TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131161
Played Sep 15Finished
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118911119119––
Artem Kasyanov
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:11 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeIvan Fedoryshyn to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Fedoryshyn above · Artem Kasyanov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 79 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Ivan Fedoryshyn at 56.2%
79 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fedoryshyn 99–64 Artem Kasyanov Artem Kasyanov has won 64 of their 163 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:11What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Fedoryshyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
99-64 in 163
Fedoryshyn
Correct
gap of 35 in 163, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fedoryshyn 1860 vs Kasyanov 1829
Fedoryshyn
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fedoryshyn 40% vs Kasyanov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fedoryshyn 50% vs Kasyanov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fedoryshyn -1 · Kasyanov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Fedoryshyn)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fedoryshyn form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFedoryshyn 1.67 / Kasyanov 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Fedoryshyn)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13131161
Fedoryshyn1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 192 of 273
Up 2–0, closes it97% 119 of 123
Up 1–0, closes it84% 157 of 186
Kasyanov2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 32 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back28% 9 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFedoryshyn5wins
AwayKasyanov5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFedoryshyn100%4 of 4
AwayKasyanov83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fedoryshyn4Kasyanov6n = 10Kasyanov took 6 of 10
S2Fedoryshyn6Kasyanov4n = 10Fedoryshyn took 6 of 10
S3Fedoryshyn4Kasyanov6n = 10Kasyanov took 6 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricFedoryshynKasyanovF − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.032.7−0.7per matchSweeps4403–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFedoryshynKasyanovBasisWin rate · lifetime549 / 831 vs 397 / 70066.1%56.7%549 / 831 vs 397 / 700Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FedoryshynFedoryshyn 1.67/Kasyanov 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Fedoryshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Fedoryshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 17:01I. Fedoryshyn26411471A. Kasyanov4211911113
LSep 11 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn2869130A. Kasyanov371111153
WSep 10 · 13:30I. Fedoryshyn341111123A. Kasyanov2798100
LSep 8 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn229490A. Kasyanov331111113
LSep 4 · 15:30I. Fedoryshyn2771190A. Kasyanov351113113
WSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn531111911113A. Kasyanov4613711782
WSep 3 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn331111113A. Kasyanov238780
LSep 3 · 14:00I. Fedoryshyn2797110A. Kasyanov351111133
WSep 1 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn341111123A. Kasyanov2376100
WAug 28 · 15:30I. Fedoryshyn361111143A. Kasyanov2695120
I. Fedoryshyn10
LSep 15 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.20101112113I. Fedoryshyn1.611291041LSep 15 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.63111111113I. Fedoryshyn1.44513941WSep 15 · 12:30M. Baday1.67371641I. Fedoryshyn2.10111114113LSep 11 · 17:01A. Kasyanov2.1511911113I. Fedoryshyn1.62411471WSep 11 · 15:30M. Hubenko4.00811691I. Fedoryshyn1.2211911113LSep 11 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.5311411972S. Chuhai2.38611411113LSep 11 · 13:30R. Ivanov2.1011911163I. Fedoryshyn1.678118141LSep 11 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.5769130A. Kasyanov2.251111153WSep 10 · 17:00R. Ivanov2.107860I. Fedoryshyn1.671111113WSep 10 · 15:30A. Lushchyk2.638760I. Fedoryshyn1.441111113
A. Kasyanov10
WSep 15 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.20101112113I. Fedoryshyn1.611291041LSep 15 · 13:30M. Baday1.331111811113A. Kasyanov3.2585111342WSep 15 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.101168111A. Kasyanov1.6791111133WSep 11 · 17:01A. Kasyanov2.1511911113I. Fedoryshyn1.62411471LSep 11 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.67811781S. Chuhai2.1011911113LSep 11 · 15:00R. Ivanov1.8021211113A. Kasyanov1.911110411WSep 11 · 14:00M. Hubenko3.2591280A. Kasyanov1.331114113WSep 11 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.5769130A. Kasyanov2.251111153LSep 10 · 16:30A. Lushchyk2.6311611113A. Kasyanov1.44811861LSep 10 · 15:00A. Kasyanov1.73412371R. Ivanov2.00111011113
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