TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ivan Fedoryshyn vs Maksym Baday 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181816113––––
Maksym Baday
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingIvan Fedoryshyn above · Maksym Baday below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 18-16
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 67 set 3, 11-3
67 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fedoryshyn 114–129 Maksym Baday Ivan Fedoryshyn has won 114 of their 243 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Baday beat Fedoryshyn 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Baday)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baday form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFedoryshyn 1.91 / Baday 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Baday)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13190659
Fedoryshyn1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 34 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back32% 12 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Baday1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite75% won 225 of 300
Up 2–0, closes it98% 119 of 122
Up 1–0, closes it87% 166 of 191
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFedoryshyn5wins
AwayBaday5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFedoryshyn83.3%5 of 6
AwayBaday100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fedoryshyn6Baday4n = 10Fedoryshyn took 6 of 10
S2Fedoryshyn7Baday3n = 10Fedoryshyn took 7 of 10
S3Fedoryshyn3Baday7n = 10Baday took 7 of 10
S4Fedoryshyn2Baday5n = 7Baday took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFedoryshynBadayF − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.235.20.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFedoryshynBadayBasisWin rate · lifetime545 / 827 vs 535 / 71365.9%75%545 / 827 vs 535 / 713Avg sets wonper match2.32.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.940.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BadayFedoryshyn 1.91/Baday 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Baday · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Fedoryshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 15:30I. Fedoryshyn305111131M. Baday4111613113
WSep 15 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn4516117113M. Baday391461181
WSep 15 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn47111114113M. Baday30371641
WSep 8 · 14:00I. Fedoryshyn331111113M. Baday147340
LSep 1 · 17:29I. Fedoryshyn336111241M. Baday4411814113
WSep 1 · 14:00I. Fedoryshyn42115123113M. Baday44411101182
LAug 28 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn361110871M. Baday4391211113
WAug 28 · 13:30I. Fedoryshyn341211113M. Baday2710980
LAug 27 · 15:30I. Fedoryshyn31611861M. Baday3611311113
LAug 21 · 14:00I. Fedoryshyn2165100M. Baday341111123
I. Fedoryshyn10
LSep 24 · 15:30M. Baday1.6711613113I. Fedoryshyn2.105111131LSep 24 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.5364121142S. Chuhai2.381111109113WSep 24 · 13:30R. Ivanov2.009131371I. Fedoryshyn1.73111115113WSep 24 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.4011117113A. Lushchyk2.75771181WSep 21 · 16:40I. Fedoryshyn2.2041111113O. Kolbasenko1.61115781WSep 21 · 15:10I. Fedoryshyn1.571111113O. Seliuchenko2.257750LSep 21 · 13:40I. Fedoryshyn2.0046100A. Lievshin1.731111123WSep 21 · 12:10I. Fedoryshyn1.8311611113I. Hermakivskyi1.83911881WSep 21 · 10:40I. Fedoryshyn1.83911118113A. Hrabskyi1.8311281132WSep 18 · 17:40I. Fedoryshyn2.38118513113A. Lievshin1.53811111162
M. Baday10
LSep 24 · 16:30M. Baday1.91612611102R. Ivanov1.801110115123WSep 24 · 15:30M. Baday1.6711613113I. Fedoryshyn2.105111131WSep 24 · 14:00M. Baday1.1711118113A. Lushchyk4.50541161LSep 24 · 13:00M. Baday1.44661171S. Chuhai2.6311119113LSep 18 · 17:30A. Lushchyk4.3311117113M. Baday1.20351151WSep 18 · 15:00M. Baday1.44511711113S. Chuhai2.6311911992WSep 18 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.75115971M. Baday1.4081111113WSep 18 · 13:30M. Baday1.401131011113A. Kasyanov2.7551112752WSep 18 · 12:30M. Baday1.201111123A. Lushchyk4.3327100LSep 15 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn2.1016117113M. Baday1.671461181
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