TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142085
Played Sep 17Finished
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
113611811811––
Artem Kasyanov
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:35 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeIvan Fedoryshyn to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Fedoryshyn above · Artem Kasyanov below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 69 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Ivan Fedoryshyn at 58.1%
69 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fedoryshyn 100–65 Artem Kasyanov Artem Kasyanov has won 65 of their 165 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:35What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
100-65 in 165
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
gap of 35 in 165, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fedoryshyn 1884 vs Kasyanov 1818
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fedoryshyn 60% vs Kasyanov 40%
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fedoryshyn 60% vs Kasyanov 40%
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fedoryshyn +1 · Kasyanov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fedoryshyn) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFedoryshyn 1.73 / Kasyanov 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Fedoryshyn)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13142085
Fedoryshyn1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite70% won 194 of 277
Up 2–0, closes it97% 120 of 124
Up 1–0, closes it84% 159 of 189
Kasyanov2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 33 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back28% 10 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFedoryshyn4wins
AwayKasyanov6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKasyanov leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFedoryshyn75%3 of 4
AwayKasyanov83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fedoryshyn4Kasyanov6n = 10Kasyanov took 6 of 10
S2Fedoryshyn4Kasyanov6n = 10Kasyanov took 6 of 10
S3Fedoryshyn3Kasyanov7n = 10Kasyanov took 7 of 10
S4Fedoryshyn2Kasyanov2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricFedoryshynKasyanovF − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.735.9−3.2per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFedoryshynKasyanovBasisWin rate · lifetime552 / 836 vs 398 / 70466%56.5%552 / 836 vs 398 / 704Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FedoryshynFedoryshyn 1.73/Kasyanov 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Fedoryshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kasyanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 15:30I. Fedoryshyn351291041A. Kasyanov44101112113
WSep 15 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn4211911113A. Kasyanov37811991
LSep 11 · 17:01I. Fedoryshyn26411471A. Kasyanov4211911113
LSep 11 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn2869130A. Kasyanov371111153
WSep 10 · 13:30I. Fedoryshyn341111123A. Kasyanov2798100
LSep 8 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn229490A. Kasyanov331111113
LSep 4 · 15:30I. Fedoryshyn2771190A. Kasyanov351113113
WSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn531111911113A. Kasyanov4613711782
WSep 3 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn331111113A. Kasyanov238780
LSep 3 · 14:00I. Fedoryshyn2797110A. Kasyanov351111133
I. Fedoryshyn10
WSep 17 · 13:00I. Fedoryshyn1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.639850LSep 17 · 12:00I. Fedoryshyn1.53117791S. Chuhai2.3881111113WSep 15 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn2.1016117113M. Baday1.671461181WSep 15 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.401111113S. Chuhai2.754980LSep 15 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.20101112113I. Fedoryshyn1.611291041WSep 15 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.6711911113A. Kasyanov2.10811991LSep 15 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.63111111113I. Fedoryshyn1.44513941WSep 15 · 12:30M. Baday1.67371641I. Fedoryshyn2.10111114113LSep 11 · 17:01A. Kasyanov2.1511911113I. Fedoryshyn1.62411471WSep 11 · 15:30M. Hubenko4.00811691I. Fedoryshyn1.2211911113
A. Kasyanov10
WSep 17 · 13:30A. Kasyanov1.73111659123S. Chuhai2.007141111102LSep 17 · 12:30A. Kasyanov1.406590A. Lushchyk2.751111113WSep 15 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.731111163S. Chuhai2.0087140LSep 15 · 16:00A. Kasyanov3.0091191292M. Baday1.361141110113WSep 15 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.20101112113I. Fedoryshyn1.611291041LSep 15 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.6711911113A. Kasyanov2.10811991LSep 15 · 13:30M. Baday1.331111811113A. Kasyanov3.2585111342WSep 15 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.101168111A. Kasyanov1.6791111133WSep 11 · 17:01A. Kasyanov2.1511911113I. Fedoryshyn1.62411471LSep 11 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.67811781S. Chuhai2.1011911113
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