TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Chuhai vs Ivan Fedoryshyn 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811811––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:17 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeIvan Fedoryshyn to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Chuhai above · Ivan Fedoryshyn below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 57 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Ivan Fedoryshyn at 65.7%
57 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Chuhai 95–151 Ivan Fedoryshyn Serhii Chuhai has won 95 of their 246 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:17What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Fedoryshyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
95-151 in 246
Fedoryshyn
Correct
gap of 56 in 246, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chuhai 1789 vs Fedoryshyn 1863
Fedoryshyn
Correct
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chuhai 80% vs Fedoryshyn 60%
Chuhai
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chuhai 60% vs Fedoryshyn 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chuhai -1 · Fedoryshyn +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Fedoryshyn)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chuhai form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChuhai 2.63 / Fedoryshyn 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Fedoryshyn)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13191160
Chuhai2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 74 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back19% 27 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 81
Fedoryshyn1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 187 of 275
Up 2–0, closes it98% 115 of 118
Up 1–0, closes it83% 155 of 187
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChuhai5wins
AwayFedoryshyn5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChuhai100%3 of 3
AwayFedoryshyn71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chuhai3Fedoryshyn7n = 10Fedoryshyn took 7 of 10
S2Chuhai6Fedoryshyn4n = 10Chuhai took 6 of 10
S3Chuhai3Fedoryshyn7n = 10Fedoryshyn took 7 of 10
S4Chuhai5Fedoryshyn3n = 8Chuhai took 5 of 8
S5Chuhai2Fedoryshyn1n = 3Chuhai took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricChuhaiFedoryshynC − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.136.4+0.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChuhaiFedoryshynBasisWin rate · lifetime483 / 947 vs 547 / 82951%66%483 / 947 vs 547 / 829Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FedoryshynChuhai 2.63/Fedoryshyn 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Fedoryshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fedoryshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 14:30S. Chuhai521111109113I. Fedoryshyn3764121142
LSep 17 · 17:00S. Chuhai31611951I. Fedoryshyn3611311113
WSep 17 · 12:00S. Chuhai4181111113I. Fedoryshyn34117791
LSep 15 · 16:30S. Chuhai214980I. Fedoryshyn331111113
WSep 15 · 13:00S. Chuhai44111111113I. Fedoryshyn31513941
WSep 11 · 14:30S. Chuhai43611411113I. Fedoryshyn4211411972
LSep 8 · 17:11S. Chuhai2467110I. Fedoryshyn351111133
WSep 8 · 15:00S. Chuhai4214116113I. Fedoryshyn291211151
LSep 4 · 16:30S. Chuhai4271171162I. Fedoryshyn49117119113
LSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai31491171I. Fedoryshyn3811115113
S. Chuhai10
LSep 25 · 17:00R. Ivanov1.2511911113S. Chuhai3.75711651WSep 25 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.57111050S. Chuhai2.251312113WSep 25 · 15:00M. Baday1.33119891S. Chuhai3.2581111113LSep 25 · 14:00S. Chuhai3.2511411572M. Baday1.33811711113LSep 25 · 12:00S. Chuhai3.406890R. Ivanov1.301111113WSep 24 · 17:38S. Chuhai4.00412613113R. Ivanov1.221110111192WSep 24 · 16:00A. Lushchyk1.7391110111S. Chuhai2.0011912133WSep 24 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.5364121142S. Chuhai2.381111109113WSep 24 · 13:00M. Baday1.44661171S. Chuhai2.6311119113LSep 24 · 12:00R. Ivanov1.2811611113S. Chuhai3.50711571
I. Fedoryshyn10
WSep 25 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn2.0011611113M. Baday1.73611881LSep 25 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.57111050S. Chuhai2.251312113WSep 25 · 15:30R. Ivanov1.91811651I. Fedoryshyn1.8011911113LSep 25 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.804820R. Ivanov1.911111113WSep 25 · 12:30M. Baday1.678690I. Fedoryshyn2.101111113WSep 24 · 17:08I. Fedoryshyn1.911118113M. Baday1.8081630LSep 24 · 15:30M. Baday1.6711613113I. Fedoryshyn2.105111131LSep 24 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.5364121142S. Chuhai2.381111109113WSep 24 · 13:30R. Ivanov2.009131371I. Fedoryshyn1.73111115113WSep 24 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.4011117113A. Lushchyk2.75771181
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