TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911112118811113
Andrii Hrabskyi
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:06 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeIvan Fedoryshyn to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Fedoryshyn above · Andrii Hrabskyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 85 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Ivan Fedoryshyn at 56.5%
85 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fedoryshyn 2–2 Andrii Hrabskyi Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:06What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Hrabskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fedoryshyn 1822 vs Hrabskyi 1671
Fedoryshyn
Correct
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fedoryshyn 60% vs Hrabskyi 80%
Hrabskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fedoryshyn 40% vs Hrabskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fedoryshyn +2 · Hrabskyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fedoryshyn) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrabskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFedoryshyn 1.83 / Hrabskyi 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Fedoryshyn)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13166351
Fedoryshyn1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 18)
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Hrabskyi1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 18)
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeFedoryshyn2wins
AwayHrabskyi2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFedoryshynn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHrabskyi66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fedoryshyn1Hrabskyi3n = 4Hrabskyi took 3 of 4
S2Fedoryshyn3Hrabskyi1n = 4Fedoryshyn took 3 of 4
S3Fedoryshyn1Hrabskyi3n = 4Hrabskyi took 3 of 4
S4Fedoryshyn2Hrabskyi2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricFedoryshynHrabskyiF − HBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match40.242.5−2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFedoryshynHrabskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime550 / 833 vs 234 / 53766%43.6%550 / 833 vs 234 / 537Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FedoryshynFedoryshyn 1.83/Hrabskyi 1.83
Hit
What we said
54.4%
Fedoryshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fedoryshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 18 · 12:40I. Fedoryshyn367111171A. Hrabskyi4211713113
WJul 24 · 14:40I. Fedoryshyn3911116113A. Hrabskyi35991161
WJun 5 · 11:40I. Fedoryshyn49515711113A. Hrabskyi48111311762
LApr 27 · 16:10I. Fedoryshyn3711511101A. Hrabskyi4513119123
I. Fedoryshyn10
WSep 18 · 17:40I. Fedoryshyn2.38118513113A. Lievshin1.53811111162WSep 18 · 15:40V. Marushchak1.8311510111I. Fedoryshyn1.8331112133LSep 18 · 12:40I. Fedoryshyn1.737111171A. Hrabskyi2.0011713113LSep 18 · 11:40A. Yurkov2.1018811113I. Fedoryshyn1.671611281WSep 17 · 17:00S. Chuhai2.63611951I. Fedoryshyn1.4411311113LSep 17 · 16:30A. Lushchyk2.63811711113I. Fedoryshyn1.4411911792LSep 17 · 15:00A. Kasyanov2.101111173I. Fedoryshyn1.6757150LSep 17 · 14:00I. Fedoryshyn1.73116881A. Kasyanov2.0031111113WSep 17 · 13:00I. Fedoryshyn1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.639850LSep 17 · 12:00I. Fedoryshyn1.53117791S. Chuhai2.3881111113
A. Hrabskyi10
WSep 18 · 17:10A. Yurkov1.831191171A. Hrabskyi1.8313119113WSep 18 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.28111111892A. Hrabskyi3.50913611113LSep 18 · 14:40V. Marushchak1.531211133A. Hrabskyi2.38105110WSep 18 · 12:40I. Fedoryshyn1.737111171A. Hrabskyi2.0011713113WSep 18 · 10:40V. Voronenko2.2091111782A. Hrabskyi1.61115811113WSep 16 · 11:35V. Mishchenko2.1071060A. Hrabskyi1.671112113LSep 16 · 10:35A. Lievshin1.2811711113A. Hrabskyi3.50411451LSep 16 · 09:05O. Kolbasenko1.501171110143A. Hrabskyi2.50211312122LSep 16 · 07:05O. Gavryshko1.5391211113A. Hrabskyi2.381110681LSep 16 · 05:05V. Marushchak1.611116113A. Hrabskyi2.2091460
Upcoming Matches
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