11
65 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Chuhai 1–12 Ruslan Ivanov Serhii Chuhai has won 1 of their 13 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Ivanov beat Chuhai 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Ivanov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chuhai form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChuhai 3.50 / Ivanov 1.28
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Ivanov)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13116169
Chuhai3.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog31% won 66 of 215
Down 0–1, comes back18% 24 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 75
Ivanov1.28
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 46 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChuhai1wins
AwayIvanov9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderIvanov leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChuhai33.3%1 of 3
AwayIvanov100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chuhai3Ivanov7n = 10Ivanov took 7 of 10
S2Chuhai3Ivanov7n = 10Ivanov took 7 of 10
S3Chuhai2Ivanov8n = 10Ivanov took 8 of 10
S4Chuhai2Ivanov5n = 7Ivanov took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricChuhaiIvanovC − IBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.638.9−6.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChuhaiIvanovBasisWin rate · lifetime493 / 961 vs 69 / 10251.3%67.7%493 / 961 vs 69 / 102Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanovChuhai 3.50/Ivanov 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.4%
Ivanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ivanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 12:00S. Chuhai—713111162R. Ivanov—111547113
LAug 21 · 12:00S. Chuhai—5490R. Ivanov—1111113
WAug 20 · 16:00S. Chuhai—111011113R. Ivanov—812681
LAug 13 · 17:34S. Chuhai—7118101R. Ivanov—11511123
LAug 13 · 15:00S. Chuhai—117691R. Ivanov—71111113
LAug 7 · 06:00S. Chuhai—9890R. Ivanov—1111113
LAug 6 · 14:30S. Chuhai—1121131R. Ivanov—71113113
LJul 31 · 04:30S. Chuhai—713671R. Ivanov—111111113
LJul 30 · 13:30S. Chuhai—8980R. Ivanov—1111113
LJul 24 · 10:30S. Chuhai—912971R. Ivanov—111011113
S. Chuhai10
WSep 11 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.67811781S. Chuhai2.1011911113WSep 11 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.5311411972S. Chuhai2.38611411113WSep 11 · 13:00M. Hubenko2.755790S. Chuhai1.401111113LSep 11 · 12:00R. Ivanov1.28111547113S. Chuhai3.50713111162WSep 9 · 11:00S. Chuhai1.33111111113O. Ziakun3.25613771WSep 9 · 09:00D. Kuzmenko6.506490S. Chuhai1.101111113WSep 9 · 08:00S. Chuhai1.2211611113O. Syksa4.00811151WSep 9 · 07:00M. Hubenko2.7566110S. Chuhai1.401111133WSep 9 · 05:30S. Chuhai1.501111113A. Vasylets2.505740LSep 8 · 17:11I. Fedoryshyn1.131111133S. Chuhai5.5067110
R. Ivanov10
WSep 11 · 16:30M. Hubenko2.753220R. Ivanov1.401111113WSep 11 · 15:00R. Ivanov1.8021211113A. Kasyanov1.911110411WSep 11 · 13:30R. Ivanov2.1011911163I. Fedoryshyn1.678118141WSep 11 · 12:00R. Ivanov1.28111547113S. Chuhai3.50713111162LSep 10 · 17:00R. Ivanov2.107860I. Fedoryshyn1.671111113WSep 10 · 16:00R. Ivanov1.5331111113M. Hubenko2.38115981WSep 10 · 15:00A. Kasyanov1.73412371R. Ivanov2.00111011113WSep 10 · 14:00A. Lushchyk3.504780R. Ivanov1.281111113WSep 10 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.6711118892R. Ivanov2.10481111113WAug 28 · 17:00I. Fedoryshyn1.6114571162R. Ivanov2.201211116113
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